GOOD
Earnings in 2 days · May 5, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+1.90%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.5× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 63Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
12.61
Open
12.60
Day Range12.58 – 12.87
12.58
12.87
52W Range10.33 – 15.03
10.33
15.03
54% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
451.2K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
91.8x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.08%
Beta
0.78
Low vol
Performance
1D
+1.90%
5D
+2.23%
1M
+9.83%
3M
+10.68%
6M
+12.42%
YTD
+20.43%
1Y
-9.63%
Best: YTD (+20.43%)Worst: 1Y (-9.63%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +8% · 6% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 92x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.6 · FCF $1.87/sh
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$622.03M
Revenue TTM$161.34M
Net Income TTM$19.29M
Free Cash Flow$88.15M
Gross Margin5.9%
Net Margin12.0%
Operating Margin37.2%
Return on Equity8.7%
Return on Assets1.5%
Debt / Equity2.51
Current Ratio1.63
EPS TTM$0.41
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Acquisition volume and cap rates - ability to deploy capital accretively in competitive market

Same-store NOI growth driven by contractual rent escalators (typically 1-3% annually) and lease renewal spreads

Occupancy rates and lease expiration management - vacancy creates immediate NOI loss in single-tenant model

Debt refinancing costs and access to capital markets - 4.60x leverage makes refinancing risk material

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Industrial tenants (manufacturing, distribution) face cyclical demand, but long-term leases provide 3-5 year revenue visibility. Office exposure (estimated 30-40% of portfolio) carries higher cyclical risk given secular work-from-home pressures. Tenant credit quality is critical - economic downturns increase default risk, particularly for smaller middle-market tenants. Secondary market focus means less exposure to gateway city volatility but also less liquidity.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) 4.60x debt-to-equity means refinancing risk is material - rising rates increase interest expense and compress acquisition spreads; (2) REIT valuation multiples compress as 10-year Treasury yields rise, making dividend yields less attractive versus risk-free alternatives; (3) Cap rates on acquisitions typically rise 50-75bps for every 100bps Fed Funds increase, reducing accretive deployment opportunities. Current 0.17x current ratio indicates limited liquidity buffer for rate shocks.

Key Risks

Secular office demand decline from hybrid work adoption - estimated 30-40% office exposure creates obsolescence risk in secondary markets with limited alternative uses

Small-cap REIT liquidity discount - $600M market cap limits institutional ownership, creating persistent valuation gap versus larger net lease peers (Realty Income, NNN) despite similar business models

Rising competition from private equity and larger REITs in net lease sector compresses acquisition spreads and limits growth

Investor Profile

dividend - Monthly distribution ($1.20/share annually implied) attracts income-focused retail and retiree investors seeking regular cash flow. 10.0% FCF yield suggests distribution is covered but leaves limited growth capital. Value investors may be attracted to 3.0x P/B versus net asset value, but -26.9% one-year return reflects sector headwinds. Not suitable for growth investors given 1.2% revenue growth and mature REIT model.

Watch on Earnings
10-year Treasury yield (GS10) - primary driver of REIT valuation multiples and cap rate expectationsHigh yield credit spreads (BAMLH0A0HYM2) - determines cost and availability of debt financing for acquisitionsFederal Funds Rate - impacts floating rate debt costs and refinancing economicsIndustrial Production Index - leading indicator for industrial tenant demand and lease renewal probability
Health Radar
1 strong2 watch3 concern
37/100
Liquidity
1.63Watch
Leverage
2.51Concern
Coverage
1.9xConcern
ROE
8.7%Watch
ROIC
33.1%Strong
Cash
$11MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE14 analysts
BUY
+1.2%upside to target
Buy
964%
Hold
536%
9 Buy (64%)5 Hold (36%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 63 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.63 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 28, 2026
In 117 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 1.6%

+7.9% vs SMA 50 · +6.2% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI63.0
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.28
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$15.03+17.0%
Current
$12.85
EMA 200
$12.52-2.6%
EMA 50
$11.73-8.8%
52W Low
$10.33-19.6%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$10.3354th %ile$15.03
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:5
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)420K
Recent Vol (5D)
456K+9%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$145.2M
$142.7M$147.4M
-$0.04
±2%
Low2
FY2024
$150.0M
$147.5M$152.4M
+3.4%$0.25
±2%
Moderate3
FY2025
$159.1M
$156.4M$161.6M
+6.0%$0.11-54.2%
±1%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryGOOD
Last 8Q
+169.9%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 1
Q2'24
+9%
Q3'24
+9%
Q4'24
+218%
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
-10%
Q4'25
+1133%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Janney MontgomeryNeutral
Jan 13
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Carter Ryan StuartExecutive Vice…
$1K
Apr 1
BUY
Gerson GaryCFO
$3K
Feb 25
BUY
Gerson GaryCFO
$1K
Nov 13
BUY
Gerson GaryCFO
$84K
Nov 11
BUY
Gerson GaryCFO
$2K
Nov 11
BUY
Gerson GaryCFO
$1K
Nov 11
BUY
Financials
Dividends9.34% yield
2 yrs of payments
Annual Yield9.34%
Monthly Div.$0.1000
Est. Annual / Share$1.20
FrequencyMonthly
Q4'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q1'26
Q1'26
Q2'26
Q2'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
XML Financial, LLC
191K
2
EXCHANGE TRADED CONCEPTS, LLC
139K
3
Nuveen, LLC
100K
4
SG Americas Securities, LLC
56K
5
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
54K
6
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
50K
7
COMMONWEALTH EQUITY SERVICES, LLC
47K
8
Inspire Investing, LLC
45K
News & Activity

GOOD News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

gladstone commercial corporation is a publicly traded reit (nasdaq: good) that invests in single tenant and anchored multi-tenant net leased industrial, office and, to a lesser extent, medical properties nationwide. we also invest alongside developers in build-to-suit transactions where a tenant requires a new building. we buy properties with strong tenants of all sizes and we believe our track record of underwriting the credit of middle market businesses is unmatched. we target primary and secondary growth markets that possess favorable economic growth trends, diversified industries, growing populations, and strong employment. our senior management team, under the guidance of david gladstone, has over 200 years of combined experience investing in real estate and middle market businesses. we have a track record of success, as exhibited by a history of strong distribution yields, consistent occupancy greater than 96.0%, and 10+ years of paying continuous monthly cash distributions. we a

Industry
Lessors of Nonresidential Buildings (except Miniwarehouses)
CEO
David Gladstone
Arthur S. CooperCEO & President
Gary GersonExecutive VP, CFO & Assistant Treasurer
Todd Alan McDonaldSenior Vice President & Head of South Central Region
PeersReal Estate(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
GOOD
$12.85+1.90%$622M31.4+799.8%1195.8%1500
$216.91-0.20%$153.1B107.8+3582.4%878.3%1511
$141.41-0.43%$131.8B35.4+717.6%3880.1%1505
$1085.03+0.20%$107.0B75.1+585.3%1457.9%1524
$181.61-0.60%$84.6B29.4+511.4%2376.5%1491
$200.70-0.12%$69.0B50.3+1004.0%2140.8%1518
$202.44-0.62%$65.8B14.3+671.9%7251.1%1507
Sector avg+0.02%49.1+1124.6%2740.1%1508