JMSB
Next earnings: Jul 22, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-2.04%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 52Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
20.06
Open
20.00
Day Range19.50 – 20.15
19.50
20.15
52W Range13.81 – 21.58
13.81
21.58
75% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
19.1K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
13.2x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-2.05%
5D
-1.73%
1M
+2.44%
3M
+0.14%
6M
+11.10%
YTD
+5.15%
1Y
+24.38%
Best: 1Y (+24.38%)Worst: 1D (-2.05%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +4% YoY · 54% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 13x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 0.0 (low) · FCF $1.56/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$298.77M
Revenue TTM$116.60M
Net Income TTM$22.52M
Free Cash Flow$22.03M
Gross Margin54.1%
Net Margin19.3%
Operating Margin24.7%
Return on Equity8.6%
Return on Assets1.0%
Debt / Equity0.32
Current Ratio0.00
EPS TTM$1.59
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net interest margin expansion/contraction driven by Fed policy and deposit competition - critical for profitability in current rate environment

Commercial real estate loan portfolio performance - credit quality metrics including non-performing loans and charge-offs in D.C. metro CRE market

Deposit growth and cost of funds - ability to attract low-cost core deposits versus higher-cost CDs and wholesale funding

Loan growth in C&I and CRE segments - volume expansion while maintaining underwriting standards

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Community banks are highly cyclical, with loan demand tied to local business activity, commercial real estate development, and small business formation. In recessions, credit losses spike (particularly in CRE), loan demand weakens, and deposit costs may rise as customers seek safety. The D.C. metro market provides some stability through government-related employment, but commercial real estate exposure creates vulnerability to office market weakness and economic downturns. Current 0.9% ROA suggests limited buffer for credit deterioration.

Interest Rates

Rising rates have mixed impact: initially positive for net interest margin as loan yields reprice faster than deposit costs, but prolonged high rates reduce loan demand, compress margins as deposit competition intensifies, and increase credit risk. The bank's asset-liability duration mismatch determines sensitivity - if asset-sensitive, rising rates help NIM; if liability-sensitive, rising rates compress margins. Current environment with inverted yield curve pressures profitability. Falling rates would likely compress NIM but stimulate loan demand and improve credit quality.

Key Risks

Commercial real estate structural decline in D.C. metro office market due to remote work adoption - potential for sustained vacancy increases and valuation declines affecting collateral values

Regulatory burden disproportionately affects smaller banks - compliance costs for BSA/AML, capital requirements, and stress testing create scale disadvantages versus larger regional banks

Digital banking disruption and fintech competition eroding deposit franchise and compressing margins on commodity banking products

Investor Profile

value - The 1.1x price/book ratio and 8.3x EV/EBITDA suggest value-oriented investors seeking regional bank exposure at modest valuations. The 6.0% FCF yield and improving profitability (24% net income growth) attract investors looking for potential mean reversion as interest rate environment stabilizes. Limited liquidity with $0.3B market cap restricts institutional ownership to smaller value managers and local investors. Not a growth or momentum story given 2.6% revenue growth and 2.0% one-year return.

Watch on Earnings
Federal Funds Rate and Fed policy trajectory - directly impacts net interest margin and loan demand10-year Treasury yield and yield curve slope - affects long-term loan pricing and bank profitabilityD.C. metro office vacancy rates and commercial real estate transaction volumes - leading indicators for CRE loan portfolio stressRegional unemployment rate and small business formation trends - proxy for C&I loan demand and credit quality
Health Radar
1 strong1 watch4 concern
24/100
Liquidity
0.00Concern
Leverage
0.32Strong
Coverage
0.6xConcern
ROE
8.6%Watch
ROIC
0.9%Concern
Cash
$136MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE1 analysts
BUY
+22.1%upside to target
Buy
1100%
1 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 52 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.00 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 6.2%

+0.7% vs SMA 50 · +7.0% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI52.4
Neutral territory
MACD+0.06
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$21.58+9.8%
Current
$19.65
EMA 50
$19.39-1.3%
EMA 200
$17.24-12.2%
52W Low
$13.81-29.7%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$13.8175th %ile$21.58
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:6
Edge:+3 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)20K
Recent Vol (5D)
22K+6%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 1 analyst
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$62.9M
$62.9M$62.9M
$1.47
Low1
FY2026(current)
$71.2M
$71.2M$71.2M
+13.2%$1.83+24.8%
Low1
FY2027
$78.4M
$78.4M$78.4M
+10.1%$2.13+15.8%
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 4 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryJMSB
Last 4Q
+5.9%avg beat
Beat 4 of 4 quarters
+6%
Q3'25
+3%
Q4'25
+8%
Q1'26
+7%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Kinney Jonathan Cra…Dir
$10K
Dec 5
BUY
Kinney Jonathan Cra…Dir
$9K
Dec 2
BUY
Kinney Jonathan Cra…Dir
$17K
Dec 2
BUY
Kinney Jonathan Cra…Dir
$9K
Nov 6
BUY
Kinney Jonathan Cra…Dir
$9K
Nov 5
BUY
Kinney Jonathan Cra…Dir
$6K
Nov 5
BUY
Financials
Dividends1.86% yield
5 yrs of payments
Annual Yield1.86%
Quarterly Div.$0.0900
Est. Annual / Share$0.36
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'22
Q2'23
Q2'24
Q2'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 6 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
TOTH FINANCIAL ADVISORY CORP
369K
2
Wealthspire Advisors, LLC
64K
3
Meridian Financial Partners LLC
58K
4
Nuveen, LLC
28K
5
KFA Private Wealth Group, LLC
15K
6
Police & Firemen's Retirement System of New Jersey
2K
7
STRS OHIO
2K
8
Versant Capital Management, Inc
475
News & Activity

JMSB News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

at john marshall bank, we specialize in taking away the headache and streamlining the processes so that instead of sweating the details, you can focus on the aspects of management and leadership only you can address. we offer a wide variety of the services and options you need to not only manage the funds you have now, but also to leverage technology to gain greater access to funds when you need them. our business bankers are ready to work closely with you to tailor an array of services, merchant process and loan products to help you take your business to the next level. john marshall bank is based in reston, virginia and has five full-service branches located in reston, alexandria, leesburg, arlington, and rockville. the bank also has a limited service commercial branch located in washington, dc.

Industry
Monetary Authorities-Central Bank
Melanie WilliamsSenior Vice President & Director of Human Resources
Patrick RungeSenior Vice President & Chief Technology Officer
Kent D. CarstaterSenior Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
JMSB
$19.65-2.05%$279M13.2+260.4%1841.0%1500
$309.23-1.54%$829.7B14.6+330.7%2039.3%1502
$321.87-0.36%$626.5B28.1+1134.0%5014.5%1498
$500.25+1.87%$446.8B28.9+1641.6%4564.7%1488
$52.98-1.97%$374.6B11.9-45.1%1592.6%1501
$189.38-1.13%$298.6B16.2+1147.7%1466.4%1516
$915.70-2.21%$268.0B15.2-138.4%1373.0%1515
Sector avg-1.06%18.3+618.7%2555.9%1503