HYG
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move-0.40%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 47Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
80.38
Open
80.06
Day Range80.03 – 80.23
80.03
80.23
52W Range78.33 – 81.36
78.33
81.36
57% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
54.5M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
11.0x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.05%
Beta
0.40
Low vol
Performance
1D
-0.40%
5D
-0.47%
1M
+0.87%
3M
-1.31%
6M
-0.92%
YTD
-0.71%
1Y
+2.25%
Best: 1Y (+2.25%)Worst: 3M (-1.31%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
mixed signals
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 11x vs ~20x sector
Health
WEAK
Insufficient data
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$16.93B
Revenue TTM
Net Income TTM
Free Cash Flow
Gross Margin
Net Margin
Operating Margin
Return on Equity
Return on Assets
Debt / Equity
Current Ratio
EPS TTM
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

High-yield credit spread movements (OAS vs Treasuries) - primary driver accounting for 60-70% of return variance

Federal Reserve policy shifts affecting risk appetite and refinancing conditions for sub-IG issuers

Corporate default rate expectations (historical average 3-4%, recession peaks 8-12%)

Energy sector credit quality given 15-20% portfolio weight - sensitive to oil price volatility

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - High-yield bonds are deeply procyclical assets. Economic expansion strengthens corporate cash flows, reduces default risk, and compresses credit spreads. Recessions trigger spread widening (300bp+ moves common), rising defaults, and significant drawdowns (2008: -26%, 2020: -12% in March alone). The asset class exhibits 0.6-0.8 correlation to equity markets during normal periods, rising to 0.85+ during crises.

Interest Rates

Moderate duration risk (3.5-4.5 years) means 100bp Treasury yield increase causes approximately 3.5-4.5% price decline, partially offset by higher reinvestment yields. However, rate sensitivity is asymmetric: rising rates due to growth are often positive (spread compression offsets duration losses), while rising rates from inflation concerns without growth are negative. Fed tightening cycles create refinancing risk for the 30-40% of issuers with sub-investment-grade ratings and elevated leverage (4-6x Debt/EBITDA typical).

Key Risks

Covenant-lite loan proliferation has weakened creditor protections across 75%+ of new issuance since 2015, reducing recovery rates in defaults

Rising private credit market competition (estimated $1.5T+ AUM) provides alternative financing, potentially leaving public high-yield with lower-quality issuers

Regulatory changes to bank capital requirements could reduce market-making liquidity during stress periods, exacerbating volatility

Investor Profile

income|tactical - Attracts income-focused investors seeking 4-6% yields with equity-like volatility (12-15% annualized). Also used by tactical allocators for credit beta exposure during economic expansions. Not suitable for risk-averse investors given -20% to -30% drawdown potential during recessions. Institutional investors use for liquid high-yield exposure versus direct bond purchases.

Watch on Earnings
ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread (BAMLH0A0HYM2) - primary valuation metricMoody's trailing 12-month US speculative-grade default rateFederal Funds Effective Rate and forward guidance from FOMCWTI crude oil spot price given energy sector portfolio weight
Analyst Coverage

No analyst coverage available for this stock.

Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentOct 20, 2026
In 170 days

TOP HOLDINGS

1
--
BLK CSH FND TREASURY SL AGENCY
1.36%
2
--
USD CASH
0.78%
3
--
1261229 BC LTD 144A 04/15/2032
0.52%
4
--
ECHOSTAR CORP 11/30/2029
0.40%
5
--
QUIKRETE HOLDINGS INC 144A 03/01/2032
0.34%
6
--
CLOUD SOFTWARE GROUP INC 144A 09/30/2029
0.32%
7
--
SV RNO PROPERTY OWNER 1 LLC 144A 03/01/2031
0.32%
8
--
DISH NETWORK CORP 144A 11/15/2027
0.32%
9
--
CLOUD SOFTWARE GROUP INC 144A 03/31/2029
0.31%
10
--
ASURION LLC 144A 12/31/2032
0.31%
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 0.6%

+0.1% vs SMA 50 · -0.6% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI47.5
Neutral territory
MACD+0.09
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$81.36+1.6%
EMA 200
$80.25+0.2%
EMA 50
$80.17+0.1%
Current
$80.06
52W Low
$78.33-2.2%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$78.3357th %ile$81.36
Earnings & Analysts
Financials
Dividends5.86% yield
+5.5% avg annual growth
Annual Yield5.86%
Monthly Div.$0.4187
Est. Annual / Share$5.02
FrequencyMonthly
Q4'25
Q4'25
Q4'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q1'26
Q2'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
4.9M
2
Wright Fund Management, LLC
2.7M
3
PartnerRe Asset Management CORP
1.4M
4
iA Global Asset Management Inc.
1.4M
5
THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS
828K
6
Pure Financial Advisors, LLC
534K
7
Towercrest Capital Management
463K
8
TRUIST FINANCIAL CORP
345K
News & Activity

HYG News

20 articles · 4h ago

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