IDR
Next earnings: Aug 6, 2026
Signal
Leaning Bullish21
Price
1
Move-14.35%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume1.9× avgHeavy volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 69Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
44.59
Open
42.41
Day Range38.00 – 42.62
38.00
42.62
52W Range12.25 – 54.70
12.25
54.70
61% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
277.5K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
26.9x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-14.35%
5D
-23.62%
1M
-3.17%
3M
-1.70%
6M
+8.71%
YTD
-5.24%
1Y
+198.59%
Best: 1Y (+198.59%)Worst: 5D (-23.62%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +83% YoY · 46% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 27x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 12.8 · FCF $0.46/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$603.78M
Revenue TTM$49.61M
Net Income TTM$21.41M
Free Cash Flow$7.32M
Gross Margin46.5%
Net Margin43.2%
Operating Margin44.6%
Return on Equity24.6%
Return on Assets17.0%
Debt / Equity0.02
Current Ratio12.77
EPS TTM$1.36
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Spot gold price (GCUSD) - every $100/oz move significantly impacts project economics and equity valuation for pre-production miners

Production ramp-up milestones and quarterly ounce output versus guidance at Golden Chest Mine

All-in sustaining cost (AISC) performance relative to $1,000-1,200/oz guidance range typical for underground operations

Permitting progress for expanded mining areas and resource conversion from inferred to measured/indicated categories

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Gold mining operates counter-cyclically as gold serves as a safe-haven asset during economic uncertainty. Demand drivers include central bank purchases, jewelry demand (50% of global demand, concentrated in India/China), and investment demand through ETFs and physical holdings. Unlike industrial metals, gold has minimal GDP sensitivity. The company benefits from economic stress that drives gold prices higher, making it a portfolio hedge against recession risk. However, jewelry demand shows modest correlation to emerging market consumer spending.

Interest Rates

Gold prices exhibit strong negative correlation to real interest rates (nominal rates minus inflation expectations). Rising nominal rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, pressuring prices, while rising real rates are particularly negative. The Federal Funds Rate and 10-Year Treasury yield are key drivers - each 100bp increase in real rates historically correlates with 5-8% gold price declines. For Idaho Strategic Resources, higher rates also increase financing costs for development capital and make equity raises more dilutive. Conversely, rate cuts and negative real rates (inflation > nominal rates) are highly bullish for gold equities.

Key Risks

Permitting and regulatory risk in Idaho - environmental reviews, water discharge permits, and reclamation bonding can delay production or increase costs; historic mining districts face scrutiny despite grandfathered operations

Geological risk inherent to narrow-vein underground mining - grade variability, vein continuity, and dilution from waste rock can significantly impact economics; resource estimates carry higher uncertainty than bulk-tonnage deposits

Small-scale operation lacks diversification - single-asset company with no geographic or commodity diversification; operational disruptions, equipment failures, or labor issues have outsized impact

Investor Profile

growth/momentum - The 196.1% one-year return and 663.3% net income growth attract momentum investors and gold bull speculators. Development-stage miners appeal to investors seeking leveraged exposure to gold prices (2-3x beta to gold typical for junior producers) and operational turnaround stories. The 17.4x price/sales and 51.3x EV/EBITDA valuations indicate growth expectations are priced in. Not suitable for value or dividend investors given pre-production status, high valuation multiples, and zero dividend yield. Appeals to thematic investors bullish on gold due to inflation concerns, geopolitical risk, or central bank policy.

Watch on Earnings
GCUSD (Gold spot price) - primary driver of revenue and project valuation; $1,800-2,000/oz range supports current economicsQuarterly production ounces and year-over-year growth trajectory toward nameplate capacityAll-in sustaining costs (AISC) per ounce - industry benchmark for operational efficiency and margin sustainabilityCash balance and monthly cash burn rate - critical for pre-production/ramp-up miners with minimal cash generation
Health Radar
4 strong2 concern
61/100
Liquidity
12.77Strong
Leverage
0.02Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
24.6%Strong
ROIC
16.7%Strong
Cash
$10MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE1 analysts
BUY
+17.8%upside to target
Buy
1100%
1 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 69 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 12.77 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 31, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 6.6%

-1.7% vs SMA 50 · +4.7% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI69.3
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+2.88
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$54.70+43.2%
EMA 50
$42.09+10.2%
Current
$38.19
EMA 200
$34.23-10.4%
52W Low
$12.25-67.9%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$12.2561th %ile$54.70
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:3
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)277K
Recent Vol (5D)
308K+11%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 1 analyst
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$13.6M
$13.6M$13.6M
$0.12
Low1
FY2024
$25.2M
$25.2M$25.2M
+85.3%$0.65+441.7%
Low1
FY2025
$39.7M
$39.7M$39.7M
+57.5%$0.71+9.2%
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryIDR
Last 8Q
+45.2%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates rising
+143%
Q3'24
-29%
Q4'24
+12%
Q1'25
-40%
Q2'25
+67%
Q3'25
+5%
Q4'25
+210%
Q1'26
-7%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Brackebusch Grant ADir
$634K
Jan 16
SELL
Swallow JohnDir
$834K
Dec 30
SELL
Swallow JohnDir
$1.3M
Dec 22
SELL
Beaven Richard ScottDir
$69K
Nov 18
SELL
Swallow JohnDir
$1.2M
Sep 23
SELL
Swallow JohnDir
$1.5M
Sep 23
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
1.1M
2
CITIGROUP INC
162K
3
JW Asset Management, LLC
143K
4
NORTHERN TRUST CORP
134K
5
LPL Financial LLC
127K
6
NAVELLIER & ASSOCIATES INC
110K
7
Nuveen, LLC
101K
8
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO
100K
News & Activity

IDR News

About

No description available.

Robert John MorganVice President of Exploration
Grant A. BrackebuschCo-Founder, Chief Financial Officer, Vice President of Operations & Director
John A. SwallowChairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer & President
PeersBasic Materials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
IDR
$38.19-14.35%$604M28.2+6458.6%3941.8%1500
$506.11-1.08%$234.1B33.0+297.2%2029.7%1506
$109.06-6.25%$116.4B14.0+1907.6%3206.3%1507
$63.01-4.73%$90.6B33.3+112.4%856.2%1516
$300.10-2.94%$74.0B28.4+206.0%1089.5%1477
$247.62-0.51%$69.7B33.2+215.9%1290.7%1473
$295.38-1.50%$65.8B31.2-52.3%-327.7%1502
Sector avg-4.48%28.7+1306.5%1726.6%1497