KTOS
Earnings in 2 days · May 6, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-1.59%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 40Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
63.05
Open
63.50
Day Range60.95 – 63.50
60.95
63.50
52W Range32.85 – 134.00
32.85
134.00
29% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
4.2M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
477.3x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.20
Market-like
Performance
1D
-1.59%
5D
+0.50%
1M
-16.25%
3M
-32.06%
6M
-31.22%
YTD
-18.26%
1Y
+72.94%
Best: 1Y (+72.94%)Worst: 3M (-32.06%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +19% YoY
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 477x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 4.1 · FCF negative
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$11.63B
Revenue TTM$1.35B
Net Income TTM$22.00M
Free Cash Flow-$137.40M
Gross Margin22.1%
Net Margin1.6%
Operating Margin2.1%
Return on Equity1.2%
Return on Assets0.9%
Debt / Equity0.09
Current Ratio4.06
EPS TTM$0.13
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

DoD contract awards and program of record designations for unmanned systems, particularly Collaborative Combat Aircraft (CCA) program outcomes and Valkyrie production orders

Federal defense budget authorization levels and specific appropriations for unmanned systems, hypersonic weapons, and space modernization accounts

Production rate announcements and unit economics improvements on attritable drone platforms (target: sub-$3M unit cost at scale)

International sales momentum, particularly NATO ally adoption of U.S.-designed unmanned systems amid geopolitical tensions

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Defense spending exhibits counter-cyclical or acyclical characteristics, driven by geopolitical threat assessments rather than GDP growth. However, the company's exposure to discretionary modernization budgets (versus legacy sustainment programs) creates moderate sensitivity to federal fiscal conditions. During economic downturns, pressure on discretionary federal spending could delay next-generation program funding, though national security priorities typically receive bipartisan support. The 2-3 year budget appropriation cycle provides revenue visibility that insulates from quarterly economic fluctuations.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create moderate headwinds through two channels: (1) higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for high-growth defense technology stocks trading at 12.3x sales, and (2) increased federal debt service costs could pressure discretionary defense modernization accounts in future budget negotiations. However, Kratos maintains minimal debt (0.07 D/E ratio) and negligible interest expense, so direct financing cost impact is immaterial. The primary rate sensitivity operates through equity valuation compression rather than operational impact.

Key Risks

Program concentration risk: Revenue dependent on relatively few large programs; loss of a major contract (e.g., failure to win CCA production) could significantly impact growth trajectory and cause 20-30% revenue decline in affected segments

Technology obsolescence: Rapid advancement in autonomous systems, AI, and counter-UAS technologies could render current platforms less competitive; requires sustained R&D investment (currently pressuring margins) to maintain technological edge against both traditional primes and emerging defense tech startups

Regulatory and export control constraints: ITAR restrictions limit international market expansion for advanced unmanned systems; changes to export policy or foreign military sales approvals directly impact addressable market size

Investor Profile

growth - The stock attracts growth-oriented investors focused on defense modernization themes and emerging technology exposure. The 243% one-year return and 12.3x price-to-sales multiple reflect momentum-driven positioning rather than value or income characteristics. Investors are betting on Kratos capturing significant share of the $20B+ unmanned combat aircraft market over the next decade, accepting near-term margin compression (2.6% operating margin) and negative free cash flow for future operating leverage. The profile appeals to thematic defense tech investors and those seeking exposure to autonomous systems megatrends with lower capital intensity than traditional aerospace.

Watch on Earnings
U.S. defense budget topline and specific RDT&E appropriations for unmanned systems and hypersonic programs (FY2027 budget request due May 2026)Collaborative Combat Aircraft program awards and production quantities (expected program of record decision timeline)Quarterly backlog levels and book-to-bill ratio (target: >1.2x for growth trajectory sustainability)Unmanned Systems segment gross margin progression (current company-wide 25.3%; target 30%+ as production scales)
Health Radar
4 strong2 concern
63/100
Liquidity
4.06Strong
Leverage
0.09Strong
Coverage
30.8xStrong
ROE
1.2%Concern
ROIC
0.8%Concern
Cash
$561MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE21 analysts
BUY
+85.3%upside to target
L $79.00
Med $115.00consensus
H $135.00
Strong Buy
15%
Buy
1886%
Hold
210%
19 Buy (90%)2 Hold (10%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 40 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 4.06 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 19.3%

