HTH
Next earnings: Jul 23, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move+0.96%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 60Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
37.67
Open
37.74
Day Range37.47 – 38.29
37.47
38.29
52W Range28.92 – 40.41
28.92
40.41
79% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
383.6K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
14.5x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.02%
Beta
0.87
Market-like
Performance
1D
+0.96%
5D
+3.85%
1M
+5.67%
3M
+1.55%
6M
+17.74%
YTD
+12.05%
1Y
+28.22%
Best: 1Y (+28.22%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +2% YoY · 79% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 14x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 0.9 (low) · FCF $0.19/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.23B
Revenue TTM$1.59B
Net Income TTM$161.31M
Free Cash Flow$11.06M
Gross Margin79.4%
Net Margin10.1%
Operating Margin13.4%
Return on Equity7.4%
Return on Assets1.0%
Debt / Equity0.61
Current Ratio0.88
EPS TTM$2.73
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net interest margin expansion/contraction - driven by Fed policy, loan repricing speed versus deposit beta

Texas economic growth and commercial loan demand - particularly in Dallas-Fort Worth and Houston metro areas

Municipal bond issuance volumes and public finance underwriting activity

Mortgage origination volumes and gain-on-sale margins - heavily influenced by rate volatility and housing turnover

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Commercial lending demand, credit quality, and broker-dealer activity are all highly cyclical. Texas economic growth drives loan originations and fee income. During recessions, loan losses increase, commercial borrowing declines, and M&A/capital markets activity slows. The mortgage business amplifies cyclicality through housing market exposure. However, municipal finance can provide some stability as infrastructure spending is less cyclical.

Interest Rates

High positive sensitivity to rising short-term rates through asset-sensitive balance sheet positioning. Regional banks typically benefit from Fed rate increases as loan yields reprice faster than deposit costs (positive deposit beta lag). However, inverted yield curves compress NIM. Mortgage origination suffers significantly when rates rise (refinance activity collapses), while broker-dealer fixed income trading can benefit from increased volatility. The current environment with rates elevated from 2022-2023 tightening has likely expanded NIM substantially versus 2020-2021 zero-rate period.

Key Risks

Geographic concentration in Texas creates correlated exposure to state economy, energy sector health, and regional real estate markets - limited diversification if Texas enters recession

Secular decline in mortgage origination profitability as industry consolidates and technology disrupts traditional broker models - gain-on-sale margins compressed long-term

Regulatory burden increasing for regional banks post-2023 banking crisis - potential capital requirement increases, enhanced liquidity rules, FDIC assessment hikes

Investor Profile

value - Trading at 1.1x price/book and 9.5x EV/EBITDA suggests value orientation. The 51.7% EPS growth and 23.2% 1-year return indicate recovery from prior trough, attracting investors seeking mean reversion in regional bank earnings as rate environment normalizes. Diversified business model appeals to investors wanting banking exposure with fee income diversification. Not a pure growth story given mature markets and moderate ROE of 7.6%.

Watch on Earnings
Federal Funds Rate and forward guidance - directly drives NIM and loan/deposit pricing10-year Treasury yield and yield curve slope (10Y-2Y spread) - impacts mortgage origination economics and bank profitabilityTexas employment growth and unemployment rate - leading indicator for loan demand and credit qualityCommercial real estate price indices and cap rates in Dallas and Houston - CRE loan portfolio valuation
Health Radar
1 strong1 watch4 concern
34/100
Liquidity
0.88Concern
Leverage
0.61Strong
Coverage
0.7xConcern
ROE
7.4%Concern
ROIC
10.8%Watch
Cash
$1.2BConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE10 analysts
BUY
-5.3%downside to target
Buy
550%
Hold
550%
5 Buy (50%)5 Hold (50%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 60 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.88 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 14, 2026
In 103 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 25.8%

+7.4% vs SMA 50 · +35.1% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI60.1
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.66
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$40.41+6.3%
Current
$38.03
EMA 50
$35.86-5.7%
EMA 200
$29.60-22.2%
52W Low
$28.92-24.0%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$28.9279th %ile$40.41
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:3
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)421K
Recent Vol (5D)
405K-4%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 4 analysts

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$1.2B
$1.2B$1.2B
$1.71
±2%
Low2
FY2024
$1.2B
$1.2B$1.2B
-0.4%$1.51-11.8%
±6%
Moderate4
FY2025
$1.2B
$1.2B$1.2B
+2.9%$1.83+21.2%
±7%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryHTH
Last 8Q
+54.6%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+19%
Q3'24
+24%
Q4'24
+96%
Q1'25
+141%
Q2'25
+41%
Q3'25
+47%
Q4'25
+50%
Q1'26
+19%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Raymond JamesUnderperform → Market Perform
Apr 2
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesMarket Perform → Underperform
Dec 19
DOWNGRADE
Raymond JamesMarket Perform
Jan 5
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Ford Gerald J10 Percent Own…
$9.9M
Mar 5
SELL
Thompson Steve BPrimeLending P…
$360K
Feb 6
SELL
Winges Martin Bradl…Hilltop Securi…
$385
Feb 3
SELL
Winges Martin Bradl…Hilltop Securi…
$93K
Feb 3
SELL
Winges Martin Bradl…Hilltop Securi…
$906K
Feb 3
SELL
Bornemann Keith E.Chief Accounti…
$77K
Nov 25
SELL
Financials
Dividends1.95% yield
+9.7% avg annual growth
Annual Yield1.95%
Quarterly Div.$0.2000
Est. Annual / Share$0.80
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
425K
2
Concurrent Investment Advisors, LLC
52K
3
THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS
42K
4
Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd
41K
5
TEACHER RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF TEXAS
35K
6
ATWOOD & PALMER INC
33K
7
State of Alaska, Department of Revenue
23K
8
WEALTH ENHANCEMENT ADVISORY SERVICES, LLC
23K
News & Activity

HTH News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

H World Group Limited, formerly Huazhu Group Limited, is a China-based investment holding company.

Industry
Monetary Authorities-Central Bank
CEO
Jeremy Ford
Corey G. PrestidgeExecutive Vice President, General Counsel & Secretary
Darren Eugene ParmenterExecutive Vice President & Chief Administrative Officer
Jeremy Blue FordPresident, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman
PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
HTH
$38.03+0.96%$2.2B13.9+545.3%1018.9%1500
$312.47-0.24%$842.7B14.8+330.7%2039.3%1506
$328.03-0.55%$628.8B28.2+1134.0%5014.5%1500
$495.46-1.19%$438.6B28.4+1641.6%4564.7%1491
$53.24-0.41%$382.1B12.2-45.1%1592.6%1502
$190.18-0.22%$302.0B16.4+1147.7%1466.4%1518
$923.71-0.01%$274.1B15.5-138.4%1373.0%1516
Sector avg-0.24%18.5+659.4%2438.5%1505