Global RevPAR growth rates by region (Americas, Europe, Greater China, ASPAC) - particularly luxury/upscale segments where IHG has 40%+ exposure
Net room signings and pipeline conversion rates - company targets 200,000+ rooms in pipeline with 4-5% annual system size growth
China market performance - represents 15-20% of system rooms with higher growth trajectory and expanding middle class driving branded hotel demand
Fee margin expansion - ability to shift mix toward higher-margin franchise agreements versus managed contracts
high - Hotel demand exhibits 1.5-2.0x GDP beta as business travel, leisure spending, and corporate events are discretionary. RevPAR typically contracts 15-25% during recessions as occupancy and ADR (average daily rate) both decline. Recovery phases see outsized RevPAR growth (10-15% annually) as demand returns faster than supply additions. Luxury and upscale segments (InterContinental, Kimpton) show higher cyclicality than midscale brands (Holiday Inn Express).
Moderate indirect sensitivity through franchisee financing costs - rising rates increase development costs for new hotels, potentially slowing pipeline conversion and net room growth. However, IHG's asset-light model insulates it from direct refinancing risk. Higher rates also strengthen USD, creating FX headwinds since 60%+ of revenue is generated outside the US. Valuation multiples compress as investors rotate from growth to value during rate hiking cycles.
Alternative accommodations disruption - Airbnb and vacation rental platforms capture 15-20% of lodging demand, particularly in leisure segments, pressuring midscale hotel pricing power and occupancy
Geopolitical fragmentation - Trade tensions, travel restrictions, or regional conflicts disrupt cross-border travel flows that drive 30%+ of international hotel demand, particularly impacting gateway cities and resort destinations
Franchise model concentration risk - Top 20 franchisees represent significant portion of system; financial distress among major partners could trigger room removals and fee revenue loss
growth-at-reasonable-price (GARP) investors seeking exposure to global travel recovery and emerging market growth with defensive asset-light model. Attracts long-term holders focused on FCF generation, capital returns (3-4% dividend yield plus buybacks), and operational leverage during RevPAR expansion cycles. Cyclical growth profile appeals to investors rotating into consumer discretionary during early/mid economic expansion phases.
Trend
+4.4% vs SMA 50 · +15.7% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
ANALYST ESTIMATES
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2025 | $5.0B $4.9B–$5.0B | — | $5.02 | — | ±1% | High5 |
FY2026(current) | $5.5B $5.5B–$5.6B | ▲ +10.9% | $5.71 | ▲ +13.8% | ±6% | High5 |
FY2027 | $5.9B $5.8B–$5.9B | ▲ +5.8% | $6.47 | ▲ +13.3% | ±8% | High5 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
IHG News
About
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC, marketed as IHG Hotels & Resorts, is a British multinational hospitality company headquartered in Denham, Buckinghamshire, England.
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IHG◀ | $148.58 | -0.89% | $22.1B | 35.6 | +540.3% | 1460.8% | 1500 |
| $404.35 | -3.20% | $2.1T | 30.5 | +3296.8% | 4510.0% | 1500 | |
| $132.58 | -6.05% | $307.9B | 20.7 | -44.8% | 1012.0% | 1500 | |
| $88.38 | -2.58% | $303.7B | 13.6 | +318.8% | 1510.7% | 1500 | |
| $148.08 | -1.13% | $282.6B | 21.0 | +597.3% | 2564.4% | 1500 | |
| $181.58 | -1.83% | $281.6B | 26.9 | +862.9% | 1745.9% | 1500 | |
| $183.40 | -0.23% | $256.1B | 16.8 | +213.3% | 1482.4% | 1500 | |
| Sector avg | — | -2.27% | — | 23.6 | +826.4% | 2040.9% | 1500 |