FPI
Next earnings: Jul 22, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move-0.37%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume1.0× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 34Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
10.75
Open
10.78
Day Range10.57 – 10.89
10.57
10.89
52W Range9.37 – 13.23
9.37
13.23
35% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
544.2K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
18.1x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.02%
Beta
0.61
Low vol
Performance
1D
-0.37%
5D
-8.54%
1M
-6.30%
3M
-4.97%
6M
+6.78%
YTD
+10.53%
1Y
+3.18%
Best: YTD (+10.53%)Worst: 5D (-8.54%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
79% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 18x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 18.0 · FCF $0.45/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$467.27M
Revenue TTM$53.83M
Net Income TTM$30.15M
Free Cash Flow$19.30M
Gross Margin78.7%
Net Margin56.0%
Operating Margin45.6%
Return on Equity6.5%
Return on Assets4.2%
Debt / Equity0.50
Current Ratio18.04
EPS TTM$0.70
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Corn and soybean futures prices - directly impact tenant farmer profitability and lease renewal rates

Farmland transaction comps and cap rates - determine acquisition opportunities and NAV valuations

USDA crop reports and yield forecasts - affect tenant cash flows and crop share revenue

Interest rate movements - impact REIT valuation multiples and acquisition financing costs

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low-to-moderate - Farmland REITs exhibit defensive characteristics as food demand is non-discretionary and global. However, tenant farmer profitability correlates with commodity prices, which fluctuate with economic growth, biofuel demand, and export markets. Strong GDP growth in emerging markets (China, India) supports grain demand, while US industrial activity affects ethanol consumption and corn prices. Agricultural land values historically appreciate during inflationary periods, providing a hedge.

Interest Rates

Rising rates negatively impact FPI through two channels: (1) REIT valuation multiples compress as dividend yields become less attractive relative to risk-free rates, and (2) acquisition financing costs increase, reducing accretive deal flow. However, farmland has historically exhibited low correlation to interest rates due to its real asset characteristics and inflation-hedging properties. The company's zero debt position (per fundamentals) eliminates refinancing risk but suggests equity-funded growth, making cost of capital critical.

Key Risks

Climate change and water scarcity - increasing frequency of droughts, floods, and extreme weather events could impair soil productivity and reduce land values in vulnerable regions, particularly in the Western US where water rights are contested

Technological disruption in agriculture - precision farming, vertical farming, and lab-grown proteins could alter land demand dynamics over 10-20 year horizons, though row crop farmland remains essential for commodity production

Trade policy volatility - tariffs on agricultural exports (particularly to China) directly impact grain prices and tenant profitability, as seen in 2018-2019 trade tensions

Investor Profile

value and income - FPI appeals to investors seeking inflation-hedged real assets, portfolio diversification away from traditional equity/bond correlation, and stable dividend income. The 102.9% net margin (likely includes non-cash gains) and 3.0% FCF yield attract yield-focused investors, though the 1.3% revenue growth suggests limited growth appeal. Recent 25.5% 3-month return indicates momentum interest, possibly driven by commodity price rallies or acquisition announcements.

Watch on Earnings
CBOT corn futures (ZCUSX) and soybean futures (ZSUSX) - primary revenue drivers for Midwest tenant baseUSDA farmland value reports - benchmark for NAV and acquisition pricingFertilizer prices (nitrogen, phosphate) - input cost pressure on tenant margins affects lease affordabilityUS dollar index - stronger dollar pressures agricultural export competitiveness and grain prices
Health Radar
3 strong1 watch2 concern
53/100
Liquidity
18.04Strong
Leverage
0.50Strong
Coverage
2.5xWatch
ROE
6.5%Concern
ROIC
25.9%Strong
Cash
$9MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE15 analysts
HOLD
+58.7%upside to target
Buy
640%
Hold
960%
6 Buy (40%)9 Hold (60%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
4/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 34 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 18.04 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentOct 29, 2026
In 179 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 5.1%

