Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (ALSN) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (ALSN) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Organic revenue growth rates by segment, particularly Self Care performance in North America where private label pressure is most acute
Gross margin trajectory driven by input cost inflation (resins, packaging, active ingredients) versus pricing realization in retail negotiations
Market share trends in key categories like analgesics, skincare, and oral care measured by Nielsen/IRI syndicated data
E-commerce penetration growth (currently ~15% of sales) and Amazon/direct-to-consumer performance
low - Consumer health products exhibit defensive characteristics with non-discretionary demand for pain relief, oral care, and basic skincare. However, premium skincare and beauty products show moderate sensitivity to discretionary spending, particularly in Skin Health & Beauty segment. Private label switching accelerates during recessions, creating volume pressure even as category demand remains stable.
Moderate sensitivity through two channels: (1) $5.3B debt load from J&J separation creates interest expense sensitivity, with ~$300M annual interest costs fluctuating with refinancing rates; (2) As a dividend-yielding defensive stock (implied 3-4% yield based on FCF), rising 10-year Treasury yields compress valuation multiples as investors rotate to bonds. Higher rates also pressure consumer discretionary spending on premium beauty products.
Private label penetration accelerating in OTC categories as retailers like Walmart and Amazon expand store brands with 30-40% price discounts, eroding branded market share in pain relief and cough/cold
Regulatory risk from FDA scrutiny on OTC monograph ingredients (e.g., phenylephrine efficacy debates) and potential reclassification requiring prescription status
Secular shift to value-based purchasing in healthcare with payers and employers steering consumers toward lower-cost generics
dividend/value - Attracts defensive income investors seeking stable cash flows and 3-4% dividend yields with low correlation to economic cycles. Recent 40% EPS decline and negative 13% YTR indicate value trap concerns, but 4% FCF yield and 58% gross margins appeal to patient value investors betting on post-separation margin expansion and portfolio optimization. Not a growth story given 0.1% revenue growth and mature categories.
Trend
-4.0% vs SMA 50 · -8.1% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2025 | $15.0B $15.0B–$15.0B | — | $1.03 | — | ±1% | High9 |
FY2026(current) | $15.5B $15.5B–$15.6B | ▲ +3.6% | $1.14 | ▲ +10.4% | ±7% | High10 |
FY2027 | $15.9B $15.8B–$16.1B | ▲ +2.5% | $1.21 | ▲ +6.4% | ±6% | High10 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (ALSN) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

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| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KVUE◀ | $17.15 | -0.57% | $33.5B | 22.7 | -214.2% | 972.0% | 1499 |
| $130.33 | -0.25% | $1.0T | 47.9 | +472.5% | 307.0% | 1518 | |
| $1012.79 | -0.28% | $448.8B | 52.5 | +816.7% | 294.3% | 1504 | |
| $143.45 | +0.12% | $342.9B | 21.4 | +29.2% | 1895.3% | 1488 | |
| $78.19 | -0.23% | $338.2B | 24.7 | +187.0% | 2734.0% | 1507 | |
| $169.19 | +0.79% | $259.3B | 23.4 | +731.3% | 2791.8% | 1502 | |
| $154.59 | -0.68% | $215.2B | 24.6 | +225.5% | 877.3% | 1499 | |
| Sector avg | — | -0.16% | — | 31.0 | +321.1% | 1410.2% | 1502 |