FINV
Next earnings: May 20, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+1.41%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.7× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 51Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
4.96
Open
4.96
Day Range4.94 – 5.09
4.94
5.09
52W Range4.51 – 10.90
4.51
10.90
8% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.3M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
3.6x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.05%
Beta
0.96
Market-like
Performance
1D
+1.41%
5D
+5.01%
1M
+1.82%
3M
-2.33%
6M
-17.68%
YTD
-3.82%
1Y
-40.12%
Best: 5D (+5.01%)Worst: 1Y (-40.12%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +4% YoY · 79% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 4x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 73.7 · FCF $6.13/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$8.66B
Revenue TTM$13.53B
Net Income TTM$2.54B
Free Cash Flow$1.52B
Gross Margin78.6%
Net Margin18.8%
Operating Margin21.5%
Return on Equity15.8%
Return on Assets10.0%
Debt / Equity0.08
Current Ratio73.69
EPS TTM$10.22
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Quarterly loan origination volume growth and take rate trends - directly drives top-line revenue momentum

Credit quality metrics - particularly 30-day and 90-day delinquency rates, which signal risk-adjusted profitability and potential guarantee losses

Chinese regulatory developments - PBOC consumer lending rules, data privacy regulations, and fintech oversight policies

Funding partner relationships and institutional capital availability - determines platform capacity and growth constraints

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Consumer lending demand and credit quality are highly correlated with Chinese GDP growth, employment levels, and household income trends. During economic slowdowns, loan origination volumes decline as consumers reduce borrowing, while delinquencies rise as borrowers face income stress. The unsecured nature of loans (no collateral) amplifies credit losses during recessions. Estimated 60-70% correlation between loan growth and Chinese retail sales/consumer spending patterns.

Interest Rates

Moderate sensitivity to Chinese interest rate policy (PBOC loan prime rate). Rising rates increase funding costs for institutional partners, which can compress take rates as the platform absorbs some cost to maintain competitiveness. However, the company's asset-light model limits direct balance sheet exposure. More significantly, rate increases dampen consumer borrowing demand and can trigger regulatory tightening in consumer credit markets. US rate policy has indirect impact through USD/CNY exchange rate effects on cross-border funding costs.

Key Risks

Chinese regulatory uncertainty - government has demonstrated willingness to rapidly restructure fintech sector (precedent: Ant Financial IPO cancellation, data security laws). Potential for loan rate caps, leverage restrictions, or platform licensing requirements that fundamentally alter economics.

Technology platform disintermediation - large banks developing proprietary digital lending capabilities could bypass third-party platforms, while big tech competitors (Tencent, Alibaba affiliates) have superior customer acquisition advantages through ecosystem integration.

Data privacy and algorithm transparency mandates - new regulations requiring explainable AI and limiting alternative data usage could erode credit model advantages and increase compliance costs.

Investor Profile

value - the 0.6x book value, 2.1x EV/EBITDA, and 198% FCF yield attract deep value investors willing to accept Chinese regulatory risk and credit cycle uncertainty for potential mean reversion. The -32% one-year return and -38% six-month decline suggest capitulation selling has created contrarian opportunity, though falling knife risk remains elevated. Not suitable for growth investors given 3.7% revenue growth, nor dividend investors despite strong cash generation (capital likely retained for regulatory buffers).

Watch on Earnings
Chinese retail sales growth rate (proxy for consumer credit demand)PBOC loan prime rate (1-year and 5-year benchmarks affecting consumer lending rates)Chinese household leverage ratio (household debt/GDP - systemic credit risk indicator)USD/CNY exchange rate volatility (affects cross-border funding costs and earnings translation)
Health Radar
4 strong1 watch1 concern
60/100
Liquidity
73.69Strong
Leverage
0.08Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
15.8%Strong
ROIC
9.4%Watch
Cash
$6.2BStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE4 analysts
BUY
+18.1%upside to target
L $5.68
Med $5.94consensus
H $6.20
Buy
4100%
4 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
5 of 5 signals bullish
10/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 51 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 73.69 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 15, 2026
In 104 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 19.4%

-4.5% vs SMA 50 · -23.1% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI50.8
Neutral territory
MACD-0.09
Below zero — bearish pulse · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$10.90+116.7%
EMA 200
$6.56+30.4%
EMA 50
$5.14+2.1%
Current
$5.03
52W Low
$4.50-10.4%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$4.508th %ile$10.90
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:4
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.4M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.5M+5%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 7 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$93.1B
$86.8B$97.7B
$59.36
±8%
High5
FY2024
$13.2B
$13.0B$13.4B
-85.9%$9.24-84.4%
±8%
High6
FY2025
$13.6B
$13.2B$13.7B
+3.1%$10.09+9.2%
±4%
High7
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryFINV
Last 8Q
+30.1%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates falling
+53%
Q1'19
+43%
Q2'19
+26%
Q3'19
+4%
Q4'19
+1%
Q1'20
+111%
Q2'20
-5%
Q4'25
+9%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
UBSBuy
May 23
UPGRADE
CitigroupBuy
Mar 18
UPGRADE
UBSBuy
Feb 1
UPGRADE
Financials
Dividends5.69% yield
+26.3% avg annual growth
Annual Yield5.69%
Annual Div.$0.2860
Est. Annual / Share$0.29
FrequencyAnnual
Q2'19
Q2'20
Q2'21
Q2'22
Q2'23
Q2'24
Q2'25
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
DGS Capital Management, LLC
267K
2
COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA PUBLIC SCHOOL EMPLS RETRMT SYS
210K
3
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
125K
4
Pictet Asset Management Holding SA
97K
5
QRG CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC.
75K
6
Nuveen, LLC
75K
7
MOODY ALDRICH PARTNERS LLC
58K
8
Vise Technologies, Inc.
56K
News & Activity

FINV News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

上海拍拍贷金融信息服务有限公司 is a management consulting company based out of 中国(上海)自由贸易试验区丹桂路999弄10号、20号, 上海市, 上海市, china.

Industry
Credit Card Issuing
CEO
Feng Zhang
Country
China (Mainland)
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
FINV
$5.03+1.41%$1.3B3.4+102.5%1873.6%1500
$397.67+0.41%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.95+0.10%$316.0B14.1+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.46-0.32%$305.1B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$184.74-1.40%$286.4B27.2+862.9%1745.9%1500
$146.57-0.87%$279.7B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$88.98-1.86%$251.9B14.4-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg-0.36%18.8+739.1%2025.5%1500