Kolter Urban Selects FirstService Residential to Manage Art House St. Petersburg
FirstService Residential to deliver property management and lifestyle services to this striking new…
Net interest margin expansion/compression driven by Fed funds rate changes and deposit beta (cost of deposits relative to rate increases)
Commercial real estate loan growth and credit quality metrics in Pacific Northwest markets, particularly Seattle-area office and multifamily exposure
Deposit growth and mix shift between non-interest bearing and interest-bearing accounts
Credit provision expenses and non-performing asset trends, especially in CRE portfolio
high - Regional banks are highly sensitive to local economic conditions. Commercial real estate lending performance depends on Pacific Northwest employment growth, office occupancy rates, and multifamily demand. Consumer loan quality correlates with unemployment rates. Revenue growth tied to loan demand which contracts in recessions. Historical beta for regional banks typically 1.2-1.5x market.
Net interest margin expands when Fed raises rates (assuming deposit costs lag), but prolonged high rates can compress loan demand and increase credit losses. Inverted yield curve (negative T10Y2Y spread) historically pressures bank profitability by raising short-term funding costs while capping long-term loan yields. Current rate environment as of February 2026 critical to NIM trajectory. Mortgage banking income declines when rates rise due to reduced refinancing activity.
Concentration risk in Pacific Northwest geography limits diversification; Seattle-area economic slowdown or tech sector weakness disproportionately impacts loan portfolio
Commercial real estate structural headwinds from remote work reducing office demand and potential overbuilding in multifamily sector during 2020-2023 period
Regulatory burden and compliance costs rising for community banks, creating scale disadvantages versus larger regionals with technology investments
value - Trading at 1.0x price/book with 11.1% ROE attracts value investors seeking discount to tangible book value. 15.7% FCF yield appeals to income-focused investors. Negative earnings growth (-4.8%) and modest revenue growth (6.8%) limits growth investor appeal. Regional bank stocks typically attract investors with views on interest rate policy and regional economic growth rather than momentum traders.
Trend
-3.0% vs SMA 50 · +18.4% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2023 | $138.8M $138.0M–$139.7M | — | $4.63 | — | ±1% | Low1 |
FY2024 | $141.3M $137.5M–$145.0M | ▲ +1.7% | $4.06 | ▼ -12.4% | ±1% | Low2 |
FY2025 | $150.9M $150.6M–$151.2M | ▲ +6.8% | $4.32 | ▲ +6.3% | ±1% | Moderate3 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
FirstService Residential to deliver property management and lifestyle services to this striking new…
FS Bancorp, Inc., a Washington corporation, is the holding company for 1st Security Bank of Washington. The Bank provides loan and deposit services to customers who are predominantly small- and middle-market businesses and individuals in Western Washington through its 21 bank branches, one headquarters office that accepts deposits, and seven loan production offices in various suburban communities in the greater Puget Sound area, and one loan production office in the market area of the Tri-Cities, Washington. The Bank services home mortgage customers throughout Washington State with an emphasis in the Puget Sound and Tri-Cities home lending markets.
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FSBW◀ | $39.60 | -1.25% | $294M | 9.0 | +677.5% | 1533.1% | 1500 |
| $297.81 | -0.70% | $798.0B | 14.1 | +330.7% | 2039.3% | 1503 | |
| $325.75 | +1.00% | $624.4B | 28.0 | +1134.0% | 5014.5% | 1500 | |
| $494.20 | +0.87% | $436.7B | 28.3 | +1641.6% | 4564.7% | 1490 | |
| $49.77 | -0.16% | $353.2B | 11.4 | -45.1% | 1592.6% | 1495 | |
| $192.51 | -1.04% | $303.6B | 16.6 | +1147.7% | 1466.4% | 1526 | |
| $948.47 | -2.11% | $279.8B | 15.9 | -138.4% | 1373.0% | 1526 | |
| Sector avg | — | -0.48% | — | 17.6 | +678.3% | 2511.9% | 1506 |