KRMN
Earnings in 7 days · May 12, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move+2.04%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.1× avgLight volume
Technical
1
TrendFull DowntrendBelow 50D & 200D
PRICE
Prev Close
65.32
Open
66.79
Day Range66.60 – 67.71
66.60
67.71
52W Range36.11 – 118.38
36.11
118.38
37% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.1M
Float
132.5M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
512.7x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
$0.13
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-0.62%
5D
-7.27%
1M
-24.13%
3M
-33.31%
6M
-22.88%
YTD
-10.73%
1Y
+67.14%
Best: 1Y (+67.14%)Worst: 3M (-33.31%)
Quick Read
Earnings in 8d · May 12
Trend
DOWNTREND
Price below SMA50 & SMA200
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +37% · 34% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 513x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 3.3 · FCF negative
Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$8.66B
Revenue TTM$471.50M
Net Income TTM$17.37M
Free Cash Flow-$42.45M
Gross Margin33.6%
Net Margin3.7%
Operating Margin15.5%
Return on Equity4.8%
Return on Assets1.5%
Debt / Equity1.53
Current Ratio3.29
EPS TTM$0.13
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

New defense contract awards and program wins (dollar value and duration of contracts)

Commercial aerospace production rate changes at Boeing and Airbus (affects component demand)

Defense budget authorization levels and appropriations timing in US and allied nations

Program milestone achievements and delivery schedules on key platforms

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Defense revenue (majority of business) is relatively insulated from GDP cycles due to multi-year government contracts and geopolitical drivers. However, commercial aerospace exposure creates cyclical sensitivity to air travel demand, airline profitability, and OEM production rates. The 23% revenue growth suggests defense is currently driving performance, reducing near-term cyclical risk. Long-term, commercial aerospace recovery from 2024-2025 levels provides upside leverage.

Interest Rates

Rising rates have mixed impact. Higher rates increase financing costs for working capital (relevant given $0.0B operating cash flow and 1.31 debt/equity ratio), pressuring margins. However, defense contractors often pass through financing costs in cost-plus contracts. The primary rate impact is valuation compression - at 24.4x P/S and 103.9x EV/EBITDA, the stock is priced for growth, making it vulnerable to multiple contraction as discount rates rise. Commercial aerospace customers (airlines) face higher aircraft financing costs, potentially slowing order rates.

Key Risks

Defense budget constraints or shifting priorities away from platforms using Karman components as geopolitical focus evolves

Consolidation among defense primes reducing number of potential customers and increasing pricing pressure on suppliers

Technology obsolescence risk if newer platforms adopt different architectures or in-house solutions

Investor Profile

growth - The 150.5% one-year return, 23% revenue growth, and 191% earnings growth attract momentum and growth investors betting on continued defense spending expansion and aerospace recovery. Premium valuation (24.4x P/S) indicates market is pricing in sustained high growth rather than current profitability. The stock appeals to thematic investors focused on defense modernization and geopolitical tensions. Not suitable for value or income investors given minimal FCF yield (0.1%) and no indication of dividends.

Watch on Earnings
US defense budget topline and specific appropriations for platforms using Karman componentsBoeing and Airbus monthly production rates and delivery schedules (737, A320 family)Industrial Production Index as proxy for aerospace manufacturing activity levelsFederal Funds Rate and 10-Year Treasury yield affecting valuation multiples and financing costs
Health Radar
1 strong1 watch4 concern
34/100
Liquidity
3.29Strong
Leverage
1.53Watch
Coverage
1.6xConcern
ROE
4.8%Concern
ROIC
3.7%Concern
Cash
$34MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE8 analysts
BUY
+85.3%upside to target
L $98.00
Med $123.50consensus
H $130.00
Buy
788%
Sell
113%
7 Buy (88%)0 Hold (0%)1 Sell (12%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 7 signals bullish
4/10
Trend
Trend StateDowntrend (below both MAs)
Above SMA 50$87.92 (-24.2%)
Above SMA 200$76.42 (-12.8%)
Technicals
MA AlignmentGolden Cross (50D vs 200D +15.0%)
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 3.29 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 27, 2026
In 114 days
Technicals
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$118.4+77.6%
SMA 50
$87.92+31.9%
SMA 200
$76.42+14.7%
Current
$66.65
52W Low
$36.11-45.8%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$36.1137th %ile$118.4
Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 8 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$469.4M
$469.3M$469.4M
$0.36
±4%
High8
FY2026(current)
$724.5M
$723.0M$725.3M
+54.4%$0.66+81.6%
±12%
High8
FY2027
$923.6M
$771.0M$1.0B
+27.5%$0.97+48.1%
±13%
High8
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryKRMN
Last 4Q
+26.0%avg beat
Beat 1 of 4 quartersMissed 2
+124%
Q2'25
-9%
Q3'25
-10%
Q4'25
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Koblinski AnthonyCEO
$5.2M
Dec 12
SELL
Koblinski AnthonyCEO
$5.0M
Dec 5
SELL
Koblinski AnthonyCEO
$5.1M
Nov 28
SELL
Koblinski AnthonyCEO
$4.4M
Nov 21
SELL
Willis MichaelCFO
$6.7M
Nov 17
SELL
Beaudoin JonathanCOO
$4.7M
Nov 13
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
DONALDSON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
3.5M
2
Falcon Wealth Planning
2.6M
3
ROBERT WOOD JOHNSON FOUNDATION
976K
4
Stephens Investment Management Group LLC
810K
5
CONGRESS ASSET MANAGEMENT CO /MA
707K
6
ZEVENBERGEN CAPITAL INVESTMENTS LLC
626K
7
Conestoga Capital Advisors, LLC
513K
8
Carnegie Capital Asset Management, LLC
333K
News & Activity

KRMN News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

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