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Same-store NOI growth driven by lease mark-to-market spreads and occupancy changes in core San Francisco, Los Angeles, San Diego, and Seattle portfolios
Life science leasing velocity and rental rate achievement in South San Francisco (Oyster Point) and San Diego (Del Mar Heights) development pipeline
Office leasing activity and renewal rates, particularly for large blocks of space as hybrid work policies stabilize
Development starts and stabilization timelines for projects in lease-up phase, with focus on pre-leasing percentages and projected stabilized yields
high - Office demand is highly correlated with white-collar employment growth, corporate profit margins, and business formation rates. Technology sector health is particularly critical given KRC's West Coast concentration and tenant mix skewed toward tech, media, and life science companies. Economic slowdowns trigger reduced space requirements, increased sublease availability, and downward pressure on asking rents. Life science segment provides partial insulation due to less cyclical biotech funding and pharmaceutical R&D spending, though venture capital availability affects emerging biotech tenant demand.
Rising interest rates negatively impact KRC through multiple channels: (1) higher cap rates compress property valuations and NAV, (2) increased borrowing costs on floating-rate debt and refinancings reduce FFO, (3) REIT dividend yields become less attractive relative to risk-free Treasury yields, causing multiple compression, and (4) higher discount rates reduce NPV of development projects. The company's 0.89x debt-to-equity ratio and estimated $2.5-3.0 billion debt balance create meaningful refinancing risk. Each 100bps increase in rates reduces development returns by approximately 150-200bps, potentially shelving marginal projects.
Permanent reduction in office space demand due to hybrid work adoption, with companies targeting 15-30% less space per employee than pre-pandemic levels, disproportionately affecting large floor-plate properties
Geographic concentration in high-tax, high-regulation West Coast markets (California, Washington) facing net corporate migration to lower-cost Sun Belt markets like Austin, Nashville, and Phoenix
Life science market oversupply risk as speculative development in South San Francisco and San Diego exceeds near-term absorption, potentially pressuring rental rates and requiring aggressive tenant improvement packages
value - The 0.7x price-to-book ratio and 15% FCF yield attract deep value investors betting on office market stabilization and NAV realization through asset sales or portfolio repositioning. Contrarian investors see opportunity in West Coast office recovery as hybrid work policies stabilize and companies prioritize quality space. Dividend-focused investors are drawn to the estimated 5-6% dividend yield, though distribution sustainability depends on maintaining occupancy and refinancing debt at manageable rates. Growth-oriented investors focus on life science portfolio expansion potential.
Trend
-10.7% vs SMA 50 · +0.9% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2024 | $1.1B $1.1B–$1.2B | — | $1.59 | — | ±4% | High5 |
FY2025 | $1.1B $1.1B–$1.1B | ▼ -1.6% | $2.50 | ▲ +57.1% | ±1% | High6 |
FY2026(current) | $1.1B $1.0B–$1.1B | ▼ -4.4% | $0.41 | ▼ -83.5% | ±1% | High6 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
Casual dining used to be a tough place to make money. Then Kevin Hochman took over Brinker Internati…

kilroy realty corporation (nyse: krc), a member of the s&p midcap 400 index, is a real estate investment trust active in premier office submarkets along the west coast. the company owns, develops, acquires and manages real estate assets primarily in the coastal regions of los angeles, orange county, san diego, the san francisco bay area and greater seattle. as of september 30, 2014, the company’s stabilized portfolio consisted of 105 office buildings, which encompassed an aggregate of 13.5 million rentable square feet and was 94.1% occupied. more information is available at http://www.kilroyrealty.com.
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KRC◀ | $33.64 | +1.14% | $3.9B | 18.2 | -201.9% | 2481.4% | 1500 |
| $397.67 | +0.41% | $2.1T | 28.7 | +3296.8% | 4510.0% | 1500 | |
| $91.95 | +0.10% | $316.0B | 14.1 | +318.8% | 1510.7% | 1500 | |
| $131.46 | -0.32% | $305.1B | 22.6 | +586.3% | 1305.9% | 1500 | |
| $184.74 | -1.40% | $286.4B | 27.2 | +862.9% | 1745.9% | 1500 | |
| $146.57 | -0.87% | $279.7B | 21.0 | +597.3% | 2564.4% | 1500 | |
| $88.98 | -1.86% | $251.9B | 14.4 | -591.0% | 668.4% | 1500 | |
| Sector avg | — | -0.40% | — | 20.9 | +695.6% | 2112.4% | 1500 |