GOGO
Next earnings: Aug 6, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-4.43%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 44Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
4.06
Open
4.06
Day Range3.82 – 4.10
3.82
4.10
52W Range3.82 – 16.82
3.82
16.82
0% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.8M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
38.8x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.95
Market-like
Performance
1D
-4.43%
5D
-16.92%
1M
-17.97%
3M
-6.95%
6M
-45.66%
YTD
-16.74%
1Y
-68.20%
Worst: 1Y (-68.20%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +59% YoY · 53% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 39x vs ~20x sector
Health
WEAK
CR 1.7 · FCF negative
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$524.73M
Revenue TTM$906.50M
Net Income TTM$13.97M
Free Cash Flow-$647.0K
Gross Margin52.9%
Net Margin1.5%
Operating Margin12.4%
Return on Equity13.0%
Return on Assets1.1%
Debt / Equity7.54
Current Ratio1.66
EPS TTM$0.10
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net aircraft online (AOL) additions or churn - the installed base metric directly drives recurring service revenue trajectory

Average revenue per unit (ARPU) trends - upselling from legacy ATG to Gogo 5G satellite service at 3-5x higher monthly fees

Business jet flight activity and utilization rates - correlates with corporate travel budgets and directly impacts data consumption revenue

Debt refinancing announcements or covenant compliance - given 8.5x leverage ratio, any balance sheet stress triggers significant equity volatility

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Business aviation demand is highly correlated with corporate profitability and executive travel budgets, making Gogo's revenue vulnerable to GDP contractions. During recessions, corporate flight departments reduce utilization (lowering data consumption revenue) and defer aircraft upgrades (reducing equipment sales). The 2020 pandemic demonstrated this sensitivity with business jet flight hours declining 30-40% peak-to-trough. Recovery depends on corporate earnings strength and business confidence, not consumer spending.

Interest Rates

Elevated interest rate sensitivity operates through two channels: (1) Direct impact on debt servicing costs given 8.5x leverage and likely floating-rate debt components, compressing net margins as rates rise. (2) Indirect demand impact as higher rates reduce corporate capital expenditure budgets and business jet purchases, slowing new aircraft installations. The negative ROE suggests interest expense already exceeds net income, making rate increases materially dilutive to equity value. Additionally, higher risk-free rates compress valuation multiples for unprofitable growth companies.

Key Risks

Technological disruption from Starlink or LEO satellite constellations offering lower-cost, higher-bandwidth alternatives with global coverage versus Gogo's North America-focused ATG network

Business aviation market maturity with limited fleet growth potential - global business jet fleet grows only 2-3% annually, capping subscriber base expansion

Regulatory spectrum allocation changes affecting ATG network licenses or satellite bandwidth availability

Investor Profile

value/distressed - The 0.7x price-to-sales ratio, 50% YoY decline, and negative ROE attract deep value investors betting on operational turnaround or restructuring scenarios. High leverage and volatility appeal to distressed debt specialists and event-driven hedge funds. Not suitable for growth investors given mature market or dividend investors given negative profitability. Momentum investors are absent given sustained downtrend.

Watch on Earnings
Business jet flight activity indices (NBAA or ARGUS flight hour data) - leading indicator for service revenue trendsNet aircraft online (AOL) quarterly additions - primary growth metric disclosed in earningsGogo 5G subscriber penetration rate within installed base - tracks technology transition and ARPU expansion potentialAdjusted EBITDA margin and free cash flow conversion - measures operating leverage realization and debt paydown capacity
Health Radar
3 watch3 concern
27/100
Liquidity
1.66Watch
Leverage
7.54Concern
Coverage
1.6xConcern
ROE
13.0%Watch
ROIC
5.2%Concern
Cash
$125MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE13 analysts
HOLD
+157.7%upside to target
L $8.00
Med $10.00consensus
H $12.00
Buy
538%
Hold
862%
5 Buy (38%)8 Hold (62%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 44 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.66 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 18, 2026
In 125 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 35.9%

-11.9% vs SMA 50 · -43.6% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI43.9
Momentum fading
MACD-0.07
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$16.82+333.5%
EMA 200
$7.27+87.5%
EMA 50
$4.42+13.9%
Current
$3.88
52W Low
$3.82-1.5%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$3.820th %ile$16.82
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:2
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.8M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.4M-22%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$402.1M
$396.3M$408.2M
$0.52
±2%
Low2
FY2024
$404.5M
$402.3M$407.0M
+0.6%$0.35-32.1%
±10%
High5
FY2025
$902.8M
$894.6M$907.8M
+123.2%$0.19-44.7%
±11%
Moderate4
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryGOGO
Last 8Q
+43.1%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates rising
+43%
Q3'24
+140%
Q4'24
+75%
Q1'25
+260%
Q2'25
+8%
Q3'25
-9%
Q4'25
-150%
Q1'26
-22%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
William BlairOutperform → Market Perform
Dec 9
DOWNGRADE
Morgan StanleyUnderweight → Equal-Weight
Nov 1
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyUnderweight
Oct 6
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Townsend Charles CDir
$724K
Mar 12
BUY
Townsend Charles CDir
$415K
Mar 11
BUY
Thorne OakleighDir
$803K
Dec 12
BUY
Thorne OakleighDir
$105K
Dec 12
BUY
Townsend Charles CDir
$224K
Nov 19
BUY
Townsend Charles CDir
$404K
Nov 18
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
12.0M
2
Capco Asset Management, LLC
2.8M
3
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
1.4M
4
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO
1.0M
5
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC
967K
6
ALGERT GLOBAL LLC
948K
7
UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS INC
826K
8
HRT FINANCIAL LP
825K
News & Activity

GOGO News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

in air. online. gogo is the essential flight upgrade, granting access to exclusive in-air experiences that keep you connected to life. don’t leave ground without it. we empower passengers who travel with their wi-fi enabled devices, such as laptops and handhelds, and allow them to surf the web, check e-mail, instant message, access corporate vpns, and basically stay connected to life. it’s all part of our mission to become everyone’s favorite part of flying. you can also follow gogo on twitter.com/gogo and facebook.com/gogo

CEO
Oakleigh Thorne
Zachary CotnerExecutive VP, CFO & Treasurer
Andrew E. GeistSenior Vice President of Business Aviation Solutions
Hayden OlsonExecutive Vice President & GM of Satcom Direct Government
PeersCommunication Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
GOGO
$3.88-4.43%$525M37.7+10473.9%141.9%1500
$396.78-1.07%$4.8T30.0+1512.6%3280.0%1523
$393.32-0.97%$4.8T30.0+1512.6%3280.0%1522
$614.23-0.68%$1.6T22.1+2216.7%3008.4%1501
$87.02+0.09%$366.4B27.5+1585.1%2430.4%1479
$185.22-1.58%$200.4B19.3+848.8%1244.7%1485
$46.37-1.47%$193.6B11.2+252.5%1242.8%1505
Sector avg-1.44%25.4+2628.9%2089.7%1502