HLF
Next earnings: Aug 5, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-1.53%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 29Oversold — bounce setup
PRICE
Prev Close
13.03
Open
12.92
Day Range12.70 – 13.22
12.70
13.22
52W Range6.63 – 20.40
6.63
20.40
45% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.5M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
5.6x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.85
Market-like
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +4% YoY · 76% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 6x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.2 · FCF $3.60/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.33B
Revenue TTM$5.13B
Net Income TTM$239.80M
Free Cash Flow$373.90M
Gross Margin75.9%
Net Margin4.7%
Operating Margin9.1%
Return on Equity-43.0%
Return on Assets8.3%
Debt / Equity-0.37
Current Ratio1.23
EPS TTM$2.31
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Active distributor count and productivity metrics - network health determines revenue trajectory

China market performance and regulatory developments - represents 15-20% of revenue with high growth potential but regulatory uncertainty

Share buyback activity - company has aggressive repurchase program that drives EPS despite flat revenue

FTC and regulatory investigations - MLM business model faces ongoing scrutiny affecting sentiment

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Weight management and supplements show defensive characteristics as consumers prioritize health, but discretionary income affects distributor recruitment and premium product purchases. Economic weakness reduces side-income opportunities that attract new distributors. Emerging market exposure (40% of revenue) creates sensitivity to local GDP growth, particularly in Latin America and Asia Pacific.

Interest Rates

Rising rates increase debt servicing costs on $2.5B+ debt load (implied by -3.62 D/E ratio), pressuring free cash flow available for buybacks. Higher rates also reduce valuation multiples for low-growth consumer stocks. However, minimal direct impact on consumer demand as products are not financed purchases. Current 1.11x current ratio suggests adequate near-term liquidity but refinancing risk if rates remain elevated.

Key Risks

MLM regulatory scrutiny - FTC and international regulators increasingly challenge multi-level marketing practices, with potential for business model restrictions or fines

Secular shift to e-commerce and traditional retail - younger consumers prefer Amazon/retail over distributor relationships, threatening long-term network viability

Competitive supplement market - low barriers to entry with GNC, Vitamin Shoppe, Amazon private label, and DTC brands eroding pricing power

Investor Profile

value - 0.3x P/S and 5.7x EV/EBITDA suggest deep value despite structural challenges. Recent 175% rally attracted momentum traders, but core holders are contrarian value investors betting on turnaround, cost cuts, and buyback-driven EPS growth. 9.9% FCF yield appeals to yield-focused value funds. High short interest historically attracts short-squeeze momentum players.

Watch on Earnings
USD/CNY exchange rate (DEXCHUS) - China revenue exposure and repatriation dynamicsConsumer sentiment index (UMCSENT) - affects discretionary supplement spending and distributor recruitmentRetail sales ex-auto (RSXFS) - proxy for consumer spending power on health/wellness productsPersonal savings rate (PSAVERT) - higher savings reduces side-income need that drives distributor recruitment
Health Radar
2 strong3 watch1 concern
45/100
Liquidity
1.23Watch
Leverage
-0.37Strong
Coverage
2.2xWatch
ROE
-43.0%Concern
ROIC
20.2%Strong
Cash
$353MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE25 analysts
BUY
+32.5%upside to target
L $15.00
Med $17.00consensus
H $20.00
Buy
1560%
Hold
936%
Sell
14%
15 Buy (60%)9 Hold (36%)1 Sell (4%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 29 — Oversold, watch for bounce
~
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.23
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 17, 2026
In 93 days
Technicals
Technical SetupMIXED
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 19.8%

-16.5% vs SMA 50 · +0.0% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI29.4
Oversold — potential bounce
MACD-0.74
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$20.40+59.0%
EMA 50
$15.32+19.4%
Current
$12.83
EMA 200
$12.79-0.3%
52W Low
$6.63-48.3%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$6.6345th %ile$20.40
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:1
Dist days:5
Edge:+4 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.3M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.7M+27%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$5.0B
$5.0B$5.1B
$0.82
±2%
Low1
FY2024
$5.0B
$4.9B$5.1B
-1.2%$1.79+117.4%
±2%
Low2
FY2025
$5.0B
$4.9B$5.1B
+0.4%$2.16+20.9%
±2%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryHLF
Last 8Q
+51.6%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
+26%
Q3'24
+63%
Q4'24
+260%
Q1'25
+47%
Q2'25
+11%
Q3'25
+6%
Q4'25
-6%
Q1'26
+5%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
JefferiesBuy
Jul 12
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
4 Buys/2 SellsNet Buying
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $1.9M sold · 30d window
Lamberti FrankChief Commerci…
$110K
May 11
SELL
Lamberti FrankChief Commerci…
$1.8M
May 12
SELL
L'helias SophieDir
$10K
Dec 1
BUY
L'helias SophieDir
$5K
Nov 26
BUY
Cloud LyndaDir
$152K
Nov 18
BUY
Mendoza Juan MiguelDir
$24K
Jun 5
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BAUPOST GROUP LLC/MA
9.3M
2
Route One Investment Company, L.P.
8.2M
3
BlackRock, Inc.
7.8M
4
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC
5.5M
5
FMR LLC
5.3M
6
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC
3.1M
7
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
2.6M
8
LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT
2.6M
News & Activity

HLF News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

herbalife is a global nutrition company that has helped people pursue a healthy, active life since 1980. our nutrition, weight-management and personal care products are available exclusively through dedicated independent members in more than 90 countries. herbalife is a publicly traded company on the new york stock exchange (nyse: hlf) with more than 7,500 employees and millions of customers. the company reported net sales of $5.0 billion in 2014. herbalife sponsors more than 150 sporting events, teams and athletes that define the company’s commitment to a healthy active life supported by good nutrition, a commitment that is also reflected in the wellness programs and fitness facilities provided for employees. a career at herbalife offers a chance to change lives. we offer progressive career paths coupled with outstanding benefits that will keep you fit for life, with locations in torrance, ca; downtown la, ca; carson, ca; lake forest, ca; winston-salem, nc, memphis, tn; phoenix, a

Industry
Toilet Preparation Manufacturing
Country
Cayman Islands
Andrew J. DunbarSenior Vice President & Chief Compliance Officer
Robert C. LevyPresident
PeersConsumer Defensive(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
HLF
$12.83+0.00%$1.3B1500
$131.45-0.76%$1.0T47.9+472.5%307.0%1520
$1048.95+0.74%$465.4B54.5+816.7%294.3%1507
$80.82+0.46%$347.7B25.4+187.0%2734.0%1508
$141.57-0.80%$329.7B20.5+29.2%1895.3%1486
$189.61-1.17%$295.5B26.7+731.3%2791.8%1509
$149.12+0.30%$203.8B23.3+225.5%877.3%1488
Sector avg-0.18%33.0+410.4%1483.3%1503