EXPE
Next earnings: Aug 6, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move+0.01%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 41Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
221.46
Open
223.78
Day Range220.12 – 224.73
220.12
224.73
52W Range156.05 – 303.80
156.05
303.80
44% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.4M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
19.6x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.36
Market-like
Performance
1D
-3.70%
5D
-13.95%
1M
-2.91%
3M
-5.20%
6M
-16.53%
YTD
-21.83%
1Y
+32.41%
Best: 1Y (+32.41%)Worst: YTD (-21.83%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +10% YoY · 87% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 20x vs ~20x sector
Health
WEAK
CR 0.7 (low) · FCF $38.46/sh
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$25.92B
Revenue TTM$15.17B
Net Income TTM$1.56B
Free Cash Flow$4.69B
Gross Margin87.3%
Net Margin10.3%
Operating Margin15.0%
Return on Equity154.3%
Return on Assets5.9%
Debt / Equity8.17
Current Ratio0.73
EPS TTM$12.77
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Room night growth rates and gross booking value (GBV) trajectory - particularly lodging acceleration vs. Booking Holdings

Take rate expansion or compression - driven by mix shift (direct vs. metasearch), merchant vs. agency mix, and supplier negotiations

Marketing efficiency metrics - ROI on performance marketing spend and customer acquisition cost (CAC) payback periods

International growth momentum - particularly Europe and Asia-Pacific penetration where Booking Holdings has structural advantages

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Travel is highly discretionary and correlates strongly with consumer confidence, disposable income, and employment. Leisure travel bookings (80%+ of mix) contract sharply in recessions as households defer vacations. Business travel (smaller portion) is tied to corporate spending and GDP growth. International travel particularly sensitive to currency fluctuations and cross-border economic conditions.

Interest Rates

Moderate sensitivity through two channels: (1) Higher rates reduce consumer discretionary spending capacity, particularly for financed travel purchases and credit card-funded bookings. (2) Valuation multiple compression - as a high-multiple growth stock (historically 15-25x EBITDA), rising rates make future cash flows less valuable and compress P/E ratios. Minimal direct debt refinancing risk given strong FCF generation ($3.1B annually) allows deleveraging. The 5.19x Debt/Equity is manageable with 12.5% FCF yield.

Key Risks

Disintermediation by hotel chains and airlines - Marriott, Hilton, and airlines investing heavily in direct booking channels with loyalty incentives, reducing OTA relevance and negotiating leverage

Google's expanding travel metasearch dominance - Google Travel aggregating prices and capturing high-intent traffic before users reach OTA sites, forcing higher customer acquisition costs

Regulatory pressure on take rates and transparency - EU and US scrutiny of pricing practices, ranking algorithms, and commission structures could compress margins

Investor Profile

value with growth optionality - Currently trading at 8.6x EV/EBITDA (below historical 12-15x range) and 1.7x P/S with 12.5% FCF yield attracts value investors. The 70.7% EPS growth and operating leverage story appeals to growth-at-reasonable-price (GARP) investors betting on travel recovery and market share gains. Recent -18.9% 3-month decline creates contrarian opportunity for investors believing macro headwinds are overblown.

Watch on Earnings
Gross bookings (GBV) growth rate - leading indicator of revenue trajectoryRevenue take rate (revenue as % of GBV) - monetization efficiency and competitive positioningDirect channel mix percentage - higher direct bookings indicate brand strength but require marketing investmentMarketing ROI and customer acquisition cost trends - efficiency of performance marketing spend
Health Radar
4 strong2 concern
63/100
Liquidity
0.73Concern
Leverage
8.17Concern
Coverage
6.5xStrong
ROE
154.3%Strong
ROIC
27.3%Strong
Cash
$7.0BStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE31 analysts
HOLD
+17.8%upside to target
L $240.00
Med $261.00consensus
H $330.00
Buy
1239%
Hold
1961%
12 Buy (39%)19 Hold (61%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 41 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.73 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 13, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 7, 2026
In 87 days
PDividend PaymentSep 9, 2026
In 120 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 1.1%

