Empty Waymo cars are converging on one Atlanta cul-de-sac. No one can explain why
A normally quiet Atlanta neighborhood has suddenly found itself flooded with traffic early in the mo…
fastcompany.com
KALU(KALU)
KALU
Next earnings: Jul 22, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup1!1↓
PRICE
Prev Close
177.84
Open
171.86
Day Range167.52 – 173.58
167.52
173.58
52W Range68.22 – 183.00
68.22
183.00
88% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
263.9K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
18.5x
EPS (TTM)
—
Div Yield
0.04%
Beta
1.09
Market-like
Performance
1D
-4.81%5D↓
-5.75%1M
+22.65%3M
+20.57%6M
+85.58%YTD
+47.39%1Y↑
+136.14%Best: 1Y (+136.14%)Worst: 5D (-5.75%)
Quick Read
Trend—Insufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +21% · 10% gross marginValuation
FAIR
P/E 18x vs ~20x sectorHealth
STRONG
CR 2.5 · FCF $1.49/shBullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.77B
Revenue TTM$3.70B
Net Income TTM$153.40M
Free Cash Flow$24.20M
Gross Margin10.2%
Net Margin4.1%
Operating Margin6.6%
Return on Equity18.7%
Return on Assets5.5%
Debt / Equity1.21
Current Ratio2.47
EPS TTM$9.44
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock
Aerospace build rates and destocking cycles: Boeing 737 MAX and Airbus A320 production schedules drive extrusion demand
Automotive light-weighting adoption: EV battery enclosures and structural components represent growth vector
Aluminum ingot price volatility: LME aluminum prices affect input costs and contract pass-through timing
Capacity utilization rates: operating leverage inflection as facilities move above 75-80% utilization
Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle
high - Revenue correlates strongly with industrial production and durable goods manufacturing. Aerospace exposure (40-45% of revenue) links to commercial aviation cycles with 18-24 month lag from aircraft orders to aluminum demand. Automotive segment (25-30%) tracks vehicle production volumes. General engineering markets provide GDP-correlated demand. Current negative FCF and thin margins leave limited buffer during downturns.
Interest Rates
Moderate impact through multiple channels: 1.33x debt/equity ratio creates earnings sensitivity to refinancing costs on $800M+ debt load. Rising rates pressure aerospace customers' aircraft financing economics, potentially slowing build rates. Automotive demand weakens as vehicle loan rates increase. However, long-term contracts and pass-through provisions partially insulate near-term margins from rate volatility.
Key Risks
Aerospace concentration risk: Single-aisle aircraft production cuts or MAX-style groundings create immediate volume shocks given 40%+ revenue exposure
Commodity margin compression: Limited differentiation in certain product lines forces pass-through pricing that caps conversion margins during aluminum price volatility
Carbon intensity regulations: Aluminum smelting's high energy consumption may face carbon border taxes or sustainability requirements that increase input costs
Investor Profile
value - 0.7x P/S and 2.9x P/B multiples attract deep value investors betting on aerospace recovery and margin normalization. Recent 100%+ rally drew momentum traders, but thin margins and negative FCF deter quality-focused growth investors. Cyclical recovery thesis appeals to special situations funds positioning for 2026-2027 aerospace upcycle. No dividend (given negative FCF) eliminates income investor base.
Watch on Earnings
LME aluminum spot price and contango structure (affects inventory valuation and contract margins)Boeing and Airbus monthly production rates (direct leading indicator for extrusion demand)US light vehicle SAAR (seasonally adjusted annual rate) for automotive segment healthIndustrial Production Index for durable goods manufacturing (correlates with general engineering demand)
Health Radar
2 strong3 watch1 concern
47/100Liquidity
2.47Strong
Leverage
1.21Watch
Coverage
4.6xWatch
ROE
18.7%Strong
ROIC
8.4%Watch
Cash
$7MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE20 analysts
HOLD
▲ +4.0%upside to target
L $137.00
Med $176.00consensus
H $183.00Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
●
~RSI RangeRSI 76 — Overbought, caution
Volume
●
✗Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
●
✓Last EarningsBeat estimates
●
~Analyst ConsensusHold
●
✓LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.47 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 31, 2026
In 107 days
FinancialsFull statements →
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →Trend
▲ UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 28.5%
+25.0% vs SMA 50 · +60.6% vs SMA 200
Momentum
RSI76.0Overbought — pullback risk
MACD+14.68Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$183.0+8.1%
Current
$169.3
EMA 50
$142.6-15.7%
EMA 200
$108.8-35.7%
52W Low
$68.22-59.7%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$68.2288th %ile$183.0
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution PressureDistribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.
