First read for a new ticker takes about 20–30 seconds while we build the analysis from the latest fundamentals, estimates, and intelligence. It's saved after this, so future visits are instant.
Data is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
7/10/26
IDEMITSU KOSAN CO.,LTD. (IDKOF)
Friday
8:05 AM
Thesis: Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd.: the story is balanced — Refining crack spreads - specifically Japan-Singapore gasoline and diesel differentials which directly impact processing…
★ Analysts see FY2027 revenue reaching $10.06T — +23.4% growth in a single year.
What Moves the Stock
1Refining crack spreads - specifically Japan-Singapore gasoline and diesel differentials which directly impact processing margins
2Brent-Dubai crude oil price spread - affects procurement costs as Idemitsu sources primarily Middle Eastern crude while competing against Brent-linked product imports
3Japanese domestic fuel demand - particularly gasoline consumption which has structural decline due to vehicle electrification and population aging
4Yen exchange rate movements - weaker yen increases crude oil import costs (priced in USD) while domestic sales remain yen-denominated, compressing margins
5Regulatory changes - Japanese government energy policy including renewable energy mandates and carbon pricing proposals
6Petroleum refining and wholesale distribution (~70% of revenue) - processing crude oil into gasoline, diesel, kerosene, and petrochemicals for Japanese market
7Retail fuel sales through branded service stations (~20% of revenue) - direct-to-consumer gasoline and diesel sales with convenience store partnerships
8Lubricants, coal mining, and renewable energy (~10% of revenue) - specialty products and diversification initiatives
value - Stock trades at 1.0x book value and 0.2x sales reflecting mature, low-growth profile.
Moderate sensitivity through two channels: (1) Debt servicing costs on 0.91x debt/equity ratio - rising Japanese rates increase interest…
Watch on earnings: Brent crude oil spot price and Dubai crude differential - primary input cost driver, Singapore gasoline and diesel crack spreads - proxy for Asian refining margin environment, Japanese gasoline demand statistics (Petroleum Association of Japan monthly data) - tracks structural consumption trends.
One Sentence Summary:
Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd.: the story is balanced — refining crack spreads - specifically japan-singapore gasoline and diesel differentials which directly impact processing margins.
Auto-composed from Stock Alarm intelligence, financial statements, and analyst estimates. Not investment advice.