-5.6% vs SMA 50 · -0.8% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI33.6
Momentum fading
MACD-0.06
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$13.22+23.5%
EMA 50
$11.33+5.8%
EMA 200
$10.87+1.5%
Current
$10.71
52W Low
$9.37-12.6%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$9.3735th %ile$13.22
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:5
Edge:+3 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)453K
Recent Vol (5D)
442K-2%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$56.9M
$56.2M$57.4M
$0.57
±1%
Low1
FY2024
$46.0M
$45.9M$46.1M
-19.1%$1.10+95.3%
±1%
Low1
FY2025
$33.5M
$33.1M$33.8M
-27.3%$0.34-68.9%
±1%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryFPI
Last 8Q
+15.0%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates rising
-64%
Q3'24
+153%
Q4'24
+12%
Q1'25
-17%
Q2'25
-25%
Q3'25
+17%
Q4'25
+19%
Q1'26
+25%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Evercore ISIBuy
Jan 13
UPGRADE
Wells FargoEqual-Weight
Jan 13
DOWNGRADE
RBC CapitalUnderperform
Jan 13
DOWNGRADE
GuggenheimSell
Jan 13
DOWNGRADE
Northcoast ResearchNeutral
Jan 13
DOWNGRADE
DesjardinsSell
Jan 13
DOWNGRADE
Janney MontgomeryNeutral
Jan 13
DOWNGRADE
Goldman SachsSell
Jan 13
DOWNGRADE
BarclaysUnderweight
Jan 13
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
5 Buys/1 SellNet Buying
Grafton Jennifer SDir
$20K
Feb 24
SELL
Grafton Jennifer SDir
$20K
Feb 24
BUY
Good John ADir
$31K
Dec 15
BUY
Good John ADir
$40K
Nov 10
BUY
Sherrick Bruce JDir
$86K
Aug 14
BUY
Sherrick Bruce JDir
$73K
May 19
BUY
Financials
Dividends4.39% yield
+26.1% avg annual growth
Annual Yield4.39%
Quarterly Div.$0.0900
Est. Annual / Share$0.36
FrequencyQuarterly
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26
Q3'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd
139K
2
Janney Montgomery Scott LLC
82K
3
Nuveen, LLC
65K
4
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
44K
5
Red Door Wealth Management, LLC
40K
6
Comprehensive Money Management Services LLC
36K
7
COMMONWEALTH EQUITY SERVICES, LLC
28K
8
State of Alaska, Department of Revenue
24K
News & Activity

FPI News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

farmland partners inc. (nyse: fpi) is an internally managed real estate company that owns and seeks to acquire high-quality north american farmland and makes loans to farmers secured by farm real estate. fpi was founded by farmers, and the management team has years of hands-on farm operations experience. one of fpi’s primary goals is to align with top quality operators in various parts of the united states in an effort to build a diverse portfolio of agricultural assets across the spectrum of crops. this diversification, combined with stable rental income generation and potential value appreciation, provides an attractive risk-adjusted return over time. as of march 28, 2016, the company's portfolio is comprised of 258 farms with an aggregate of 108,163 acres (including four farms totaling 8,511 acres under contract) in arkansas, colorado, georgia, illinois, kansas, louisiana, michigan, mississippi, nebraska, north carolina, south carolina, texas and virginia. this land is currently bei

Industry
Lessors of Nonresidential Buildings (except Miniwarehouses)
CEO
Paul Pittman
Luca FabbriPresident, CEO & Board Director
Richard KeckVice President of Operations
PeersReal Estate(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
FPI
$10.71-0.37%$467M15.3-1038.7%6045.7%1500
$216.91-0.20%$153.1B107.8+3582.4%878.3%1511
$141.41-0.43%$131.8B35.4+717.6%3880.1%1505
$1085.03+0.20%$107.0B75.1+585.3%1457.9%1524
$181.61-0.60%$84.6B29.4+511.4%2376.5%1491
$200.70-0.12%$69.0B50.3+1004.0%2140.8%1518
$202.44-0.62%$65.8B14.3+671.9%7251.1%1507
Sector avg-0.31%46.8+862.0%3432.9%1508