JBGS
Earnings in 2 days · May 5, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-1.93%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 43Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
15.00
Open
15.06
Day Range14.69 – 15.08
14.69
15.08
52W Range14.03 – 24.30
14.03
24.30
7% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
602.4K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-7.0x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.05%
Beta
0.79
Low vol
Performance
1D
-1.93%
5D
-3.67%
1M
+1.80%
3M
-12.65%
6M
-24.53%
YTD
-13.52%
1Y
+1.38%
Best: 1M (+1.80%)Worst: 6M (-24.53%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
revenue -9% YoY · thin -14% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 0.8 (low) · FCF $1.23/sh
Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$867.98M
Revenue TTM$498.60M
Net Income TTM-$139.06M
Free Cash Flow$73.26M
Gross Margin-14.5%
Net Margin-27.9%
Operating Margin-1.3%
Return on Equity-10.6%
Return on Assets-3.2%
Debt / Equity2.20
Current Ratio0.79
EPS TTM$-2.34
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Office leasing velocity and rental rate trends in National Landing submarket - directly tied to Amazon HQ2 build-out timeline and federal government space demand

Same-store NOI growth and occupancy rates - critical given negative operating margins and need to demonstrate stabilization

Asset disposition activity and capital recycling - ability to monetize non-core assets and redeploy into higher-return multifamily or mixed-use development

Development pipeline progress - particularly mixed-use projects in National Landing that can capture Amazon-driven population growth

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Office demand is highly correlated with white-collar employment growth, corporate expansion decisions, and return-to-office mandates. DC market has federal government tenant base providing some counter-cyclical stability, but private sector tenants (tech, consulting, legal) are economically sensitive. Multifamily segment benefits from job growth driving household formation, but faces rent growth pressure in recessions.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact JBG SMITH through three channels: (1) higher financing costs on floating-rate debt and refinancings reduce FFO, (2) cap rate expansion compresses property values and NAV, and (3) REITs become less attractive vs. risk-free Treasury yields, pressuring valuation multiples. With debt/equity at 0.00 (likely data quality issue - typical REIT leverage is 30-40% LTV), actual rate sensitivity depends on true debt structure. Development projects face higher hurdle rates in rising rate environments.

Key Risks

Permanent reduction in office space demand from hybrid work adoption - DC market office utilization rates remain 30-40% below pre-pandemic levels, threatening long-term rental income

Federal government space consolidation initiatives and telework policies reducing demand from largest DC tenant category

Geographic concentration risk in single MSA exposes portfolio to regional economic shocks, federal budget cuts, or local policy changes

Investor Profile

value - Trading at 0.8x book value with 7.8% FCF yield attracts deep value investors betting on office market stabilization and Amazon HQ2 catalyst. Negative margins and -20.8% six-month return deter growth and momentum investors. Dividend-focused investors are cautious given payout sustainability concerns with negative net margins. Opportunistic real estate investors view this as a distressed office turnaround play with asymmetric upside if DC market recovers.

Watch on Earnings
10-Year Treasury yield (GS10) - primary driver of REIT cap rates and valuation multiplesDC metro office vacancy rates and net absorption - indicates market health and competitive intensityAmazon HQ2 construction milestones and employee headcount in National Landing - validates core investment thesisFederal funds rate and SOFR - impacts floating-rate debt costs and refinancing economics
Health Radar
6 concern
10/100
Liquidity
0.79Concern
Leverage
2.20Concern
Coverage
-0.0xConcern
ROE
-10.6%Concern
ROIC
-3.6%Concern
Cash
$75MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE5 analysts
HOLD
+22.4%upside to target
Hold
360%
Sell
240%
0 Buy (0%)3 Hold (60%)2 Sell (40%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
6/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 43 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.79 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 17.2%

-2.3% vs SMA 50 · -19.1% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI42.6
Momentum fading
MACD+0.02
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$24.30+65.2%
EMA 200
$17.26+17.4%
EMA 50
$15.33+4.2%
Current
$14.71
52W Low
$14.03-4.6%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$14.037th %ile$24.30
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:1
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.4M
Recent Vol (5D)
614K-58%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 1 analyst
Analyst revisions:Revenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$581.1M
$581.1M$581.1M
-$1.57
Low1
FY2024
$517.0M
$517.0M$517.0M
-11.0%-$1.31
Low1
FY2025
$464.9M
$464.9M$464.9M
-10.1%-$2.07
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryJBGS
Last 8Q
+145.8%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates falling
+197%
Q2'24
+144%
Q3'24
+166%
Q4'24
+137%
Q1'25
+121%
Q2'25
+135%
Q3'25
+131%
Q4'25
+136%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Zacks Investment Re…Sell
Apr 26
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Regan-levine EvanChief Strategy…
$9K
Nov 24
SELL
Regan-levine EvanChief Strategy…
$71K
Nov 24
SELL
Regan-levine EvanChief Strategy…
$97K
Nov 7
SELL
Museles Steven AChief Legal Of…
$291K
Oct 30
SELL
Museles Steven AChief Legal Of…
$318K
Oct 31
SELL
Estes Scott ADir
$199K
Oct 30
SELL
Financials
Dividends4.76% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield4.76%
Semi-Annual Div.$0.1750
Est. Annual / Share$0.35
FrequencySemi-Annual
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q4'24
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q4'25
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
174K
2
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
114K
3
Skopos Labs, Inc.
103K
4
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
86K
5
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
65K
6
State of Alaska, Department of Revenue
58K
7
COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA PUBLIC SCHOOL EMPLS RETRMT SYS
42K
8
SG Americas Securities, LLC
41K
News & Activity

JBGS News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

since 1960, the jbg companies has been an active investor, owner and developer in the washington metropolitan area's real estate market - one of the most dynamic markets in the world. jbg's track record in securing superior risk-adjusted returns is widely recognized within this high-performance market. our diverse portfolio encompasses millions of square feet of office, residential, hotel and retail projects, and includes many of the region's most distinguished properties. jbg is proud of its history of creating and preserving real estate values. we remain committed to continually improving the environment in the washington metropolitan area; creating value for our investors, partners and employees; and maintaining the highest standards of integrity and dependability in all of our endeavors.

Industry
Lessors of Nonresidential Buildings (except Miniwarehouses)
CEO
Matt Kelly
Moina BanerjeeCo-President & CFO
George Laucks XandersCo- President & Chief Investment Officer
Kevin ConnollyExecutive Vice President of Portfolio Management & Investor Relations
PeersReal Estate(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
JBGS
$14.71-1.93%$868M-890.1%-2789.1%1500
$216.91-0.20%$153.1B107.8+3582.4%878.3%1512
$141.41-0.43%$131.8B35.4+717.6%3880.1%1503
$1085.03+0.20%$107.0B75.1+585.3%1457.9%1524
$181.61-0.60%$84.6B29.4+511.4%2376.5%1493
$200.70+0.23%$69.0B50.3+1004.0%2140.8%1519
$202.44-0.62%$65.8B14.3+671.9%7251.1%1510
Sector avg-0.48%52.1+883.2%2170.8%1509