KVYO
Next earnings: Aug 4, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move+0.28%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume1.2× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 33Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
14.34
Open
14.40
Day Range14.32 – 14.87
14.32
14.87
52W Range13.53 – 36.76
13.53
36.76
4% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
5.3M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-479.3x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
+0.28%
5D
-7.41%
1M
-21.72%
3M
-22.69%
6M
-49.74%
YTD
-55.71%
1Y
-58.80%
Best: 1D (+0.28%)Worst: 1Y (-58.80%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +30% YoY · 75% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
STRONG
CR 4.2 · FCF $0.73/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$4.30B
Revenue TTM$1.31B
Net Income TTM-$8.64M
Free Cash Flow$223.59M
Gross Margin74.6%
Net Margin-0.7%
Operating Margin-3.2%
Return on Equity-0.8%
Return on Assets-0.6%
Debt / Equity0.10
Current Ratio4.23
EPS TTM$-0.03
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net revenue retention rate (measures expansion within existing customer base—critical given land-and-expand model)

Customer count growth and average revenue per customer (ARPC) trends, particularly in the 50K+ customer segment

E-commerce industry health metrics, especially Shopify GMV growth and overall online retail penetration rates

Competitive win rates against Mailchimp (Intuit), Braze, and emerging CDP players like Segment (Twilio)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Klaviyo's revenue is directly tied to e-commerce merchant health and marketing budget allocation. During economic downturns, SMB merchants (60%+ of customer base) reduce marketing spend aggressively, leading to downgrades or churn. The company saw this dynamic in late 2022 when e-commerce growth decelerated post-pandemic. Consumer discretionary spending drives merchant GMV, which in turn drives Klaviyo message volumes and contact list growth. A 10% decline in e-commerce sales typically translates to 15-20% pressure on Klaviyo's growth rate due to both volume compression and budget cuts.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create multiple headwinds: (1) Higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for unprofitable SaaS companies, particularly impacting KVYO given negative operating margins; (2) Reduced venture capital funding for e-commerce startups limits new customer acquisition in the high-growth startup segment; (3) Increased cost of capital for merchants reduces their willingness to invest in growth marketing tools. The stock's 61% decline over the past year correlates strongly with the Fed's restrictive policy stance. However, Klaviyo's minimal debt (0.10 D/E ratio) insulates it from direct financing cost pressures.

Key Risks

E-commerce platform consolidation risk—if Shopify or BigCommerce build native marketing automation capabilities, they could disintermediate third-party tools like Klaviyo despite current partnership relationships

Privacy regulation and cookie deprecation (iOS privacy changes, GDPR expansion) limiting data collection capabilities that underpin Klaviyo's predictive analytics and personalization features

Secular shift toward AI-native marketing platforms that could make Klaviyo's current architecture obsolete if the company fails to integrate generative AI effectively into campaign creation and optimization

Investor Profile

growth - The stock attracts growth investors focused on high-revenue-growth SaaS companies with large TAM expansion opportunities. Despite negative operating margins, the 32% revenue growth, 75% gross margins, and positive free cash flow appeal to investors willing to pay premium multiples (4.5x P/S) for market share capture in the $20B+ marketing automation space. The 61% drawdown has created a potential entry point for growth-at-reasonable-price (GARP) investors if the company can demonstrate sustained profitability trajectory.

Watch on Earnings
Shopify GMV growth rate (proxy for core customer base health—Shopify merchants represent 40%+ of Klaviyo's revenue)US e-commerce sales as percentage of total retail (FRED series or Census data—tracks secular tailwind strength)Net revenue retention rate quarterly trends (leading indicator of expansion revenue health)Sales and marketing expense as percentage of revenue (efficiency metric—target is sub-45% for margin expansion)
Health Radar
3 strong3 concern
50/100
Liquidity
4.23Strong
Leverage
0.10Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
-0.8%Concern
ROIC
-3.3%Concern
Cash
$1.1BStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE21 analysts
BUY
+119.1%upside to target
L $25.00
Med $31.50consensus
H $37.00
Buy
2095%
Hold
15%
20 Buy (95%)1 Hold (5%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 33 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 4.23 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 96 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 26.5%

-22.7% vs SMA 50 · -43.2% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI32.7
Momentum fading
MACD-1.33
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$36.76+155.6%
EMA 200
$24.76+72.2%
EMA 50
$18.50+28.7%
Current
$14.38
52W Low
$13.53-5.9%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$13.534th %ile$36.76
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:8
Dist days:6
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)5.3M
Recent Vol (5D)
7.3M+39%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 16 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$1.2B
$1.2B$1.2B
$0.65
±2%
High15
FY2026(current)
$1.5B
$1.5B$1.5B
+24.8%$0.85+31.2%
±3%
High16
FY2027
$1.8B
$1.8B$1.8B
+19.5%$1.04+21.9%
±7%
High15
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 6 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryKVYO
Last 8Q
+6.5%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
+67%
Q3'24
-127%
Q4'24
+17%
Q1'25
+17%
Q2'25
+23%
Q3'25
+29%
Q4'25
+12%
Q1'26
+16%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
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Aug 7
UPGRADE
Wells FargoBuy → Overweight
Jun 13
UPGRADE
KeyBancOverweight
Aug 8
UPGRADE
BarclaysOverweight
Jun 12
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $3.1M sold · 30d window
Bialecki AndrewCEO
$878K
May 12
SELL
Bialecki AndrewCEO
$2.0M
May 12
SELL
Edmond LandonChief Legal Of…
$192K
Apr 20
SELL
Whalen AmandaCFO
$260K
Apr 16
SELL
Bialecki AndrewCEO
$1.9M
Apr 14
SELL
Bialecki AndrewCEO
$1.5M
Apr 14
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
SUMMIT PARTNERS L P
18.9M
2
Capital International Investors
11.7M
3
FMR LLC
9.8M
4
Whale Rock Capital Management LLC
6.8M
5
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP
5.5M
6
MORGAN STANLEY
5.1M
7
BlackRock, Inc.
4.4M
8
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO
4.3M
News & Activity

KVYO News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No description available.

Luciano Fernandez GomezCo-CEO & Director
Andrew BialeckiCo-Founder, Co-CEO & Chairperson
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
KVYO
$14.38+0.28%$4.3B+3163.4%-257.4%1500
$404.35-3.20%$2.1T30.5+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$132.58-6.05%$307.9B20.7-44.8%1012.0%1500
$88.38-2.58%$303.7B13.6+318.8%1510.7%1500
$148.08-1.13%$282.6B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$181.58-1.83%$281.6B26.9+862.9%1745.9%1500
$183.40-0.23%$256.1B16.8+213.3%1482.4%1500
Sector avg-2.11%21.6+1201.1%1795.4%1500