FIX
Next earnings: Jul 23, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bullish11!
Price
1
Move+4.60%Strong session
Volume
1
Volume0.4× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 76Overbought
PRICE
Prev Close
1,891.95
Open
1,951.50
Day Range1,938.00 – 1,981.57
1,938.00
1,981.57
52W Range422.53 – 1,981.57
422.53
1,981.57
100% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
436.0K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
57.0x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.00%
Beta
1.05
Market-like
Performance
1D
+1.38%
5D
+10.03%
1M
+31.99%
3M
+69.03%
6M
+98.00%
YTD
+102.81%
1Y
+334.84%
Best: 1Y (+334.84%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +38% YoY
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 57x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.2 · FCF $39.28/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$66.63B
Revenue TTM$10.14B
Net Income TTM$1.22B
Free Cash Flow$1.38B
Gross Margin25.1%
Net Margin12.1%
Operating Margin15.7%
Return on Equity51.7%
Return on Assets17.6%
Debt / Equity0.13
Current Ratio1.24
EPS TTM$34.76
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Data center construction activity and hyperscaler capex announcements (AWS, Microsoft, Google infrastructure spending)

Commercial construction spending trends and non-residential building permits (offices, healthcare, industrial facilities)

Service contract bookings and recurring revenue growth rates (indicates business quality shift)

Backlog growth and project margin trends (forward revenue visibility and pricing power)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Revenue directly tied to non-residential construction activity, which correlates strongly with GDP growth, corporate capex, and commercial real estate development. Data center buildouts provide counter-cyclical support (driven by secular cloud/AI trends), but office, retail, and industrial construction segments are highly cyclical. Service revenue (30-35% of total) provides partial downside protection during recessions as maintenance is non-discretionary for critical facilities.

Interest Rates

Moderate negative sensitivity to rising rates through two channels: (1) Higher financing costs reduce commercial real estate development activity and delay construction projects (12-18 month lag effect), (2) Customer capex decisions become more sensitive to hurdle rates, potentially deferring discretionary HVAC upgrades. However, strong balance sheet (0.19 D/E) minimizes direct financing cost impact. Service business is relatively rate-insensitive as maintenance is non-discretionary.

Key Risks

Labor availability and skilled trades shortage: HVAC technicians, pipefitters, and electricians face demographic challenges with aging workforce and insufficient vocational training pipeline, potentially constraining growth and inflating wage costs

Energy efficiency regulations and building code evolution: Transition to electrification, heat pumps, and stricter energy standards creates retrofit opportunities but requires continuous workforce retraining and technology investment

Fragmented market with 10,000+ regional mechanical contractors creates pricing pressure in commoditized segments; national accounts increasingly demanding coast-to-coast coverage favors scale players

Investor Profile

growth - Stock attracts growth investors despite industrial sector classification due to: (1) 35% revenue growth and 62% EPS growth significantly exceeding industrial peers, (2) Secular tailwinds from data center infrastructure and building electrification trends, (3) Business model shift toward higher-margin recurring service revenue improving quality of earnings, (4) M&A-driven consolidation story in fragmented market. Premium valuation (37.9x EV/EBITDA vs. 12-15x for typical contractors) reflects growth expectations and recurring revenue mix. Momentum investors attracted by 234% one-year return.

Watch on Earnings
Dodge Momentum Index (non-residential construction planning activity leading indicator)Commercial construction spending (Census Bureau monthly data) - offices, healthcare, manufacturing facilitiesData center construction starts and hyperscaler capex guidance (AWS, Azure, Google Cloud quarterly reports)Building permits for commercial structures (FRED: PERMIT series)
Health Radar
4 strong2 watch
81/100
Liquidity
1.24Watch
Leverage
0.13Strong
Coverage
166.2xStrong
ROE
51.7%Strong
ROIC
37.1%Strong
Cash
$982MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE9 analysts
BUY
+0.7%upside to target
L $1,800.00
Med $1,992.00consensus
H $2,004.00
Buy
556%
Hold
444%
5 Buy (56%)4 Hold (44%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 76 — Overbought, caution
~
Volume
Volume FlowLean Accumulation
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.24
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 1, 2026
In 119 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 43.3%

+29.2% vs SMA 50 · +85.2% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI75.7
Overbought — pullback risk
MACD+108.47
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$1,982+0.1%
Current
$1,979
EMA 50
$1,561-21.1%
EMA 200
$1,106-44.1%
52W Low
$422.5-78.6%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$422.5100th %ile$1,982
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:4
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)340K
Recent Vol (5D)
297K-13%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$5.6B
$5.3B$5.7B
$10.13
±5%
Low2
FY2024
$6.9B
$6.5B$7.3B
+24.4%$14.31+41.3%
±1%
Moderate3
FY2025
$8.8B
$8.8B$8.8B
+26.9%$26.27+83.5%
±1%
High5
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryFIX
Last 8Q
+28.0%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+19%
Q3'24
+3%
Q4'24
+13%
Q1'25
+30%
Q2'25
+35%
Q3'25
+31%
Q4'25
+39%
Q1'26
+54%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Mild positive momentum
30d10
90d10
KeyBancOverweight
Apr 24
UPGRADE
UBSBuy
Nov 19
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $3.5M sold · 30d window
Mercado, Pablo G.Dir
$890K
Apr 30
SELL
Sandbrook William JDir
$2.6M
Apr 29
SELL
Reed TerrenceSVP & CHRO
$978K
Feb 24
SELL
Reed TerrenceSVP & CHRO
$1.6M
Mar 3
SELL
Anderson DarcyDir
$6.2M
Mar 3
SELL
Shaeff JulieCHIEF ACCOUNTI…
$3.2M
Mar 3
SELL
Financials
Dividends0.12% yield
+75.2% avg annual growth
Annual Yield0.12%
Quarterly Div.$0.8000
Est. Annual / Share$3.20
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
188K
2
SG Americas Securities, LLC
153K
3
ROYAL LONDON ASSET MANAGEMENT LTD
138K
4
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
82K
5
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
68K
6
CONGRESS ASSET MANAGEMENT CO /MA
55K
7
Artemis Investment Management LLP
37K
8
TEACHER RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF TEXAS
33K
News & Activity

FIX News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

comfort systems usa is a national heating, ventilation and cooling (hvac) company that offers you a single company to provide complete hvac service, anywhere, anytime. while comfort systems usa is young, our companies average nearly thirty years of experience each. our vast portfolio includes hvac work for virtually every type of building you encounter - from your neighborhood grocery or school, to your favorite museums, libraries, retailers and restaurants. our technical experts design, install and fine-tune hvac systems for downtown high-rises, hospitals, universities, and national hotels. we’re also behind the scenes at factories and industrial plants that produce everything from potato chips to computer chips. the advantages of working with a national leader of our size and scope far exceed what the industry has provided until now. by merging the talents of top hvac-related firms from around the country, comfort systems usa renders the widest range of technical expertise and servic

CEO
Brian Lane
Brian E. LaneCEO & Director
Trent T. McKennaPresident & COO
Michael GoldbergVice President & Corporate Controller
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
FIX
$1978.99+1.38%$66.6B54.5+2951.5%1123.5%1500
$397.41+0.99%$2.1T30.6+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$87.00-1.98%$309.8B14.1+318.8%1510.7%1500
$133.63+1.35%$309.3B23.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$181.09-0.69%$284.4B27.1+862.9%1745.9%1500
$145.13-1.33%$275.9B20.5+597.3%2564.4%1500
$89.96+0.31%$252.7B14.3-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg+0.00%26.4+1146.1%1918.4%1500