-33.6% vs SMA 50 · -20.8% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI39.6
Momentum fading
MACD-5.84
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$134.0+116.0%
EMA 50
$88.10+42.0%
EMA 200
$74.73+20.4%
Current
$62.05
52W Low
$32.85-47.1%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$32.8529th %ile$134.0
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Elevated Squeeze Setup

Strong accumulation on above-average volume. Buyers are absorbing supply aggressively — any positive catalyst could trigger a rapid covering move.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:9
Dist days:4
Edge:+5 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)4.1M
Recent Vol (5D)
6.6M+63%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 14 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$1.3B
$1.3B$1.3B
$0.53
±3%
High13
FY2026(current)
$1.7B
$1.6B$1.7B
+25.5%$0.78+45.8%
±11%
High13
FY2027
$2.1B
$1.9B$2.2B
+23.1%$1.06+36.2%
±20%
High14
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryKTOS
Last 8Q
+44.0%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+120%
Q2'24
+75%
Q3'24
+38%
Q4'24
+44%
Q1'25
+33%
Q2'25
+16%
Q3'25
+12%
Q4'25
+14%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
B. RileyBuy
Dec 1
UPGRADE
BTIGNeutral → Buy
Aug 14
UPGRADE
Goldman SachsBuy
Jun 30
UPGRADE
B. RileyNeutral
Oct 30
DOWNGRADE
Raymond JamesStrong Buy
Apr 26
UPGRADE
Canaccord GenuityHold → Buy
Feb 24
UPGRADE
Canaccord GenuityHold
Nov 4
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $2.0M sold · 30d window
Rock Stacey GPresident, KTT…
$213K
Apr 28
SELL
Rock Stacey GPresident, KTT…
$31K
Apr 28
SELL
Fendley Steven S.President, US …
$431K
Apr 27
SELL
Mendoza MarieSVP & General …
$114K
Apr 15
SELL
Jarvis Scot BDir
$411K
Apr 16
SELL
Carrai Phillip DPresident, STC…
$122K
Apr 15
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
1.1M
2
Stephens Investment Management Group LLC
889K
3
Nuveen, LLC
881K
4
STEPHENS INC /AR/
304K
5
SAPIENT CAPITAL LLC
279K
6
Retirement Systems of Alabama
267K
7
La Banque Postale Asset Management SA
208K
8
PINNACLE ASSOCIATES LTD
199K
News & Activity

KTOS News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

kratos defense & security solutions, inc. (nasdaq:ktos) is a specialized national security technology business providing mission critical products, services and solutions for united states national security priorities. kratos’ core capabilities are sophisticated engineering, manufacturing and system integration offerings for national security platforms and programs. areas of expertise include c5isr, satellite communication systems, electronic warfare, unmanned systems, missile defense, cyber warfare, cybersecurity, information assurance and critical infrastructure security. kratos has primarily an engineering and technically-oriented work force of approximately 3,900.

CEO
Eric DeMarco
Benjamin GoodwinSenior Vice President of Corporate Development & Government Affairs
Steven S. FendleyPresident of Unmanned Systems Division
Thomas E. MillsPresident of C5ISR Systems Division
PeersIndustrials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
KTOS
$62.05-1.59%$11.6B480.9+1852.5%163.4%1500
$889.67-0.05%$414.0B43.8+429.0%1312.8%1522
$286.51-1.18%$299.4B34.3+1848.2%1898.2%1488
$173.99-1.18%$234.3B32.3+974.1%759.8%1486
$227.38-0.72%$179.2B82.1+3449.4%249.7%1504
$425.55-1.72%$165.1B40.4+1033.0%1489.7%1506
$266.32-1.17%$158.1B21.9+107.2%2912.3%1505
Sector avg-1.09%105.1+1384.8%1255.1%1502