20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:4
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)262K
Recent Vol (5D)
209K-20%
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
Earnings & Analysts
ANALYST ESTIMATES
Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↑ Revised Up
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2023 | $3.0B $2.6B–$3.2B | — | $0.00 | — | — | Low1 |
FY2024 | $3.0B $2.6B–$3.3B | ▲ +1.2% | $2.59 | — | ±14% | Low1 |
FY2025 | $3.4B $2.9B–$3.7B | ▲ +11.4% | $6.09 | ▲ +134.6% | ±2% | Low2 |
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryKALU
Last 8Q
+54.7%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 4↑ Estimates rising-31%
Q3'24
-24%
Q4'24
-48%
Q1'25
+172%
Q2'25
+147%
Q3'25
+133%
Q4'25
-2%
Q1'26
+91%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $13.0M sold · 30d window
Grimley Richard P.Dir
$261K
Apr 29
SELL
Harvey KeithDir
$525K
Apr 29
SELL
Wilcox BrettDir
$2.6M
Apr 27
SELL
Donnan John MalcolmEVP, CAO and GC
$489K
Apr 27
SELL
Gheorghe IulianSVP - Adv Eng …
$30K
Apr 27
SELL
West Neal EEVP & CFO
$866K
Apr 28
SELL
Financials
Dividends1.82% yield
3 yrs of paymentsAnnual Yield1.82%
Quarterly Div.$0.7700
Est. Annual / Share$3.08
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
1
BlackRock, Inc.
2.8M▼2
STATE STREET CORP
1.3M▲3
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
818K▼4
MACQUARIE MANAGEMENT HOLDINGS, INC.
714K▼5
BARROW HANLEY MEWHINNEY & STRAUSS LLC
531K▼6
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC
479K▼7
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
404K▲8
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP
332K▼News & Activity
KALU News
20 articles · 4h ago
LegalZoom: Premium Subscription Packages Are Driving Growth
seekingalpha.com
Here's How Much Traders See Home Depot Stock Moving After Earnings
investopedia.com
Finning International Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
marketbeat.com
goeasy Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
marketbeat.com
Hydro One Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
marketbeat.com
ExlService Holdings, Inc. (EXLS) Analyst/Investor Day Transcript
seekingalpha.com
PEDEVCO Corp. (PED) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
seekingalpha.com
TSI: Not Well-Positioned For The Current Environment, And NAV Is Declining
seekingalpha.com
OpenAI seals deal in Malta to give all Maltese access to ChatGPT Plus
reuters.com
AVK: Offers A Double-Digit Yield At A Discounted Valuation
seekingalpha.com
The resale OG is back: How eBay won over fashion shoppers again
businessinsider.com
Got $5,000? Cameco Could Be the Nuclear Fuel Champion That Turns Today's Energy Crisis Into Long‑Term Wealth.
fool.com
Why DBA's Five Year Lead Over WEAT Vanished in Just Five Days
247wallst.com
DATA Communications Management Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
marketbeat.com
Dream Unlimited Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
marketbeat.com
VerticalScope Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
marketbeat.com
Freehold Royalties Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
marketbeat.com
Denali Therapeutics Says AVLAYAH Launch Ahead of Expectations After Hunter Syndrome Approval
marketbeat.com
Celsius: Competition Concerns Create A Compelling Buying Opportunity
seekingalpha.com
About
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation, headquartered in Foothill Ranch, Calif., is a leading producer of semi-fabricated specialty aluminum products, serving customers worldwide with highly-engineered solutions for aerospace and high-strength, packaging, custom automotive, general engineering, and other industrial applications. The Company's North American facilities produce value-added sheet, plate, extrusions, rod, bar, tube, and wire products, adhering to traditions of quality, innovation, and service that have been key components of the culture since the Company was founded in 1946. The Company's stock is included in the Russell 2000® index and the S&P Small Cap 600® index.
Neal E. WestExecutive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Thomas H. RobbSenior Vice President of Manufacturing
Vijai NarayanVice President, Corporate Controller & Chief Accounting Officer
Peers— Basic Materials(7 companies)
Screen sector →| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KALU◀ | $169.29 | -4.81% | $2.8B | 17.9 | +1154.1% | 333.5% | 1500 |
| $506.11 | -1.08% | $234.1B | 33.0 | +297.2% | 2029.7% | 1506 | |
| $109.06 | -6.25% | $116.4B | 14.0 | +1907.6% | 3206.3% | 1507 | |
| $63.01 | -4.73% | $90.6B | 33.3 | +112.4% | 856.2% | 1516 | |
| $300.10 | -2.94% | $74.0B | 28.4 | +206.0% | 1089.5% | 1477 | |
| $247.62 | -0.51% | $69.7B | 33.2 | +215.9% | 1290.7% | 1473 | |
| $295.38 | -1.50% | $65.8B | 31.2 | -52.3% | -327.7% | 1502 | |
| Sector avg | — | -3.12% | — | 27.3 | +548.7% | 1211.2% | 1497 |