FHI
Next earnings: Jul 30, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-2.93%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 49Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
55.69
Open
55.53
Day Range53.89 – 55.58
53.89
55.58
52W Range41.55 – 59.05
41.55
59.05
71% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
811.2K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
10.5x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.03%
Beta
0.89
Market-like
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +12% YoY · 70% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 11x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 39.1 · FCF $4.16/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$4.10B
Revenue TTM$1.86B
Net Income TTM$398.90M
Free Cash Flow$302.10M
Gross Margin70.0%
Net Margin21.4%
Operating Margin27.4%
Return on Equity33.9%
Return on Assets18.6%
Debt / Equity0.37
Current Ratio39.13
EPS TTM$5.49
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Quarterly net flows into higher-fee equity and alternative strategies versus lower-fee money market products - positive organic growth signals competitive positioning

Equity market performance driving AUM appreciation - S&P 500 movements directly impact ~30-40% of AUM and corresponding fee revenue

Money market fund yields and Federal Reserve policy - rising rates increase money market AUM as investors shift from bank deposits, but also compress spreads

Fee rate trajectory across product mix - ability to maintain weighted average fee rates above 40 bps amid industry pressure toward passive products

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Asset management revenue correlates with equity market valuations and institutional risk appetite. During expansions, rising equity markets increase AUM through appreciation (60-70% of revenue sensitivity to market movements) and institutional clients increase allocations to higher-fee equity and alternative strategies. Recessions compress AUM through market declines and trigger defensive flows into money market funds (lower fees but stable). However, the recurring fee model provides more stability than transactional businesses, and money market strength during uncertainty partially offsets equity weakness. The 50.3% net income growth reflects strong equity market performance in 2025.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates have mixed effects on Federated Hermes. Higher rates increase money market fund attractiveness, driving inflows from bank deposits and expanding this segment (historically $200-300 billion AUM swing potential), but money market fee spreads compress as the firm must pay competitive yields to retain assets. For equity and fixed-income strategies, rising rates can pressure valuations and reduce AUM through market depreciation, though higher discount rates eventually stabilize at new equilibrium. The firm's financing costs are minimal given low leverage (0.29 D/E), so direct interest expense impact is negligible. Net effect depends on pace and magnitude of rate changes.

Key Risks

Secular shift to passive indexing and ETFs compressing active management fees - industry-wide pressure on fee rates averaging 5-10 bps annual decline, requiring continuous product innovation and scale

Regulatory changes affecting money market fund structure or capital requirements - SEC reforms could alter competitive dynamics or require operational restructuring, as occurred with 2016 money market reforms

ESG backlash and political polarization - Hermes EOS engagement platform faces regulatory scrutiny in certain US states restricting ESG considerations, potentially limiting institutional mandates

Investor Profile

value - The stock trades at 2.4x sales and 7.0x EV/EBITDA, below historical averages for quality asset managers, attracting value investors seeking exposure to financial market appreciation with downside protection from money market franchise. The 35.3% ROE and strong free cash flow generation appeal to investors focused on capital efficiency and potential for increased dividends or buybacks. Recent 44.3% one-year return suggests momentum investors have recognized improving fundamentals, but core holder base remains value-oriented given cyclical earnings profile.

Watch on Earnings
S&P 500 total return - primary driver of equity AUM appreciation representing 30-40% of total assetsFederal Funds effective rate and money market fund 7-day yields - determines money market competitive positioning and flow dynamicsUS institutional equity fund flows (ICI data) - industry-wide active versus passive trends signal competitive environmentHigh yield credit spreads (BAMLH0A0HYM2) - widening spreads indicate risk-off sentiment driving flows to money markets and away from equity strategies
Health Radar
6 strong
89/100
Liquidity
39.13Strong
Leverage
0.37Strong
Coverage
40.1xStrong
ROE
33.9%Strong
ROIC
17.9%Strong
Cash
$584MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE20 analysts
HOLD
+3.6%upside to target
Buy
420%
Hold
1260%
Sell
420%
4 Buy (20%)12 Hold (60%)4 Sell (20%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
4/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 49 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 39.13 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 18, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 31, 2026
In 106 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 6.9%

-3.8% vs SMA 50 · +2.8% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI49.2
Neutral territory
MACD-0.13
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$59.05+9.2%
EMA 50
$55.69+3.0%
Current
$54.06
EMA 200
$52.10-3.6%
52W Low
$41.55-23.1%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$41.5571th %ile$59.05
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:3
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)853K
Recent Vol (5D)
635K-26%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$1.6B
$1.6B$1.7B
$3.32
±3%
High5
FY2025
$1.8B
$1.8B$1.8B
+9.9%$4.97+49.5%
±1%
Moderate4
FY2026(current)
$2.0B
$1.9B$2.0B
+9.5%$5.16+3.8%
±1%
Moderate4
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryFHI
Last 8Q
+13.7%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+8%
Q3'24
+15%
Q4'24
+8%
Q1'25
+21%
Q2'25
+17%
Q3'25
+19%
Q4'25
+16%
Q1'26
+6%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Cowen & Co.Hold
May 14
DOWNGRADE
Keefe, Bruyette & W…Outperform
Jun 28
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $488K sold · 30d window
Germain Peter JEVP, CLO & Sec.
$271K
May 15
SELL
Burke Bryan MVice President
$217K
May 7
SELL
Donahue Thomas RDir
$1.7M
Mar 13
SELL
Uhlman Paul AVice President
$3.5M
Mar 12
SELL
Uhlman Paul AVice President
$584K
Mar 12
SELL
Van Meter StephenVP, Chief Comp…
$25K
Mar 5
SELL
Financials
Dividends2.59% yield
+12.3% avg annual growth
Annual Yield2.59%
Quarterly Div.$0.3800
Est. Annual / Share$1.52
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
5.9M
2
FMR LLC
4.6M
3
LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT
2.9M
4
Schneider Downs Wealth Management Advisors, LP
2.7M
5
FULLER & THALER ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC.
2.6M
6
AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
2.6M
7
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC
2.5M
8
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
2.2M
News & Activity

FHI News

About

federated hermes is guided by the conviction that responsible investing is the best way to create long-term wealth. we provide specialised capabilities across equity, fixed income and private markets, in addition to multi-asset strategies and proven liquidity-management solutions. through our world-leading stewardship services, we engage companies on strategic and sustainability concerns to promote investors’ long-term performance and fiduciary interests. our goals are to help individuals invest and retire better, to help clients achieve better risk-adjusted returns, and to contribute to positive outcomes in the wider world.

CEO
J. Christopher Donahue
Donald T. EllenbergerHead of Multi-Sector Strategies, Senior Vice President & Senior Portfolio Manager
Hans UtschSenior Vice President, Senior Portfolio Manager & Co-Head of Kaufmann Group
John Basil FisherVice President & Director
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
FHI
$54.06+0.00%$4.1B1500
$404.35-3.20%$2.1T30.5+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$132.58-6.05%$307.9B20.7-44.8%1012.0%1500
$88.38-2.58%$303.7B13.6+318.8%1510.7%1500
$148.08-1.13%$282.6B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$181.58-1.83%$281.6B26.9+862.9%1745.9%1500
$183.40-0.23%$256.1B16.8+213.3%1482.4%1500
Sector avg-2.15%21.6+874.0%2137.5%1500