GAIA
Next earnings: Aug 10, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-6.32%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume1.4× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 36Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
2.53
Open
2.52
Day Range2.36 – 2.52
2.36
2.52
52W Range2.30 – 6.39
2.30
6.39
2% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
75.6K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-12.5x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.75
Low vol
Performance
1D
-6.32%
5D
-3.27%
1M
-15.36%
3M
-27.52%
6M
-40.45%
YTD
-34.71%
1Y
-44.50%
Worst: 1Y (-44.50%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +8% YoY · 85% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 0.6 (low) · FCF negative
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$59.28M
Revenue TTM$99.43M
Net Income TTM-$4.74M
Free Cash Flow-$776.0K
Gross Margin84.8%
Net Margin-4.8%
Operating Margin-5.6%
Return on Equity-5.5%
Return on Assets-3.1%
Debt / Equity0.11
Current Ratio0.56
EPS TTM$-0.19
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Quarterly subscriber count growth and churn rates (key indicator of platform momentum)

Average revenue per user (ARPU) trends reflecting pricing power and engagement

Content production pipeline announcements and original programming launches

Marketing efficiency metrics (customer acquisition cost vs lifetime value)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Subscription services demonstrate relative resilience during downturns due to low absolute price points ($12/month), but discretionary wellness spending can contract during recessions. Consumer sentiment affects new subscriber acquisition more than existing member retention. The niche wellness/spirituality focus may provide some counter-cyclical characteristics as consumers seek stress relief during economic uncertainty, though this is unproven at scale.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact Gaia through multiple channels: (1) higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for unprofitable growth companies, (2) reduced consumer discretionary spending affects subscription budgets, and (3) increased competition for entertainment dollars as consumers prioritize essential services. The company's minimal debt (0.12 D/E) limits direct financing cost exposure, but equity valuation remains highly rate-sensitive given negative earnings.

Key Risks

Market saturation in core wellness/spirituality niche limits total addressable market to estimated 5-10 million potential subscribers globally versus mainstream platforms

Content commoditization as major platforms (YouTube, Amazon Prime) expand free and paid wellness content offerings, eroding differentiation

Technological disruption from AI-generated personalized wellness content and virtual reality meditation experiences

Investor Profile

growth - The stock attracts speculative growth investors betting on niche streaming market expansion and path to profitability, despite current losses. The 86% gross margin profile suggests potential for significant operating leverage if scale is achieved. Recent 36% one-year decline reflects shift away from unprofitable growth stocks in higher rate environment. Not suitable for value or income investors given negative earnings and no dividend.

Watch on Earnings
Monthly active users and subscriber retention cohort analysisCustomer acquisition cost (CAC) payback period and lifetime value (LTV) ratiosContent hours viewed per subscriber as engagement proxyOperating cash flow burn rate and runway to profitability
Health Radar
1 strong5 concern
24/100
Liquidity
0.56Concern
Leverage
0.11Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
-5.5%Concern
ROIC
-4.7%Concern
Cash
$14MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE6 analysts
BUY
Buy
583%
Hold
117%
5 Buy (83%)1 Hold (17%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 36 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.56 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 9, 2026
In 116 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 9.6%

-42.8% vs SMA 50 · -37.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI36.2
Momentum fading
MACD-0.23
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$6.39+169.6%
EMA 50
$4.07+71.6%
EMA 200
$3.77+58.9%
Current
$2.37
52W Low
$2.30-3.0%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$2.302th %ile$6.39
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:4
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)80K
Recent Vol (5D)
99K+23%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$84.7M
$82.1M$86.7M
-$0.26
±4%
Low1
FY2024
$90.3M
$87.5M$92.4M
+6.5%-$0.22
±4%
Low2
FY2025
$98.8M
$98.8M$98.8M
+9.5%-$0.18
±1%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryGAIA
Last 8Q
-15.3%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates falling
-80%
Q3'24
+17%
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
+12%
Q3'25
Q4'25
-100%
Q1'26
+29%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Sutherland Paul How…Dir
$6K
Mar 18
BUY
Sutherland Paul How…Dir
$5K
Mar 17
BUY
Sutherland Paul How…Dir
$17K
Mar 16
BUY
Sutherland Paul How…Dir
$6K
Mar 13
BUY
Sutherland Paul How…Dir
$32K
Mar 10
BUY
Sutherland Paul How…Dir
$32K
Mar 6
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
1.1M
2
Peapod Lane Capital LLC
631K
3
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
423K
4
S Squared Technology, LLC
245K
5
P.A.W. CAPITAL CORP
150K
6
NORTHERN TRUST CORP
130K
7
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC
121K
8
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO
114K
News & Activity

GAIA News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

gaia, originally gaiam tv, is a streaming video subscription service offering exclusive streaming conscious-media content. gaia’s library contains more than 7,000 films, documentaries and original programs to guide its viewers on their journeys of personal growth, spirituality and seeking truth. gaia offers members the unique capability to download content for offline viewing. gaia is currently available on the apple tv, ipad, iphone, google chromecast, roku and internet browsers.

CEO
Jirka Rysavy
PeersCommunication Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
GAIA
$2.37-6.32%$59M+950.7%-454.2%1500
$396.78-1.07%$4.8T30.0+1512.6%3280.0%1523
$393.32-0.97%$4.8T30.0+1512.6%3280.0%1522
$614.23-0.68%$1.6T22.1+2216.7%3008.4%1501
$87.02+0.09%$366.4B27.5+1585.1%2430.4%1479
$185.22-1.58%$200.4B19.3+848.8%1244.7%1485
$46.37-1.47%$193.6B11.2+252.5%1242.8%1505
Sector avg-1.71%23.3+1268.4%2004.6%1502