KMT
Earnings in 2 days · May 6, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move-0.62%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.7× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 50Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
38.71
Open
38.35
Day Range37.71 – 38.61
37.71
38.61
52W Range17.62 – 42.03
17.62
42.03
85% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.5M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
26.9x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.03%
Beta
1.16
Market-like
Performance
1D
-0.62%
5D
-2.48%
1M
+6.89%
3M
+8.18%
6M
+75.26%
YTD
+35.41%
1Y
+91.20%
Best: 1Y (+91.20%)Worst: 5D (-2.48%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +0% · 31% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 27x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 2.6 · FCF $1.29/sh
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.93B
Revenue TTM$2.03B
Net Income TTM$110.26M
Free Cash Flow$99.33M
Gross Margin31.1%
Net Margin5.4%
Operating Margin8.3%
Return on Equity8.6%
Return on Assets4.2%
Debt / Equity0.49
Current Ratio2.55
EPS TTM$1.43
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Aerospace production rates (Boeing 737 MAX, Airbus A320 build schedules) - aerospace represents 15-20% of Metal Cutting revenue with premium margins

Industrial production and manufacturing PMI trends in US, Europe, China - drives general engineering demand for cutting tools

Mining capex cycles and coal/copper/iron ore production volumes - directly impacts Infrastructure segment underground mining tool sales

Energy sector drilling activity (US rig counts, international E&P spending) - affects oil & gas tooling demand

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Kennametal is highly cyclical with revenue directly tied to industrial production, manufacturing activity, and commodity extraction. Metal Cutting demand correlates with durable goods manufacturing, automotive production, and aerospace build rates. Infrastructure segment is leveraged to mining capex cycles (coal, metals) and energy drilling activity. Revenue declined 3.9% TTM reflecting industrial slowdown, and margins compress quickly when capacity utilization falls below 70-75%.

Interest Rates

moderate - Higher interest rates reduce customer capex spending on machine tools and mining equipment (deferred purchases), which indirectly reduces consumable tool demand. Rates also impact Kennametal's cost of capital for acquisitions and working capital financing. However, the company's moderate debt load (0.46 D/E) limits direct balance sheet pressure. Valuation multiples contract when rates rise as industrial cyclicals face higher discount rates.

Key Risks

Technological shift toward additive manufacturing (3D printing) could reduce demand for subtractive machining and cutting tools in certain applications, though timeline is long-term

Secular decline in thermal coal mining reduces demand for underground mining tools, requiring portfolio shift toward metals mining and surface applications

Commoditization pressure in standard cutting tool grades from low-cost Asian competitors (Chinese carbide producers) erodes pricing power in non-differentiated product lines

Investor Profile

value - Current valuation (1.5x P/S, 12.1x EV/EBITDA) and recent 73% one-year return suggest stock has re-rated from cyclical trough. Attracts value investors betting on industrial recovery and margin expansion as capacity utilization improves. 4.0% FCF yield provides downside support. Not a growth story given mature markets and -3.9% revenue decline, but cyclical recovery potential appeals to opportunistic value funds.

Watch on Earnings
US Industrial Production Index (INDPRO) - leading indicator for Metal Cutting segment demandGlobal manufacturing PMI (ISM Manufacturing Index) - signals turning points in tool consumption ratesBoeing and Airbus monthly production and delivery data - drives aerospace tooling revenueBaker Hughes US rig count - proxy for energy sector drilling tool demand
Health Radar
3 strong1 watch2 concern
51/100
Liquidity
2.55Strong
Leverage
0.49Strong
Coverage
6.8xStrong
ROE
8.6%Watch
ROIC
5.8%Concern
Cash
$141MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE21 analysts
HOLD
+1.4%upside to target
L $29.00
Med $39.00consensus
H $40.00
Buy
629%
Hold
1152%
Sell
419%
6 Buy (29%)11 Hold (52%)4 Sell (19%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 50 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowLean Accumulation
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.55 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 36.0%

-0.8% vs SMA 50 · +34.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI49.5
Neutral territory
MACD+0.19
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$42.03+9.3%
Current
$38.47
EMA 50
$37.60-2.3%
EMA 200
$29.48-23.4%
52W Low
$17.62-54.2%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$17.6285th %ile$42.03
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:1
Edge:+3 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.0M
Recent Vol (5D)
757K-25%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 6 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$2.0B
$2.0B$2.1B
$1.44
±3%
High6
FY2025
$2.0B
$1.9B$2.0B
-3.0%$1.39-3.6%
±12%
High6
FY2026(current)
$2.2B
$2.2B$2.2B
+12.6%$2.44+75.2%
±6%
High5
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryKMT
Last 8Q
+20.0%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 2
Q2'24
+14%
Q3'24
+12%
Q4'24
-7%
Q1'25
+81%
Q2'25
-15%
Q3'25
+42%
Q4'25
+34%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
JefferiesBuy
Jan 12
UPGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Underperform
Oct 18
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/4 SellsNet Selling
Reilly Carlonda R.Vice President
$487K
Mar 9
SELL
Witt John WayneVice President
$194K
Feb 19
SELL
Keating Michelle RVice President
$990K
Feb 11
SELL
Bacchus Judith LVice President
$1.6M
Feb 11
SELL
Financials
Dividends2.08% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield2.08%
Quarterly Div.$0.2000
Est. Annual / Share$0.80
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
784K
2
DEPRINCE RACE & ZOLLO INC
490K
3
SG Americas Securities, LLC
300K
4
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
78K
5
THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS
53K
6
Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd
42K
7
State of Alaska, Department of Revenue
42K
8
TEACHER RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF TEXAS
35K
News & Activity

KMT News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

kennametal delivers productivity to customers seeking peak performance in demanding environments by providing innovative custom and standard wear-resistant solutions. this proven productivity is enabled through our advanced materials sciences and application knowledge. our commitment to a sustainable environment provides additional value to our customers. kennametal’s portfolio of well-respected brand names and broad global presence enable us to help customers of all sizes in virtually every geography drive success at every stage of their value chain. strategically aligned across our two core businesses - industrial and infrastructure - our products and services touch nearly every manufacturing process. people around the globe can see and touch these results throughout many aspects of their day, from the light swtich they turn on to the car they drive.

Industry
Machine Tool Manufacturing
CEO
Christopher Rossi
Faisal HamadiVice President & President of Infrastructure
Carlonda R. ReillyVice President & Chief Technology Officer
David BersagliniVice President & President of the Metal Cutting
PeersIndustrials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
KMT
$38.47-0.62%$2.9B26.9-391.1%473.5%1500
$889.67-0.05%$414.0B43.8+429.0%1312.8%1522
$286.51-1.18%$299.4B34.3+1848.2%1898.2%1488
$173.99-1.18%$234.3B32.3+974.1%759.8%1486
$227.38-0.72%$179.2B82.1+3449.4%249.7%1504
$425.55-1.72%$165.1B40.4+1033.0%1489.7%1506
$266.32-1.17%$158.1B21.9+107.2%2912.3%1505
Sector avg-0.95%40.2+1064.3%1299.4%1502