Net interest margin expansion/compression - driven by loan repricing speed versus deposit cost increases in rate cycles
Commercial loan growth in Wisconsin/Kansas/Missouri markets - new originations versus payoffs and line utilization rates
Credit quality metrics - non-performing assets ratio, charge-off rates, provision expense relative to loan growth
Deposit mix and cost of funds - ability to retain low-cost business checking and operating accounts versus rate-sensitive CDs
high - Commercial lending is highly cyclical as small business borrowing demand correlates directly with GDP growth, capacity utilization, and business confidence. Wisconsin and Kansas economies have manufacturing and agriculture exposure, amplifying cyclicality. In recessions, loan demand falls, credit losses spike, and NIM compresses as high-quality borrowers refinance while risky loans default.
Asset-sensitive balance sheet benefits from rising short-term rates as commercial loans (typically floating rate or short duration) reprice faster than deposits. However, inverted yield curves compress NIM. The current environment (February 2026) with Fed policy uncertainty creates volatility. Falling rates would pressure NIM but could stimulate loan demand and reduce credit costs. The 30bps debt/equity ratio indicates minimal refinancing risk from rate changes.
Digital banking disruption - fintech lenders and national banks with superior technology platforms are capturing commercial banking relationships, particularly treasury management services where FBIZ competes
Regulatory burden - Community banks face disproportionate compliance costs relative to assets, compressing efficiency ratios and limiting profitability versus larger competitors with scale advantages
Geographic concentration - Wisconsin/Kansas/Missouri exposure creates undiversified risk to regional economic shocks, particularly agriculture commodity price cycles and manufacturing sector health
value - The 0.6x price/book ratio attracts deep value investors betting on mean reversion, potential M&A takeout premium, or turnaround in credit quality. The 16.5% EPS growth with single-digit revenue growth suggests improving profitability that value investors view as sustainable. Not a dividend play despite financial sector classification given focus on capital retention for loan growth. Recent 16.6% 3-month return indicates momentum investors are entering on improving fundamentals.
Trend
+0.1% vs SMA 50 · +28.6% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
ANALYST ESTIMATES
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2023 | $136.1M $135.2M–$137.0M | — | $4.32 | — | ±1% | Low2 |
FY2024 | $151.5M $151.3M–$152.1M | ▲ +11.3% | $4.79 | ▲ +10.8% | ±0% | Moderate4 |
FY2025 | $168.5M $167.7M–$169.0M | ▲ +11.2% | $5.72 | ▲ +19.6% | ±1% | Moderate4 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
FBIZ News
About
banking beyond expectations with a niche banking model that combines strategic solutions and unmatched service, we focus on your business banking, commercial lending, company retirement plans, private wealth, and specialty finance needs. our experts plug in as indispensable catalysts of your financial growth strategy. for more information visit firstbusiness.com and follow us on nasdaq: fbiz. first business represents the family of companies under first business financial services, inc. on occasion, we may link to websites that might not reflect the opinions or views of our organization. member fdic | equal housing lender
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FBIZ◀ | $53.81 | -1.95% | $450M | 8.6 | +642.8% | 1802.0% | 1500 |
| $297.81 | -0.70% | $798.0B | 14.1 | — | — | 1501 | |
| $325.75 | +1.00% | $624.4B | 28.0 | +1134.0% | 5014.5% | 1501 | |
| $494.20 | +0.87% | $436.7B | 28.3 | +1641.6% | 4564.7% | 1492 | |
| $49.77 | +0.00% | $353.2B | — | -45.1% | — | 1496 | |
| $192.51 | -1.04% | $303.6B | 16.6 | +1147.7% | 1466.4% | 1528 | |
| $948.47 | -2.11% | $279.8B | 15.9 | -138.4% | 1373.0% | 1524 | |
| Sector avg | — | -0.56% | — | 18.6 | +730.4% | 2844.1% | 1506 |