HMC
Next earnings: Aug 5, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bullish21
Price
1
Move+1.99%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume2.1× avgHeavy volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 48Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
25.67
Open
26.45
Day Range26.18 – 26.66
26.18
26.66
52W Range23.25 – 34.89
23.25
34.89
25% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.7M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-13.0x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.02%
Beta
0.74
Low vol
Performance
1D
+1.99%
5D
+8.09%
1M
+7.91%
3M
-17.62%
6M
-12.94%
YTD
-11.19%
1Y
-9.16%
Best: 5D (+8.09%)Worst: 3M (-17.62%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
thin 17% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.3 · FCF $96.60/sh
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$5.57T
Revenue TTM$22.00T
Net Income TTM-$437.51B
Free Cash Flow$512.21B
Gross Margin16.5%
Net Margin-1.9%
Operating Margin-1.9%
Return on Equity-3.5%
Return on Assets-1.3%
Debt / Equity1.14
Current Ratio1.28
EPS TTM$-105.62
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

North American automobile unit sales and ASP trends (largest profit pool, ~40% of operating profit)

Yen/dollar exchange rate movements (weak yen benefits repatriated earnings from overseas operations)

EV transition progress and battery partnership announcements (investor concern over lagging Tesla, BYD, and traditional OEM peers)

China market share trends and local competition from domestic EV makers (BYD, NIO, Li Auto)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Automobile demand is highly correlated with GDP growth, employment levels, and consumer confidence. During recessions, consumers defer big-ticket purchases and trade down to used vehicles. Honda's mass-market positioning makes it more exposed to middle-income consumer health than luxury brands. Motorcycle sales in emerging Asia are particularly sensitive to local GDP growth and disposable income trends.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact Honda through two channels: (1) Higher financing costs reduce vehicle affordability and dampen demand, as ~70% of US auto sales involve financing; (2) Honda Financial Services faces compressed net interest margins if funding costs rise faster than loan yields. Additionally, higher rates pressure valuation multiples for auto stocks. The current 1.06x debt/equity ratio creates moderate refinancing risk in a rising rate environment.

Key Risks

EV transition lag: Honda trails competitors in battery-electric vehicle development, with limited EV models and production capacity compared to Tesla, BYD, and legacy peers (GM, Ford). The company's 2026-2030 EV roadmap requires substantial capex and partnership execution risk with LG Energy Solution and GM (Ultium platform)

Regulatory emissions compliance: Tightening fuel economy standards (CAFE in US, Euro 7 in EU, China NEV mandates) require costly technology investments and potential fines if fleet averages miss targets

Autonomous driving technology gap: Honda's Level 3 autonomy deployment is limited compared to Waymo, Tesla FSD, and Chinese competitors, risking future market share loss

Investor Profile

value - Honda trades at 0.3x P/S and 0.5x P/B, attracting deep value investors betting on cyclical recovery and EV transition execution. The stock appeals to contrarian investors viewing current negative FCF and margin compression as temporary. Dividend yield (historically 3-4%) attracts income-focused investors, though payout sustainability is questioned given negative FCF. Not a growth stock given mature markets and market share challenges.

Watch on Earnings
US light vehicle SAAR (seasonally adjusted annual rate) and Honda's market shareUSD/JPY exchange rate (weak yen benefits repatriated earnings)China passenger vehicle sales growth and Honda's unit sales trendWTI crude oil and gasoline prices (impact fuel efficiency demand and consumer purchasing power)
Health Radar
3 watch3 concern
26/100
Liquidity
1.28Watch
Leverage
1.14Watch
Coverage
-5.0xConcern
ROE
-3.5%Concern
ROIC
-1.3%Concern
Cash
$5.1TWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE18 analysts
HOLD
+20.4%upside to target
Buy
528%
Hold
1267%
Sell
16%
5 Buy (28%)12 Hold (67%)1 Sell (5%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 48 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.28
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 31, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupMIXED
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 16.5%

+5.8% vs SMA 50 · -11.6% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI47.9
Neutral territory
MACD-0.06
Below zero — bearish pulse · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$34.89+33.3%
EMA 200
$28.45+8.7%
Current
$26.18
EMA 50
$25.28-3.4%
52W Low
$23.25-11.2%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$23.2525th %ile$34.89
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Elevated Squeeze Setup

Strong accumulation on above-average volume. Buyers are absorbing supply aggressively — any positive catalyst could trigger a rapid covering move.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:1
Edge:+3 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.9M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.4M+27%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 9 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$22.1T
$22.0T$22.1T
$640.90
±2%
High8
FY2026(current)
$21.4T
$20.4T$22.5T
-2.8%-$251.37
±22%
High9
FY2027
$22.6T
$21.5T$23.7T
+5.3%$120.81
±50%
High7
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryHMC
Last 8Q
+24.8%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates falling
+25%
Q1'24
+32%
Q3'24
-50%
Q4'24
+39%
Q1'25
+90%
Q3'25
-12%
Q4'25
+48%
Q1'26
+26%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Neutral — mixed activity
90d01
Morgan StanleyNegative
Mar 11
DOWNGRADE
NomuraBuy
Dec 9
UPGRADE
MacquarieNeutral
Jun 25
DOWNGRADE
DBS BankHold
May 15
DOWNGRADE
UBSNeutral
Dec 18
UPGRADE
Financials
Dividends4.90% yield
+22.1% avg annual growth
Annual Yield4.90%
Semi-Annual Div.$0.6282
Est. Annual / Share$1.26
FrequencySemi-Annual
Q3'22
Q1'23
Q3'23
Q1'24
Q3'24
Q1'25
Q3'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Fisher Asset Management, LLC
10.1M
2
Mondrian Investment Partners LTD
4.2M
3
DONALD SMITH & CO., INC.
3.5M
4
MORGAN STANLEY
3.3M
5
EQUITY INVESTMENT CORP
2.4M
6
BlackRock, Inc.
2.0M
7
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC
1.8M
8
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
1.5M
News & Activity

HMC News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Honda Motor Co., Ltd. is a Japanese public multinational conglomerate manufacturer of automobiles, motorcycles, and power equipment, headquartered in Minato, Tokyo, Japan.

CEO
Takahiro Hachigo
Country
Japan
Eiji FujimuraSenior Managing Executive Officer, CFO, Chief Officer of Corporate Admin. Operations & Director
Toshihiro MibePresident, Chief Executive Officer, Representative Executive Officer & Chairman
Noriya KaiharaEVice President, Representative Exe Off, Culture Transformation Officer, Compliance & Privacy Officer, Director
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
HMC
$26.18+1.99%$34.0B+655.8%385.4%1500
$404.35-3.20%$2.1T30.5+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$132.58-6.05%$307.9B20.7-44.8%1012.0%1500
$88.38-2.58%$303.7B13.6+318.8%1510.7%1500
$148.08-1.13%$282.6B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$181.58-1.83%$281.6B26.9+862.9%1745.9%1500
$183.40-0.23%$256.1B16.8+213.3%1482.4%1500
Sector avg-1.86%21.6+842.9%1887.2%1500