KELYA
Next earnings: Aug 6, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bullish21
Price
1
Move-2.14%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume1.7× avgHeavy volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 59Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
9.81
Open
9.80
Day Range9.38 – 9.94
9.38
9.94
52W Range7.98 – 14.94
7.98
14.94
23% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
405.6K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-1.3x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.02%
Beta
0.92
Market-like
Performance
1D
+0.41%
5D
+1.13%
1M
+6.98%
3M
+0.20%
6M
+17.63%
YTD
+11.48%
1Y
-19.33%
Best: 6M (+17.63%)Worst: 1Y (-19.33%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
revenue -7% YoY · thin 19% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
STRONG
CR 1.6 · FCF $1.92/sh
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$332.82M
Revenue TTM$4.13B
Net Income TTM-$265.80M
Free Cash Flow$66.20M
Gross Margin19.5%
Net Margin-6.4%
Operating Margin-1.9%
Return on Equity-24.6%
Return on Assets-11.8%
Debt / Equity0.19
Current Ratio1.59
EPS TTM$-7.73
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

US nonfarm payroll trends and unemployment rate - staffing demand correlates directly with labor market tightness and corporate hiring activity

Gross margin trends (bill rate vs. pay rate spread) - compression from wage inflation or pricing competition drives profitability swings

Industrial production and manufacturing PMI - Kelly's industrial staffing segment (largest revenue contributor) tracks factory activity and logistics volumes

Corporate restructuring announcements - cost reduction programs or branch closures signal management response to margin pressure

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Staffing is among the most cyclically sensitive industries, as temporary labor is typically the first expense cut during economic slowdowns and first added during expansions. Industrial staffing (Kelly's largest segment) correlates closely with manufacturing output and GDP growth. The -1.9% revenue decline reflects current economic softness. Historical patterns show staffing revenues can decline 15-25% in recessions as companies reduce contingent workforce before permanent headcount.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact Kelly through two channels: (1) higher financing costs for working capital facilities used to fund payroll between placement and client payment (typically 30-60 day lag), and (2) reduced corporate hiring budgets as clients face higher cost of capital and tighter financial conditions. However, debt/equity of 0.16 suggests minimal leverage, limiting direct interest expense impact. Valuation multiples compress as rates rise, particularly for low-growth, low-margin businesses.

Key Risks

Commoditization of low-skill staffing segments driving permanent margin compression - digital platforms and gig economy alternatives (Indeed, LinkedIn, Upwork) reduce barriers to entry and pricing power

Automation and AI reducing demand for temporary administrative and light industrial roles - robotic process automation and warehouse automation threaten core placement volumes

Regulatory risk from employment classification changes - AB5-style legislation or federal independent contractor rules could increase costs or limit business model flexibility

Investor Profile

value/distressed - The stock trades at extreme distressed valuations (0.1x P/S, 0.3x P/B) with 35.7% FCF yield, attracting deep value investors betting on operational turnaround or liquidation value. Not suitable for growth or dividend investors given negative earnings and suspended/minimal dividends. Requires high risk tolerance and belief in management's ability to restructure to profitability. Recent -30.5% one-year return and -33.4% six-month return indicate capitulation selling, potentially creating contrarian opportunity.

Watch on Earnings
US nonfarm payrolls (PAYEMS) and unemployment rate - leading indicators of staffing demand cyclesISM Manufacturing PMI and industrial production index - drives industrial staffing segment volumesQuarterly gross margin percentage - signals pricing power and wage cost pass-through abilityOperating margin trajectory toward breakeven - critical for investment thesis validation
Health Radar
1 strong1 watch4 concern
25/100
Liquidity
1.59Watch
Leverage
0.19Strong
Coverage
-10.0xConcern
ROE
-24.6%Concern
ROIC
-5.4%Concern
Cash
$33MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE5 analysts
BUY
+56.3%upside to target
Buy
360%
Hold
240%
3 Buy (60%)2 Hold (40%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 59 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.59 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 96 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 2.6%

+3.1% vs SMA 50 · +0.4% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI58.7
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.17
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$14.94+55.6%
EMA 50
$9.78+1.8%
Current
$9.60
EMA 200
$9.56-0.4%
52W Low
$7.98-16.9%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$7.9823th %ile$14.94
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:6
Edge:+3 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)395K
Recent Vol (5D)
541K+37%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 4 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$4.8B
$4.8B$4.9B
$1.84
±4%
Moderate4
FY2024
$4.3B
$4.3B$4.3B
-11.1%$1.96+6.3%
±5%
Moderate3
FY2025
$4.2B
$4.2B$4.3B
-1.3%$1.57-19.9%
±2%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryKELYA
Last 8Q
-24.7%avg beat
Beat 2 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates falling
+34%
Q3'24
-52%
Q4'24
+26%
Q1'25
-26%
Q2'25
Q3'25
-57%
Q4'25
-64%
Q1'26
-57%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
5 Buys/1 SellNet Buying
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $293K sold · 30d window
Williams Vanessa Pe…EVP, Gen Couns…
$293K
May 14
SELL
Layden Christopher …President, and…
$88K
Mar 24
BUY
Layden Christopher …President, and…
$1K
Mar 24
BUY
Brock-kyle AngelaDir
$1K
Mar 4
BUY
Hunt James Christop…Dir
$37K
Feb 25
BUY
Hunt James Christop…Dir
$94K
Feb 23
BUY
Financials
Dividends3.13% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield3.13%
Quarterly Div.$0.0750
Est. Annual / Share$0.30
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
2.4M
2
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC
1.7M
3
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
1.6M
4
PRIVATE MANAGEMENT GROUP INC
1.5M
5
AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
1.0M
6
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC
857K
7
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
787K
8
JB CAPITAL PARTNERS LP
759K
News & Activity

KELYA News

About

Kelly Services, Inc. connects talented people to companies in need of their skills in areas including Science, Engineering, Education, Office, Contact Center, Light Industrial, and more. Kelly Services is always thinking about what's next in the evolving world of work, and helps people ditch the script on old ways of thinking and embrace the value of all workstyles in the workplace. Kelly Services directly employs nearly 440,000 people around the world, and connects thousands more with work through its global network of talent suppliers and partners in its outsourcing and consulting practice. Revenue in 2019 was $5.4 billion.

Industry
Human Resources Consulting Services
Christopher D. LaydenPresident, Chief Executive Officer & Director
Joel LeegePresident of Kelly Science, Engineering, Technology & Telecom
Keilon RatliffPresident of Staffing & BPO of Kelly
PeersIndustrials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
$9.60+0.41%$333M-186.8%-597.8%1500
$888.31-3.47%$409.2B43.7+429.0%1312.8%1523
$281.53-3.43%$294.2B33.7+1848.2%1898.2%1489
$171.18-2.56%$230.5B31.8+974.1%759.8%1488
$220.49-3.80%$173.8B79.6+3449.4%249.7%1503
$270.56+0.45%$160.6B22.2+107.2%2912.3%1504
$399.44-2.12%$155.1B38.9+1033.0%1489.7%1504
Sector avg-2.08%41.7+1093.5%1146.4%1502