HPQ
Next earnings: May 27, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup1!1
Price
1
Move-2.72%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.7× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 71Overbought
PRICE
Prev Close
21.67
Open
21.74
Day Range20.85 – 21.74
20.85
21.74
52W Range17.56 – 29.55
17.56
29.55
29% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
18.8M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
8.0x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.04%
Beta
1.22
Market-like
Performance
1D
-4.45%
5D
+2.22%
1M
+18.67%
3M
+9.67%
6M
-12.37%
YTD
-2.74%
1Y
-23.32%
Best: 1M (+18.67%)Worst: 1Y (-23.32%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +4% YoY
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 8x vs ~20x sector
Health
WEAK
CR 0.8 (low) · FCF $3.11/sh
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$19.35B
Revenue TTM$56.23B
Net Income TTM$2.51B
Free Cash Flow$2.88B
Gross Margin20.1%
Net Margin4.5%
Operating Margin5.7%
Return on Equity1135.3%
Return on Assets6.0%
Debt / Equity2.85
Current Ratio0.76
EPS TTM$2.71
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

PC unit shipment volumes and ASP trends - particularly commercial refresh cycles driven by Windows upgrade cycles and return-to-office dynamics

Printing supplies revenue trajectory - indicates installed base health and competitive pressure from third-party cartridges

Gross margin performance in Personal Systems - reflects component cost inflation (DRAM, NAND, displays) and pricing power

Free cash flow generation and capital return - company targets $3B+ annual FCF with 100%+ return to shareholders via buybacks and dividends

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Personal Systems revenue is highly correlated with corporate IT spending, SMB capex budgets, and consumer discretionary spending. Commercial PC demand tracks GDP growth with 1-2 quarter lag as enterprises adjust headcount and refresh budgets. Consumer PC sales are discretionary purchases sensitive to unemployment and consumer confidence. Printing hardware follows similar cyclicality, though supplies revenue provides modest stability through installed base.

Interest Rates

Rising rates negatively impact HP through multiple channels: (1) higher cost of debt refinancing ($6.5B gross debt), (2) compressed valuation multiples for low-growth hardware businesses, (3) reduced corporate IT budgets as financing costs increase, (4) weaker consumer demand for discretionary electronics purchases. The company's negative equity position (due to aggressive buybacks exceeding retained earnings) amplifies financial leverage sensitivity.

Key Risks

Secular decline in PC market as computing shifts to mobile devices, tablets, and cloud-based thin clients - global PC TAM contracted from 350M units (2011 peak) to 260M units currently

Printing industry disruption from digitization, paperless workflows, and third-party ink cartridge competition eroding supplies margins

Commoditization of hardware with limited differentiation versus Asian ODMs (Lenovo, Asus) driving margin compression

Investor Profile

value - The stock trades at 0.3x sales and 6.1x EV/EBITDA with 15.6% FCF yield, attracting deep value investors focused on cash generation despite secular decline. The 3.5%+ dividend yield appeals to income investors, though capital appreciation potential is limited. Recent 42% decline has attracted contrarian investors betting on stabilization, but growth investors avoid due to negative revenue trajectory and lack of innovation catalysts.

Watch on Earnings
Gartner/IDC global PC shipment data (quarterly) - leading indicator for Personal Systems revenueDRAM and NAND flash spot prices - key component costs affecting Personal Systems gross marginsU.S. corporate profits and IT spending surveys (Gartner IT spending forecast) - predictor of commercial refresh cyclesConsumer confidence index and retail sales of electronics - leading indicators for consumer PC demand
Health Radar
3 strong3 concern
50/100
Liquidity
0.76Concern
Leverage
2.85Concern
Coverage
6.4xStrong
ROE
1135.3%Strong
ROIC
23.3%Strong
Cash
$3.7BConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE26 analysts
HOLD
-5.1%downside to target
L $18.00
Med $20.00consensus
H $22.00
Buy
519%
Hold
1558%
Sell
623%
5 Buy (19%)15 Hold (58%)6 Sell (23%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 71 — Overbought, caution
~
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.76 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 13, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 7, 2026
In 87 days
PDividend PaymentSep 9, 2026
In 120 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 16.0%

