IOT
Next earnings: Jun 4, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move+5.61%Strong session
Volume
1
Volume0.7× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 40Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
27.99
Open
28.32
Day Range27.57 – 30.04
27.57
30.04
52W Range23.38 – 48.41
23.38
48.41
25% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
6.9M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-1478.0x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
+1.71%
5D
-5.22%
1M
+5.58%
3M
+2.45%
6M
-25.97%
YTD
-21.04%
1Y
-41.37%
Best: 1M (+5.58%)Worst: 1Y (-41.37%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +30% YoY · 77% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
STRONG
CR 1.6 · FCF $0.36/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$16.95B
Revenue TTM$1.62B
Net Income TTM-$9.12M
Free Cash Flow$207.44M
Gross Margin76.7%
Net Margin-0.6%
Operating Margin-3.2%
Return on Equity-0.7%
Return on Assets-0.4%
Debt / Equity0.05
Current Ratio1.64
EPS TTM$-0.02
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth rate and net revenue retention (typically 120-130% indicating strong upsell motion)

Customer acquisition metrics: New customer adds, average contract values, and sales efficiency (CAC payback period)

Product adoption breadth: Percentage of customers using 3+ applications vs single-product penetration

Operating margin trajectory and path to sustained profitability amid growth investments

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-high - Customer base concentrated in economically sensitive sectors: trucking/logistics (40-45% of revenue), construction (15-20%), field services (15-20%). During recessions, fleet operators delay vehicle purchases and technology investments, construction activity contracts, and small business customers (60% of base) face budget pressures. However, mission-critical nature for compliance (ELD mandates, safety regulations) and ROI-positive use cases (fuel savings, insurance discounts) provide downside protection. Industrial production and freight volumes are leading indicators for customer health and expansion budgets.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create multiple headwinds: (1) Valuation compression on high-growth, unprofitable SaaS stocks as discount rates increase - stock trades at 9.7x P/S vs 15-20x for profitable peers; (2) Customer financing costs increase for fleet purchases and equipment investments, potentially delaying technology adoption; (3) Small business customers face higher working capital costs, pressuring discretionary software budgets. However, minimal direct impact from debt (0.06 D/E ratio) and strong balance sheet (1.56 current ratio) insulate operations. Rate cuts would likely drive multiple expansion and improve customer spending environment.

Key Risks

Commoditization risk as telematics and fleet management features become standard in OEM vehicle platforms (Ford Pro, GM Onstar) and ERP systems (SAP, Oracle), potentially reducing TAM for third-party solutions

Regulatory dependency: ELD mandate drove initial adoption wave (2017-2019), but lack of new compliance drivers could slow growth; conversely, privacy regulations (GDPR, CCPA) create data handling complexity for video surveillance features

Technology disruption from autonomous vehicle adoption could fundamentally alter fleet management needs and reduce demand for driver-centric safety products over 10-15 year horizon

Investor Profile

growth - Stock appeals to investors seeking high-revenue-growth SaaS exposure (33% YoY) with large TAM ($50B+) and path to profitability. Recent 57% one-year decline and -29% three-month performance reflect broader SaaS multiple compression and profitability concerns, creating potential entry point for growth-at-reasonable-price investors. Not suitable for value or income investors given negative earnings, no dividend, and premium 9.7x P/S valuation. Momentum investors exited during 2025 drawdown.

Watch on Earnings
Industrial Production Index (INDPRO) - proxy for freight volumes and construction activity driving customer fleet utilization and expansion budgetsDiesel fuel prices (HOUSD heating oil as proxy) - higher fuel costs increase ROI for Samsara's fuel efficiency features, accelerating adoptionSmall business optimism and credit availability - affects 60% of customer base's ability to invest in technology and expand fleetsCommercial truck sales and Class 8 orders - leading indicator for new fleet deployments and hardware attachment opportunities
Health Radar
2 strong2 watch2 concern
49/100
Liquidity
1.64Watch
Leverage
0.05Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
-0.7%Concern
ROIC
32.3%Strong
Cash
$319MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE17 analysts
BUY
+62.4%upside to target
L $30.00
Med $48.00consensus
H $57.00
Buy
1482%
Hold
318%
14 Buy (82%)3 Hold (18%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 40 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.64 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 9, 2026
In 116 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 10.8%

-3.3% vs SMA 50 · -13.7% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI39.6
Momentum fading
MACD-0.54
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$48.41+63.8%
EMA 200
$34.28+16.0%
EMA 50
$29.84+1.0%
Current
$29.56
52W Low
$23.38-20.9%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$23.3825th %ile$48.41
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:0
Dist days:2
Edge:+2 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)6.7M
Recent Vol (5D)
4.9M-26%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 16 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$1.2B
$1.2B$1.3B
$0.22
±3%
High13
FY2026(current)
$1.6B
$1.6B$1.6B
+28.9%$0.51+129.2%
±2%
High16
FY2027
$2.0B
$1.9B$2.0B
+23.4%$0.68+33.9%
±10%
High16
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryIOT
Last 8Q
+122.1%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+223%
Q2'24
+400%
Q3'24
+75%
Q4'24
+56%
Q1'25
+90%
Q2'25
+66%
Q3'25
+27%
Q4'25
+40%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Exane BNP ParibasNeutral → Outperform
Jan 15
UPGRADE
Evercore ISIPositive → Outperform
Oct 1
UPGRADE
Craig-HallumHold → Buy
Sep 5
UPGRADE
BMO CapitalMarket Perform → Outperform
Mar 10
UPGRADE
Piper SandlerNeutral → Overweight
Mar 10
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyOverweight → Equal-Weight
Mar 23
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $31.0M sold · 30d window
Kirchhoff Benjamin …CHIEF ACCOUNTI…
$70K
May 13
SELL
Biswas SanjitCHIEF EXECUTVE…
$3.3M
May 12
SELL
Biswas SanjitCHIEF EXECUTVE…
$29K
May 12
SELL
Biswas SanjitCHIEF EXECUTVE…
$2.4M
May 13
SELL
Biswas SanjitCHIEF EXECUTVE…
$33K
May 13
SELL
Biswas SanjitCHIEF EXECUTVE…
$1.1M
May 12
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO
57.5M
2
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/
36.6M
3
FMR LLC
23.8M
4
BlackRock, Inc.
22.3M
5
SANDS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
15.7M
6
BROWN ADVISORY INC
10.1M
7
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC
9.7M
8
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP
8.5M
News & Activity

IOT News

About

No description available.

Dominic PhillipsExecutive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Kiren SekarExecutive Vice President & Chief Product Officer
Adam EltoukhyExecutive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
IOT
$29.56+1.71%$17.0B+2957.4%-56.3%1500
$404.35-3.20%$2.1T30.5+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$132.58-6.05%$307.9B20.7-44.8%1012.0%1500
$88.38-2.58%$303.7B13.6+318.8%1510.7%1500
$148.08-1.13%$282.6B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$181.58-1.83%$281.6B26.9+862.9%1745.9%1500
$183.40-0.23%$256.1B16.8+213.3%1482.4%1500
Sector avg-1.90%21.6+1171.7%1824.1%1500