JBSS
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move-0.77%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume1.8× avgHeavy volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 52Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
79.65
Open
79.65
Day Range77.89 – 80.15
77.89
80.15
52W Range58.47 – 85.15
58.47
85.15
77% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
80.0K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
13.8x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.01%
Beta
0.36
Low vol
Performance
1D
-2.62%
5D
+3.86%
1M
-2.95%
3M
-0.01%
6M
+17.17%
YTD
+12.82%
1Y
+29.85%
Best: 1Y (+29.85%)Worst: 1M (-2.95%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +5% · 19% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 14x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 2.3 · FCF $4.17/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$923.94M
Revenue TTM$1.16B
Net Income TTM$67.06M
Free Cash Flow$48.88M
Gross Margin18.5%
Net Margin5.8%
Operating Margin8.3%
Return on Equity18.1%
Return on Assets10.3%
Debt / Equity0.25
Current Ratio2.30
EPS TTM$5.72
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Almond and walnut crop size forecasts from California (USDA reports in May/July) - affects raw material availability and pricing for 12-18 months

Gross margin expansion or contraction driven by procurement timing versus selling price adjustments in private label contracts

Private label contract wins or losses with major retailers (Costco, Walmart, Kroger represent significant volume)

Operating efficiency improvements in processing facilities and distribution network optimization

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Nuts are positioned as affordable healthy snacks with some defensive characteristics, but premium nut products and food service channels show cyclical sensitivity. During recessions, consumers may trade down from branded to private label (benefits JBSS) but reduce overall nut consumption or shift to lower-priced peanuts versus tree nuts. The commercial ingredients channel serving food manufacturers correlates with broader food industry production. Estimated 0.6-0.8x GDP beta based on consumer staples characteristics with commodity exposure.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates have modest negative impact through higher working capital financing costs, as the company maintains substantial nut inventory (3-6 months typical) requiring seasonal credit line usage. With Debt/Equity of 0.18, balance sheet leverage is low, limiting direct interest expense impact. However, higher rates can pressure consumer discretionary spending on premium nut products and reduce food service demand. Valuation multiples for low-growth food processors compress when risk-free rates rise, as the stock trades primarily on dividend yield and steady cash flow rather than growth.

Key Risks

California water scarcity and climate change threaten long-term almond production viability, with growers removing orchards due to drought - could increase raw material costs and supply volatility

Retailer consolidation and private label penetration increase buyer power, compressing processor margins as retailers demand lower prices while maintaining shelf price points

Shift toward direct-to-consumer and e-commerce channels bypasses traditional distributors, though JBSS has limited DTC presence to capture this trend

Investor Profile

value - The stock trades at 0.8x Price/Sales and 8.2x EV/EBITDA, below food industry averages, attracting value investors seeking steady cash flow businesses with modest growth. The 19.5% ROE and low leverage appeal to quality-focused value managers. Limited analyst coverage and small market cap ($0.9B) make this a micro-cap value play rather than institutional core holding. Recent 27.1% six-month return suggests momentum investors have discovered the name, but long-term holder base is value-oriented seeking dividend yield and operational improvement.

Watch on Earnings
USDA almond crop forecasts (Objective Estimate reports) - California produces 80% of global almonds, directly impacts JBSS raw material costsAlmond Board of California position reports - tracks inventory levels and shipment data monthlyRetail scanner data for nut category growth and private label share trendsSoybean and corn futures prices as proxy for broader agricultural commodity inflation affecting all food processors
Health Radar
4 strong1 watch1 concern
62/100
Liquidity
2.30Strong
Leverage
0.25Strong
Coverage
29.9xStrong
ROE
18.1%Strong
ROIC
13.5%Watch
Cash
$585KConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE2 analysts
BUY
Buy
2100%
2 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
5 of 5 signals bullish
10/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 52 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.30 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 1, 2026
In 119 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 13.6%

+13.9% vs SMA 50 · +29.4% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI51.8
Neutral territory
MACD+2.68
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$85.15+7.7%
Current
$79.04
EMA 50
$71.10-10.0%
EMA 200
$61.07-22.7%
52W Low
$58.47-26.0%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$58.4777th %ile$85.15
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:4
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)79K
Recent Vol (5D)
66K-16%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 1 analyst
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$928.1M
$928.1M$928.1M
$4.76
Low1
FY2024
$954.4M
$954.4M$954.4M
+2.8%$5.14+8.0%
Low1
FY2025
$1.2B
$1.1B$1.2B
+22.3%$5.85+13.9%
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryJBSS
Last 8Q
+21.4%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates falling
+46%
Q3'22
+7%
Q4'22
+9%
Q1'23
+3%
Q2'23
+47%
Q3'23
+24%
Q4'25
+12%
Q1'26
+23%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Sanfilippo James JDir
$102K
Mar 2
SELL
Sanfilippo Jeffrey TCEO
$578K
Mar 2
SELL
Sanfilippo Jasper B…Dir
$584K
Mar 2
SELL
Sanfilippo LisaDir
$185K
Mar 2
SELL
Sanfilippo James JDir
$71K
Feb 11
SELL
Sanfilippo Jeffrey TCEO
$464K
Jan 16
SELL
Financials
Dividends5.06% yield
+26.1% avg annual growth
Annual Yield5.06%
Semi-Annual Div.$1.5000
Est. Annual / Share$3.00
FrequencySemi-Annual
Q4'22
Q2'23
Q3'23
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS
821K
2
TEACHER RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF TEXAS
72K
3
EXCHANGE TRADED CONCEPTS, LLC
31K
4
Inspire Investing, LLC
28K
5
Nuveen, LLC
25K
6
CONFLUENCE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC
15K
7
Skylands Capital, LLC
14K
8
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
11K
News & Activity

JBSS News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

john b. sanfilippo & son, inc. is a growing leader in the snack food industry known internationally for the fisher® brand name. we are a processor, packager, and marketer of a wide variety of nut and snack products. we are a publicly traded organization (jbss) that employs over 1,300 individuals in five facilities across the country. our annual sales have exceeded $700 million. sanfilippo offers a unique corporate culture that is an exciting combination of a family-based atmosphere going back to 1922, a publicly traded corporate structure, and a growing organization that is expanding it’s sales and operations expertises to better serve our national customers and consumers.

CEO
Jeffrey Sanfilippo
Jasper Sanfilippo Jr.Chief Operating Officer, President, Secretary & Director
Michael J. FinnVice President & Corporate Controller
Frank S. PellegrinoChief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President of Finance & Administration and Treasurer
PeersConsumer Defensive(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
JBSS
$79.04-2.62%$931M13.9+379.3%532.3%1500
$130.33-0.25%$1.0T47.9+472.5%307.0%1518
$1012.79-0.28%$448.8B52.5+816.7%294.3%1504
$143.45+0.12%$342.9B21.4+29.2%1895.3%1488
$78.19-0.23%$338.2B24.7+187.0%2734.0%1507
$169.19+0.79%$259.3B23.4+731.3%2791.8%1502
$154.59-0.68%$215.2B24.6+225.5%877.3%1499
Sector avg-0.45%29.8+405.9%1347.4%1503