Calamos Phineus Long/Short Fund: Q1 2026 Contributors And Detractors
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Almond and walnut crop size forecasts from California (USDA reports in May/July) - affects raw material availability and pricing for 12-18 months
Gross margin expansion or contraction driven by procurement timing versus selling price adjustments in private label contracts
Private label contract wins or losses with major retailers (Costco, Walmart, Kroger represent significant volume)
Operating efficiency improvements in processing facilities and distribution network optimization
moderate - Nuts are positioned as affordable healthy snacks with some defensive characteristics, but premium nut products and food service channels show cyclical sensitivity. During recessions, consumers may trade down from branded to private label (benefits JBSS) but reduce overall nut consumption or shift to lower-priced peanuts versus tree nuts. The commercial ingredients channel serving food manufacturers correlates with broader food industry production. Estimated 0.6-0.8x GDP beta based on consumer staples characteristics with commodity exposure.
Rising interest rates have modest negative impact through higher working capital financing costs, as the company maintains substantial nut inventory (3-6 months typical) requiring seasonal credit line usage. With Debt/Equity of 0.18, balance sheet leverage is low, limiting direct interest expense impact. However, higher rates can pressure consumer discretionary spending on premium nut products and reduce food service demand. Valuation multiples for low-growth food processors compress when risk-free rates rise, as the stock trades primarily on dividend yield and steady cash flow rather than growth.
California water scarcity and climate change threaten long-term almond production viability, with growers removing orchards due to drought - could increase raw material costs and supply volatility
Retailer consolidation and private label penetration increase buyer power, compressing processor margins as retailers demand lower prices while maintaining shelf price points
Shift toward direct-to-consumer and e-commerce channels bypasses traditional distributors, though JBSS has limited DTC presence to capture this trend
value - The stock trades at 0.8x Price/Sales and 8.2x EV/EBITDA, below food industry averages, attracting value investors seeking steady cash flow businesses with modest growth. The 19.5% ROE and low leverage appeal to quality-focused value managers. Limited analyst coverage and small market cap ($0.9B) make this a micro-cap value play rather than institutional core holding. Recent 27.1% six-month return suggests momentum investors have discovered the name, but long-term holder base is value-oriented seeking dividend yield and operational improvement.
Trend
+13.9% vs SMA 50 · +29.4% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2023 | $928.1M $928.1M–$928.1M | — | $4.76 | — | — | Low1 |
FY2024 | $954.4M $954.4M–$954.4M | ▲ +2.8% | $5.14 | ▲ +8.0% | — | Low1 |
FY2025 | $1.2B $1.1B–$1.2B | ▲ +22.3% | $5.85 | ▲ +13.9% | — | Low1 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
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john b. sanfilippo & son, inc. is a growing leader in the snack food industry known internationally for the fisher® brand name. we are a processor, packager, and marketer of a wide variety of nut and snack products. we are a publicly traded organization (jbss) that employs over 1,300 individuals in five facilities across the country. our annual sales have exceeded $700 million. sanfilippo offers a unique corporate culture that is an exciting combination of a family-based atmosphere going back to 1922, a publicly traded corporate structure, and a growing organization that is expanding it’s sales and operations expertises to better serve our national customers and consumers.
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JBSS◀ | $79.04 | -2.62% | $931M | 13.9 | +379.3% | 532.3% | 1500 |
| $130.33 | -0.25% | $1.0T | 47.9 | +472.5% | 307.0% | 1518 | |
| $1012.79 | -0.28% | $448.8B | 52.5 | +816.7% | 294.3% | 1504 | |
| $143.45 | +0.12% | $342.9B | 21.4 | +29.2% | 1895.3% | 1488 | |
| $78.19 | -0.23% | $338.2B | 24.7 | +187.0% | 2734.0% | 1507 | |
| $169.19 | +0.79% | $259.3B | 23.4 | +731.3% | 2791.8% | 1502 | |
| $154.59 | -0.68% | $215.2B | 24.6 | +225.5% | 877.3% | 1499 | |
| Sector avg | — | -0.45% | — | 29.8 | +405.9% | 1347.4% | 1503 |