JMIA
Next earnings: Aug 6, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-4.50%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 52Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
7.33
Open
7.15
Day Range7.00 – 7.30
7.00
7.30
52W Range2.89 – 14.72
2.89
14.72
35% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.1M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-13.7x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
2.67
High vol
Performance
1D
-4.50%
5D
-19.54%
1M
-3.98%
3M
-24.89%
6M
-34.02%
YTD
-43.96%
1Y
+128.76%
Best: 1Y (+128.76%)Worst: YTD (-43.96%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +31% YoY · 54% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 1.0 · FCF negative
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$433.48M
Revenue TTM$203.19M
Net Income TTM-$62.55M
Free Cash Flow-$43.60M
Gross Margin53.7%
Net Margin-30.8%
Operating Margin-29.1%
Return on Equity-194.9%
Return on Assets-55.9%
Debt / Equity0.74
Current Ratio1.02
EPS TTM$-1.01
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) growth rates and order volume trends - indicates market share gains and platform adoption

Path to profitability metrics - quarterly cash burn rate, operating expense reduction, and timeline to breakeven

Active customer growth and repeat purchase rates - customer acquisition costs are high, retention drives unit economics

Currency volatility in key markets - Nigerian naira, Egyptian pound devaluations impact USD-reported revenues and local purchasing power

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - E-commerce adoption in emerging markets is highly sensitive to disposable income levels and consumer confidence. African economies are commodity-dependent (oil, agriculture) making revenues vulnerable to global commodity price cycles. Rising inflation in key markets (Nigeria inflation >20% historically) erodes purchasing power and shifts spending toward essentials rather than discretionary e-commerce purchases. GDP growth in core markets directly correlates with middle-class expansion and smartphone adoption rates.

Interest Rates

Moderate sensitivity through two channels: (1) US rate increases strengthen the dollar, making USD-denominated funding more expensive and reducing translated revenues from local currencies; (2) Higher global rates reduce appetite for unprofitable growth stocks, compressing valuation multiples. Company is pre-profitable and cash-burning, requiring access to capital markets - tighter financial conditions increase refinancing risk. Local African interest rates (often 15-25%) impact consumer financing options and payment installment products.

Key Risks

African e-commerce penetration remains below 2% of retail sales - structural barriers include logistics infrastructure gaps, low internet penetration (40-50% in key markets), limited smartphone adoption, and preference for cash-based informal retail

Currency devaluation risk - revenues generated in volatile local currencies (naira, pound, shilling) but costs partially USD-denominated; historical devaluations of 30-50% in Nigeria and Egypt significantly impair USD-reported results

Regulatory uncertainty - African governments increasingly scrutinizing foreign tech platforms, potential for data localization requirements, taxation changes, or restrictions on cross-border payments

Investor Profile

growth/speculative - Attracts high-risk tolerance investors betting on African e-commerce market development over 5-10 year horizon. Not suitable for value or income investors given negative profitability, no dividends, and uncertain path to sustainable earnings. Momentum traders active given high volatility and 128% one-year return driven by restructuring narrative and speculative positioning. Typical holders include emerging market growth funds, venture-style public equity investors, and thematic Africa/e-commerce ETFs.

Watch on Earnings
Brent crude oil price (DCOILBRENTEU) - Nigeria and other African economies are oil-dependent, crude prices drive GDP growth and consumer spending powerUS Dollar Index and USD/NGN, USD/EGP exchange rates - currency devaluation directly impacts USD-reported revenues and marginsEmerging market consumer sentiment and retail sales trends - proxy for discretionary spending in African marketsMobile internet penetration rates in Nigeria, Egypt, Kenya - addressable market expansion
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
35/100
Liquidity
1.02Watch
Leverage
0.74Strong
Coverage
-6.3xConcern
ROE
-194.9%Concern
ROIC
-256.5%Concern
Cash
$77MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE7 analysts
BUY
+157.1%upside to target
L $16.00
Med $18.00consensus
H $18.00
Buy
571%
Hold
229%
5 Buy (71%)2 Hold (29%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
4/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 52 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowLean Distribution — selling pressure
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.02
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 9, 2026
In 116 days
Technicals
Technical SetupMIXED
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 25.9%

-3.6% vs SMA 50 · -28.6% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI52.5
Neutral territory
MACD+0.06
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$14.72+110.3%
EMA 200
$8.27+18.2%
EMA 50
$7.76+10.8%
Current
$7.00
52W Low
$2.88-58.8%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$2.8835th %ile$14.72
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:6
Edge:+2 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)2.2M
Recent Vol (5D)
3.1M+39%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 4 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$196.7M
$193.1M$200.0M
-$0.35
±2%
Moderate3
FY2026(current)
$233.4M
$231.3M$237.6M
+18.6%-$0.26
±2%
Moderate4
FY2027
$276.2M
$269.0M$280.4M
+18.4%-$0.04
±2%
Moderate4
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryJMIA
Last 8Q
+183198.7%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates rising
+422%
Q3'23
+457%
Q4'23
+470%
Q1'24
+1765%
Q1'25
+555100%
Q2'25
+908282%
Q3'25
-900%
Q1'26
-6%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
RBC CapitalSector Perform → Outperform
Sep 16
UPGRADE
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
UBS Group AG
776K
2
SBI Securities Co., Ltd.
455K
3
FRANKLIN RESOURCES INC
403K
4
one8zero8, LLC
309K
5
JANE STREET GROUP, LLC
263K
6
Walleye Capital LLC
254K
7
HRT FINANCIAL LP
239K
8
CAPITAL FUND MANAGEMENT S.A.
230K
News & Activity

JMIA News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

africa internet group (aig) is a clear ongoing success story and is already the leading internet group in africa. founded in 2012, it is led by top talented leaders offering a great mix of local and international talents and is backed by millicom, mtn and rocket internet. since inception, aig has created 71 companies in 10 different verticals such as: online retail, food ordering platform, online marketplace, real estate marketplace, vehicle marketplace, taxi hailing, online travel agency, job classified... we are headquartered in one of the most vibrant continents in the world: africa. indeed we are active in 26 african countries in all of which we have already acquired leading positions. africa is one of the fastest growing economies in the globe, offering excellent opportunities in a booming environment. its economic growth has enabled innovative businesses to flourish and this is where we step in. we want to create a well-balanced team of talented, truly dynamic and highly

Country
Germany
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
JMIA
$7.00-4.50%$433M+1277.6%-3257.7%1500
$404.35-3.20%$2.1T30.5+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$132.58-6.05%$307.9B20.7-44.8%1012.0%1500
$88.38-2.58%$303.7B13.6+318.8%1510.7%1500
$148.08-1.13%$282.6B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$181.58-1.83%$281.6B26.9+862.9%1745.9%1500
$183.40-0.23%$256.1B16.8+213.3%1482.4%1500
Sector avg-2.79%21.6+931.7%1366.8%1500