HPP
Earnings in 3 days · May 7, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+1.09%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.5× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 69Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
9.21
Open
9.15
Day Range9.08 – 9.39
9.08
9.39
52W Range5.26 – 21.70
5.26
21.70
25% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.4M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-0.7x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.09%
Beta
0.98
Market-like
Performance
1D
+1.09%
5D
+9.40%
1M
+64.78%
3M
+7.38%
6M
-45.49%
YTD
-14.04%
1Y
-41.15%
Best: 1M (+64.78%)Worst: 6M (-45.49%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
thin -42% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.0 · FCF $2.21/sh
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$504.99M
Revenue TTM$831.11M
Net Income TTM-$551.69M
Free Cash Flow$98.91M
Gross Margin-42.1%
Net Margin-66.4%
Operating Margin-5.7%
Return on Equity-17.8%
Return on Assets-7.6%
Debt / Equity1.27
Current Ratio1.01
EPS TTM$-12.35
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Lease renewal rates and tenant retention in Los Angeles and San Francisco portfolios where entertainment/tech tenant demand has contracted

Debt refinancing announcements and covenant compliance given 1.22x debt-to-equity and near-term maturities

Same-store NOI growth or decline reflecting occupancy trends and rental rate achievement versus expiring leases

Asset sale announcements at pricing relative to book value (currently trading 90% below book suggests severe impairment risk)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Office demand correlates strongly with white-collar employment growth, corporate expansion decisions, and business confidence. Technology and entertainment sectors (HPP's core tenants) exhibit cyclical hiring patterns with aggressive layoffs during downturns. West Coast markets face additional sensitivity to tech sector boom-bust cycles, with San Francisco office vacancy rates exceeding 35% in early 2026 reflecting structural oversupply.

Interest Rates

Office REITs face extreme interest rate sensitivity through three channels: (1) Higher cap rates compress asset values and create mark-to-market losses on $3B+ property portfolio, (2) Refinancing risk on floating-rate debt and maturing fixed-rate obligations at 200-300bps higher spreads increases interest expense, (3) Rising 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5% make REIT dividend yields less attractive versus risk-free alternatives, pressuring equity valuations. Each 100bps increase in 10-year yields historically compresses office REIT multiples by 15-20%.

Key Risks

Permanent reduction in office space demand per employee as hybrid work becomes entrenched, with major tech tenants (Meta, Google, Salesforce) reducing West Coast footprints by 20-40%

West Coast gateway market obsolescence as companies relocate to Texas, Florida, Tennessee for lower costs and tax advantages, with San Francisco and Los Angeles experiencing net corporate outmigration

Regulatory risks including California rent control expansion, commercial property tax reassessment (Prop 13 reform efforts), and stringent environmental retrofit requirements for older buildings

Investor Profile

Distressed/special situations investors and bankruptcy arbitrageurs given 0.1x book value and negative margins. Traditional REIT income investors have exited given dividend elimination. High-risk tolerance required as equity may be worthless in debt restructuring, but potential multi-bagger if company survives and office markets stabilize by 2028-2029. Not suitable for institutional quality mandates given going concern uncertainty.

Watch on Earnings
10-year Treasury yield (GS10) as primary driver of REIT cap rates and refinancing costsHigh-yield credit spreads (BAMLH0A0HYM2) indicating commercial real estate debt market accessSan Francisco and Los Angeles office vacancy rates from CBRE/JLL quarterly reportsTechnology sector employment trends (PAYEMS tech subsector) as leading indicator of tenant demand
Health Radar
2 watch4 concern
16/100
Liquidity
1.01Watch
Leverage
1.27Watch
Coverage
-0.3xConcern
ROE
-17.8%Concern
ROIC
-2.6%Concern
Cash
$138MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE19 analysts
HOLD
+12.8%upside to target
L $7.50
Med $10.50consensus
H $26.00
Buy
737%
Hold
1053%
Sell
211%
7 Buy (37%)10 Hold (53%)2 Sell (10%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 69 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.01
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 46.3%