-7.5% vs SMA 50 · -6.6% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI40.8
Momentum fading
MACD-2.96
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$303.8+37.1%
EMA 50
$241.9+9.2%
EMA 200
$228.3+3.1%
Current
$221.5
52W Low
$156.1-29.6%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$156.144th %ile$303.8
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:1
Edge:+3 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)2.0M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.3M+12%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 26 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$14.6B
$14.5B$14.8B
$15.36
±6%
High26
FY2026(current)
$16.0B
$15.7B$16.2B
+9.5%$19.59+27.5%
±9%
High25
FY2027
$17.1B
$16.8B$17.5B
+7.1%$22.96+17.2%
±12%
High23
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 5 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryEXPE
Last 8Q
+10.7%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
+15%
Q3'24
+1%
Q4'24
-11%
Q1'25
+14%
Q2'25
+7%
Q3'25
+9%
Q4'25
+13%
Q1'26
+39%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
CitigroupNeutral → Buy
Dec 18
UPGRADE
Deutsche BankBuy → Mixed
Nov 8
DOWNGRADE
Cowen & Co.Buy → Hold
Sep 25
DOWNGRADE
Wells FargoSector Perform → Outperform
Sep 6
UPGRADE
BMO CapitalMarket Perform
May 3
DOWNGRADE
Piper SandlerOverweight → Neutral
May 3
DOWNGRADE
Evercore ISIOutperform
Nov 17
UPGRADE
OppenheimerOutperform
Jan 11
UPGRADE
Wolfe ResearchUnderperform
Dec 7
DOWNGRADE
Piper SandlerOverweight → Reduce
Aug 5
UPGRADE
Piper SandlerNeutral → Overweight
Jan 14
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/4 SellsNet Selling
Dzielak Robert JChief Legal Of…
$1.8M
Mar 4
SELL
Banerjee Madhumita …Dir
$258K
Dec 1
SELL
Soliday Lance ASVP & Chief Ac…
$220K
Nov 25
SELL
Soliday Lance ASVP & Chief Ac…
$211K
Nov 21
SELL
Financials
Dividends0.76% yield
+21.8% avg annual growth
Annual Yield0.76%
Quarterly Div.$0.4800
Est. Annual / Share$1.92
FrequencyQuarterly
Q4'19
Q1'20
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
LYRICAL ASSET MANAGEMENT LP
1.5M
2
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
1.2M
3
LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT
1.1M
4
UBS Group AG
1.0M
5
Legal & General Group Plc
930K
6
Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V.
743K
7
FEDERATED HERMES, INC.
726K
8
Boston Partners
677K
News & Activity

EXPE News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

expedia group, inc. operates as an online travel company worldwide. it operates through four segments: core online travel agencies, trivago, vrbo, and egencia. its brand portfolio include brand expedia, a full-service online travel brand with localized websites; hotels.com for marketing and distributing lodging accommodations; vrbo, an online marketplace for the alternative accommodations; expedia partner solutions, a business-to-business brand that provides travel offerings for various airlines and hotels, online and offline travel agencies, loyalty and corporate travel companies, and various consumer brands; and egencia, which provides corporate travel management services. the company's brand portfolio also comprise orbitz, travelocity, and cheaptickets travel websites; ebookers, a full-service travel brand; hotwire, an online travel website; expedia group media solutions that provides media partnerships and digital marketing solutions; trivago, an online hotel metasearch platform; a

CEO
Peter Maxwell Kern
Michael S. MarronSenior Vice President of Legal & Assistant Secretary
Lance A. SolidaySenior Vice President & Chief Accounting Officer
Rob TorresSenior Vice President of Expedia Group Media Solutions
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
EXPE
$221.52-3.70%$25.9B17.3+761.1%878.3%1492
$265.82-1.35%$2.9T31.8+1237.8%1083.4%1519
$433.45+4.02%$1.7T371.3-293.1%400.1%1500
$310.46-1.91%$310.2B21.8+324.0%859.6%1480
$274.84-0.42%$195.1B22.5+372.3%3185.0%1480
$150.26-0.73%$164.8B30.5+711.9%910.0%1506
$224.52-1.37%$126.6B19.0+312.2%771.2%1491
Sector avg-0.78%73.5+489.5%1155.4%1495