IMKTA
Earnings in 2 days · May 7, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-4.00%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume1.1× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 53Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
91.31
Open
90.64
Day Range87.61 – 91.40
87.61
91.40
52W Range59.09 – 95.62
59.09
95.62
78% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
139.0K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
17.5x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.01%
Beta
0.58
Low vol
Performance
1D
-4.00%
5D
-3.14%
1M
-5.50%
3M
+5.26%
6M
+22.14%
YTD
+27.88%
1Y
+37.94%
Best: 1Y (+37.94%)Worst: 1M (-5.50%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev -1% · 24% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 18x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 3.4 · FCF $6.48/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.67B
Revenue TTM$5.42B
Net Income TTM$95.13M
Free Cash Flow$123.07M
Gross Margin24.1%
Net Margin1.8%
Operating Margin2.5%
Return on Equity5.9%
Return on Assets3.7%
Debt / Equity0.33
Current Ratio3.36
EPS TTM$5.01
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Same-store sales trends (comps) - indicates market share retention in core rural markets against Walmart and regional competitors

Gross margin performance - highly sensitive to product mix shifts, promotional intensity, and shrink management

Real estate asset value recognition - market often undervalues owned store properties and shopping center portfolio

Capital allocation decisions - dividend policy, store remodels vs new builds, share repurchases given low valuation multiples

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Grocery retail is defensive, but Ingles' rural customer base skews lower-income and is more sensitive to economic stress than urban/suburban demographics. During recessions, customers trade down to private label (which Ingles carries) but may also shift spending to Walmart for one-stop shopping. SNAP benefits represent meaningful revenue in core markets. Gas price volatility significantly impacts rural customers with longer commutes, affecting discretionary grocery spending.

Interest Rates

Low direct impact as Debt/Equity of 0.33 indicates modest leverage and limited refinancing risk. However, rising rates pressure consumer discretionary spending in rural markets where customers may carry higher credit card balances. Valuation multiples compress when rates rise as dividend yield (estimated 1-2%) becomes less attractive versus risk-free alternatives. Real estate asset values face headwinds from cap rate expansion in rising rate environments.

Key Risks

Rural population decline in Appalachian core markets - demographic headwinds from out-migration to urban areas reduce addressable market and same-store sales potential

Walmart Supercenter saturation - continued expansion of Walmart grocery into small towns erodes Ingles' historical competitive moat from limited competition

E-commerce and delivery disruption - Amazon Fresh, Instacart partnerships with competitors threaten traditional store traffic, though rural markets lag urban adoption

Investor Profile

value - Stock trades at 0.3x sales, 1.0x book value, and 6.8x EV/EBITDA, well below grocery peer averages. Attracts deep value investors focused on real estate asset value (NAV-based analysis), special situation investors anticipating potential REIT conversion or asset monetization, and contrarian investors betting on margin recovery from current trough levels. Limited institutional ownership given small market cap ($1.7B) and low liquidity. Not suitable for growth or momentum investors given -5.4% revenue decline and -20.8% earnings decline.

Watch on Earnings
US gasoline prices (GASPRICE) - rural customers highly sensitive to fuel costs impacting grocery budgetsSNAP enrollment and benefit levels in North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Tennessee - material revenue component in core marketsWalmart US comp store sales and grocery market share data - leading indicator of competitive intensityRegional unemployment rates in Appalachian counties - core customer employment stability
Health Radar
3 strong1 watch2 concern
57/100
Liquidity
3.36Strong
Leverage
0.33Strong
Coverage
6.9xStrong
ROE
5.9%Concern
ROIC
4.4%Concern
Cash
$366MWatch
Analyst Coverage

No analyst coverage available for this stock.

Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 4 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 53 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowLean Accumulation
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 3.36 — healthy liquidity

1 signal unavailable — limited data for this stock

Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 7, 2026
In 94 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 17.7%

+18.8% vs SMA 50 · +39.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI53.5
Neutral territory
MACD+1.61
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$95.62+9.1%
Current
$87.66
EMA 50
$73.70-15.9%
EMA 200
$62.66-28.5%
52W Low
$59.09-32.6%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$59.0978th %ile$95.62
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:3
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)117K
Recent Vol (5D)
92K-21%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 19 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$14.5B
$11.6B$17.4B
$7.03
±20%
High19
FY2024
$4.8B
$4.8B$4.8B
-66.6%$6.30-10.4%
Low1
FY2025
$5.3B
$5.3B$5.3B
+10.3%$0.00
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryIMKTA
Last 8Q
-33.6%avg beat
Beat 1 of 8 quartersMissed 7 Estimates falling
+5%
Q3'97
-16%
Q4'97
-72%
Q2'09
-69%
Q3'09
-45%
Q4'09
-38%
Q1'10
-30%
Q2'10
-4%
Q3'10
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Ingle Sharp LauraDir
$401K
Jun 27
SELL
Ingle Sharp LauraDir
$338K
Jun 24
SELL
Ingle Sharp LauraDir
$282K
Jun 11
SELL
Ingle Sharp LauraDir
$421K
Jun 10
SELL
Ingle Sharp LauraDir
$305K
Mar 28
SELL
Ingle Sharp LauraDir
$152K
Mar 25
SELL
Financials
Dividends0.75% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield0.75%
Quarterly Div.$0.1650
Est. Annual / Share$0.66
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
River Road Asset Management, LLC
956K
2
SUMMER ROAD LLC
434K
3
TEACHER RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF TEXAS
92K
4
FIFTH THIRD BANCORP
34K
5
Nuveen, LLC
29K
6
Linden Thomas Advisory Services, LLC
28K
7
Polaris Capital Management, LLC
27K
8
Baker Ellis Asset Management LLC
23K
News & Activity

IMKTA News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

since 1963, ingles markets, inc. has been western north carolina's leading local supermarket. ingles is a publicly held, locally owned company with over 200 retail locations operating in 6 southeastern states including alabama, georgia, tennessee, virginia, and the carolinas. mr. ingle’s commitment to our associates, customers, and communities has been our guiding force. our dedicated workforce has risen to the challenge of meeting our goals, today, and as we proceed into the future. our company standard couples old-fashioned values with progressive vision.

CEO
James Lanning
James W. LanningChief Executive Officer, Chief Operating Officer, President & Director
Michael David HoganPresident of Milkco
Cynthia L. BrooksVice President of Human Resources
PeersConsumer Defensive(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
$87.66-4.00%$1.7B17.5-541.8%156.7%1500
$130.33-0.97%$1.0T47.5+472.5%307.0%1518
$1012.79+0.11%$449.3B52.6+816.7%294.3%1504
$78.19-0.50%$336.5B24.6+187.0%1507
$143.45-2.59%$334.0B20.8+29.2%1488
$169.19+1.69%$263.7B23.8+731.3%2791.8%1502
$154.59-1.79%$211.3B24.2+225.5%1499
Sector avg-1.15%30.1+274.3%887.4%1503