+34.9% vs SMA 50 · -27.6% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI68.7
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.76
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$21.70+133.1%
EMA 200
$12.03+29.2%
Current
$9.31
EMA 50
$7.63-18.0%
52W Low
$5.26-43.5%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$5.2625th %ile$21.70
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:3
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.3M
Recent Vol (5D)
707K-44%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 4 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$833.0M
$831.7M$834.1M
-$12.95
±7%
Moderate4
FY2025
$720.5M
$614.4M$826.7M
-13.5%-$7.48
±3%
Moderate4
FY2026(current)
$742.8M
$729.5M$756.2M
+3.1%-$3.49
±5%
Moderate4
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 5 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryHPP
Last 8Q
+19.7%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates falling
+6%
Q2'24
Q3'24
-9%
Q4'24
+10%
Q1'25
+12%
Q2'25
+33%
Q3'25
+100%
Q4'25
+5%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
BMO CapitalOutperform → Market Perform
Jan 9
DOWNGRADE
BMO CapitalMarket Perform → Outperform
Mar 28
UPGRADE
Wolfe ResearchEqual-Weight → Peer Perform
Aug 13
DOWNGRADE
Piper SandlerOverweight → Neutral
Aug 8
DOWNGRADE
BMO CapitalOutperform → Market Perform
Aug 8
DOWNGRADE
Wolfe ResearchOutperform
Mar 18
UPGRADE
WedbushNeutral
Feb 20
DOWNGRADE
Goldman SachsBuy → Neutral
Nov 30
UPGRADE
Mizuho SecuritiesNeutral
Oct 18
UPGRADE
BMO CapitalOutperform
Sep 20
UPGRADE
Piper SandlerOverweight
Sep 5
UPGRADE
Credit SuisseNeutral
Oct 20
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Ferguson T RitsonDir
$96K
Mar 30
BUY
Glaser Jonathan MDir
$1000K
Jun 12
BUY
Harris Robert L IiDir
$100K
Jun 12
BUY
Antenucci Ted RDir
$200K
Jun 12
BUY
Coleman Victor JCEO
$500K
Jun 12
BUY
Gordon DrewChief Investme…
$25K
Jun 12
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
172K
2
NBC SECURITIES, INC.
141K
3
Inspire Investing, LLC
85K
4
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
60K
5
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
58K
6
Howard Capital Management Group, LLC
53K
7
State of Alaska, Department of Revenue
26K
8
Resona Asset Management Co.,Ltd.
25K
News & Activity

HPP News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Hudson Pacific is a real estate investment trust with a portfolio of office and studio properties totaling nearly 20 million square feet, including land for development. Focused on premier West Coast epicenters of innovation, media and technology, its anchor tenants include Fortune 500 and leading growth companies such as Netflix, Google, Square, Uber, NFL Enterprises and more. Hudson Pacific is a component of the S&P MidCap 400 Index.

Industry
Lessors of Nonresidential Buildings (except Miniwarehouses)
Christopher J. BartonExecutive Vice President of Development & Capital Investments
Sanford Dale ShimodaExecutive Vice President of Finance
Steven JaffeExecutive Vice President of Business Affairs
PeersReal Estate(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
HPP
$9.31+1.09%$505M-130.4%-6638.1%1500
$216.91-0.20%$153.1B107.8+3582.4%878.3%1511
$141.41-0.43%$131.8B35.4+717.6%3880.1%1505
$1085.70+0.20%$107.0B75.1+585.3%1457.9%1524
$181.61-0.60%$84.6B29.4+511.4%2376.5%1491
$200.70-0.12%$69.0B50.3+1004.0%2140.8%1518
$202.44-0.62%$65.8B14.3+671.9%7251.1%1507
Sector avg-0.10%52.1+991.7%1620.9%1508