JBS
Earnings in 9 days · May 12, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bearish1!
Price
1
Move+0.12%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
TrendPullbackBelow 50D, above 200D
PRICE
Prev Close
16.06
Open
16.11
Day Range15.97 – 16.32
15.97
16.32
52W Range12.37 – 18.65
12.37
18.65
59% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
4.5M
Float
2.2B
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
8.5x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
$1.89
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
+0.12%
5D
-2.60%
1M
-9.41%
3M
+2.29%
6M
+21.73%
YTD
+11.51%
1Y
+15.93%
Best: 6M (+21.73%)Worst: 1M (-9.41%)
Quick Read
Earnings in 10d · May 12
Trend
PULLBACK
Price below SMA50, above SMA200
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +15% · 13% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 9x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.6 · FCF $2.11/sh
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$176.80B
Revenue TTM$479.93B
Net Income TTM$11.33B
Free Cash Flow$2.14B
Gross Margin13.0%
Net Margin2.4%
Operating Margin4.8%
Return on Equity31.1%
Return on Assets4.6%
Debt / Equity2.63
Current Ratio1.60
EPS TTM$11.17
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Protein spread margins - specifically the gap between live cattle/hog prices (tracked via CME futures) and wholesale beef/pork cutout values, which can swing 500+ basis points quarterly

US and Brazilian cattle herd dynamics - multi-year cattle cycles affecting slaughter volumes and input costs, with US herd currently in liquidation phase

China import demand for beef and pork - regulatory approvals, African Swine Fever impacts, and trade policy shifts materially affect export volumes and pricing

Feed grain costs (corn/soybean meal) - directly impact poultry production economics and indirectly affect livestock costs through producer margins

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Protein consumption shows resilience during downturns as consumers trade down from restaurants to retail, though premium cut demand weakens. Emerging market GDP growth (particularly China, Brazil) significantly impacts export volumes. US consumer spending affects mix shift between commodity ground beef/chicken and higher-margin premium cuts. Industrial production correlates with food service demand which represents 30-35% of total protein consumption.

Interest Rates

Rising rates increase financing costs on the company's substantial debt load (Debt/Equity of 2.56), pressuring free cash flow available for deleveraging or shareholder returns. Higher rates also strengthen USD which reduces competitiveness of US beef/pork exports and creates translation headwinds from Brazilian/Australian operations. Livestock producers face higher financing costs for herd expansion, potentially constraining future supply growth. Valuation multiples compress as discount rates rise, though the stock's low P/S (0.4x) suggests limited multiple downside.

Key Risks

Alternative protein adoption (plant-based, cultivated meat) - potential long-term demand erosion for conventional animal protein, though currently <3% market share

Environmental and sustainability regulations - increasing pressure on methane emissions, water usage, and waste management could require substantial capex and operational changes, particularly in Brazil (Amazon deforestation concerns) and EU operations

Labor availability and wage inflation - meat processing facilities face chronic labor shortages and high turnover, with immigration policy changes materially affecting workforce availability in US operations

Investor Profile

value - The stock trades at deep discount to sales (0.4x P/S) and enterprise value (5.2x EV/EBITDA) reflecting concerns about cyclicality, governance (controlling shareholder structure), and commodity exposure. Attracts contrarian value investors betting on protein spread normalization and free cash flow generation (44.9% FCF yield). The extreme ROE (32.2%) and ROA (31.5%) relative to low valuation multiples suggests either unsustainable margins or market skepticism about earnings quality. Not suitable for ESG-focused investors given animal welfare and environmental controversies.

Watch on Earnings
CME live cattle futures (LEUSX) and feeder cattle prices - leading indicator of beef segment input costsCME lean hog futures (HEUSX) - tracks pork segment raw material costsCorn (ZCUSX) and soybean meal futures - primary feed ingredients affecting poultry economics and livestock producer marginsUSDA weekly beef cutout values (Choice/Select) - wholesale pricing benchmark for revenue realization
Health Radar
1 strong4 watch1 concern
44/100
Liquidity
1.60Watch
Leverage
2.63Concern
Coverage
3.2xWatch
ROE
31.1%Strong
ROIC
10.3%Watch
Cash
$25.1BWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE3 analysts
BUY
+18.2%upside to target
L $17.00
Med $19.00consensus
H $23.00
Buy
3100%
3 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 7 signals bullish
6/10
Trend
Trend StatePullback (dip within uptrend)
~
Above SMA 50$16.56 (-2.9%)
Above SMA 200$14.98 (+7.4%)
Technicals
MA AlignmentGolden Cross (50D vs 200D +10.6%)
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.60 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
Technicals
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$18.65+16.0%
SMA 50
$16.56+3.0%
Current
$16.08
SMA 200
$14.98-6.9%
52W Low
$12.37-23.1%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$12.3759th %ile$18.65
Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 8 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$72.7B
$69.6B$76.9B
-$0.00
±7%
High5
FY2024
$73.0B
$69.9B$77.3B
+0.4%$0.81
±7%
High7
FY2025
$87.2B
$84.7B$91.7B
+19.5%$1.93+138.6%
±10%
High8
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryJBS
Last 8Q
-27.4%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates rising
-24%
Q1'24
-53%
Q2'24
+11%
Q3'24
-25%
Q4'24
-52%
Q2'25
+5%
Q3'25
+3%
Q4'25
-83%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
SantanderNeutral → Outperform
Dec 11
UPGRADE
Financials
Dividends2.27% yield
+69.8% avg annual growth
Annual Yield2.27%
Annual Div.$1.0000
Est. Annual / Share$1.00
FrequencyAnnual
Q2'22
Q4'22
Q2'23
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q2'25
Q2'25
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Alberta Investment Management Corp
5.0M
2
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
873K
3
SG Americas Securities, LLC
747K
4
Nuveen, LLC
710K
5
Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V.
623K
6
Pictet Asset Management Holding SA
372K
7
ROYAL LONDON ASSET MANAGEMENT LTD
360K
8
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
189K
News & Activity

JBS News

20 articles · 4h ago

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