+7.9% vs SMA 50 · -9.4% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI71.2
Overbought — pullback risk
MACD+0.67
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$29.55+40.2%
EMA 200
$22.77+8.0%
Current
$21.08
EMA 50
$20.13-4.5%
52W Low
$17.56-16.7%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$17.5629th %ile$29.55
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:1
Edge:+4 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)17.9M
Recent Vol (5D)
17.8M-1%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 10 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$53.5B
$53.3B$53.7B
$3.38
±1%
High10
FY2025
$55.2B
$54.6B$55.6B
+3.2%$3.11-7.9%
±1%
High10
FY2026(current)
$56.0B
$53.9B$57.4B
+1.5%$2.86-8.1%
±8%
High10
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryHPQ
Last 8Q
-0.5%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates falling
+1%
Q2'24
-3%
Q3'24
Q4'24
-1%
Q1'25
-8%
Q2'25
+1%
Q3'25
+1%
Q4'25
+6%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Bank of America Sec…Buy → Underperform
Feb 3
DOWNGRADE
Morgan StanleyUnderweight → Cautious
Jan 20
DOWNGRADE
BarclaysEqual-Weight → Underweight
Jan 16
DOWNGRADE
Goldman SachsNeutral → Sell
Jan 13
DOWNGRADE
HSBCBuy
Oct 14
UPGRADE
CitigroupBuy → Neutral
Oct 1
DOWNGRADE
Morgan StanleyOverweight → Equal-Weight
Aug 19
DOWNGRADE
BarclaysUnderweight → Equal-Weight
May 21
UPGRADE
HSBCBuy
Feb 14
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyEqual-Weight → Overweight
Dec 12
UPGRADE
CitigroupPositive → Buy
Nov 13
UPGRADE
CitigroupSell → Positive
Nov 13
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Citrino Mary AnneDir
$834K
Mar 11
SELL
Patel Ketan MPresident, Per…
$773K
Dec 26
SELL
Olson AnneliesePres Imaging P…
$415K
Dec 9
SELL
Lores EnriqueDir
$1.1M
Dec 5
SELL
Olson AnneliesePres Imaging P…
$506K
Oct 29
SELL
Lores EnriqueDir
$920K
Sep 29
SELL
Financials
Dividends5.59% yield
+5.0% avg annual growth
Annual Yield5.59%
Quarterly Div.$0.3000
Est. Annual / Share$1.20
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
UBS Group AG
12.7M
2
Maj Invest Holding A/S
8.5M
3
DEUTSCHE BANK AG\
8.0M
4
Legal & General Group Plc
7.9M
5
RWC Asset Management LLP
6.2M
6
AustralianSuper Pty Ltd
5.7M
7
Nuveen, LLC
5.2M
8
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO
5.2M
News & Activity

HPQ News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

engineering experiences that amaze. we create technology with a purpose: to make life better for everyone, everywhere. keep reinventing.

CEO
Enrique Lores
Bruce Dale BroussardInterim CEO & Director
Tuan TranPresident of Technology & Innovation
PeersTechnology(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
HPQ
$21.08-4.45%$19.9B8.0+324.1%457.4%1484
$220.78+1.97%$5.3T44.4+6547.4%5560.3%1496
$294.80-0.22%$4.3T35.1+642.6%2691.5%1484
$407.77-0.59%$3.1T24.5+1493.2%3614.6%1471
$419.30-0.37%$2.0T81.3+2387.4%3619.8%1498
$773.00+6.50%$896.9B37.1+4885.1%2284.5%1533
$448.29+0.79%$748.1B149.9+3433.8%1251.5%1520
Sector avg+0.52%54.3+2816.2%2782.8%1498