LAR
Next earnings: Aug 10, 2026
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-2.26%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
TrendFull UptrendAbove 50D & 200D
PRICE
Prev Close
10.19
Open
9.87
Day Range9.61 – 10.02
9.61
10.02
52W Range1.71 – 12.05
1.71
12.05
80% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
3.3M
Float
163.8M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-26.2x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
$-0.38
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-2.26%
5D
-13.92%
1M
+20.44%
3M
+44.14%
6M
+122.82%
YTD
+78.49%
1Y
+413.40%
Best: 1Y (+413.40%)Worst: 5D (-13.92%)
Quick Read
Trend
UPTREND
Price above SMA50 & SMA200
Momentum
NEUTRAL
0% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 0.5 (low) · FCF negative
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.63B
Revenue TTM$0.00
Net Income TTM-$59.51M
Free Cash Flow-$20.93M
Gross Margin0.0%
Net Margin0.0%
Operating Margin0.0%
Return on Equity-7.6%
Return on Assets-5.1%
Debt / Equity0.31
Current Ratio0.52
EPS TTM$-0.36
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Lithium carbonate spot prices and contract pricing trends (currently $10-15k/tonne versus $80k+ 2022 peaks)

Cauchari-Olaroz project construction milestones and production ramp timeline updates

EV adoption forecasts and battery manufacturing capacity announcements (particularly in China, Europe, North America)

Competitor supply additions from Australia hard-rock and Chile/Argentina brine projects

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Lithium demand is directly tied to global EV production growth, which correlates strongly with consumer discretionary spending, automotive industry health, and industrial capex cycles. Economic slowdowns reduce EV adoption rates and battery manufacturing investment. China's industrial production (60%+ of global battery manufacturing) is particularly critical. The 18-24 month lag between brine extraction and final product creates inventory risk during demand downturns.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) Development-stage companies with negative cash flow face higher financing costs and equity dilution risk when rates rise (current debt/equity of 0.30 suggests some leverage); (2) Higher rates reduce EV affordability and slow adoption curves, dampening lithium demand; (3) Valuation multiples for pre-revenue mining assets compress significantly in high-rate environments as discount rates increase; (4) Emerging market currency risk amplifies as peso weakens when US rates rise, though revenue would be USD-denominated.

Key Risks

Lithium oversupply risk from accelerated hard-rock production in Australia and new brine projects across Chile/Argentina, with industry capacity additions potentially outpacing EV demand growth through 2027-2028

Battery chemistry evolution toward lower-lithium or lithium-free technologies (sodium-ion, solid-state alternatives) could reduce long-term demand intensity per vehicle

Argentine sovereign risk including currency controls, export restrictions, taxation changes, and political instability despite recent pro-business Milei reforms

Investor Profile

growth/momentum - The 158% 1-year return and 105% 6-month return attract momentum traders and speculative growth investors betting on lithium price recovery and production commencement. Pre-revenue status with negative cash flow eliminates value and dividend investors. The stock appeals to thematic EV/clean energy investors and commodity speculators willing to accept high execution risk for potential multi-bagger returns if lithium markets tighten and production ramps successfully.

Watch on Earnings
Lithium carbonate spot price (China domestic and international benchmarks)Global EV sales growth rates (China, Europe, North America separately)Cauchari-Olaroz construction capital deployed versus $400-600M budgetQuarterly cash burn rate and available liquidity
Health Radar
1 strong5 concern
21/100
Liquidity
0.52Concern
Leverage
0.31Strong
Coverage
-1.1xConcern
ROE
-7.6%Concern
ROIC
-3.4%Concern
Cash
$61MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE2 analysts
BUY
+3.4%upside to target
L $8.50
Med $10.30consensus
H $12.00
Buy
2100%
2 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
5 of 7 signals bullish
8/10
Trend
Trend StateUptrend (price above both MAs)
Above SMA 50$8.36 (+19.2%)
Above SMA 200$5.88 (+69.3%)
Technicals
MA AlignmentGolden Cross (50D vs 200D +42.0%)
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.52 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 10, 2026
In 117 days
Technicals
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$12.05+21.0%
Current
$9.96
SMA 50
$8.36-16.1%
SMA 200
$5.88-40.9%
52W Low
$1.71-82.8%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$1.7180th %ile$12.05
Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 6 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$147.2M
$147.2M$147.2M
-$0.43
±13%
Moderate4
FY2026(current)
$205.5M
$205.5M$205.5M
+39.7%$0.42
±32%
High6
FY2027
$110.5M
$110.5M$110.5M
-46.2%$0.39-8.3%
±14%
Moderate4
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryLAR
Last 8Q
-190.1%avg beat
Beat 1 of 8 quartersMissed 7 Estimates rising
-51%
Q3'24
-880%
Q4'24
+25%
Q1'25
-300%
Q2'25
-50%
Q3'25
-100%
Q4'25
-106%
Q1'26
-58%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
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Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Connor, Clark & Lunn Investment Management Ltd.
4.8M
2
JANE STREET GROUP, LLC
2.0M
3
CenterBook Partners LP
1.2M
4
M&G Plc
1.2M
5
ALPS ADVISORS INC
1.1M
6
Invesco Ltd.
1.1M
7
ABN AMRO INVESTMENT SOLUTIONS
948K
8
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC
798K
News & Activity

LAR News

19 articles · 4h ago

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