LEN
Next earnings: Jun 15, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-1.41%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 44Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
87.09
Open
87.48
Day Range85.01 – 87.71
85.01
87.71
52W Range83.03 – 144.24
83.03
144.24
5% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.9M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
12.3x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.02%
Beta
1.27
Market-like
Performance
1D
-1.46%
5D
-1.80%
1M
-2.11%
3M
-28.02%
6M
-30.57%
YTD
-15.28%
1Y
-22.62%
Worst: 6M (-30.57%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
revenue -7% YoY · thin 17% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 12x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 3.7 · FCF $0.06/sh
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$21.74B
Revenue TTM$33.14B
Net Income TTM$1.79B
Free Cash Flow$14.77M
Gross Margin16.8%
Net Margin5.4%
Operating Margin6.6%
Return on Equity8.0%
Return on Assets5.4%
Debt / Equity0.20
Current Ratio3.74
EPS TTM$7.31
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

30-year mortgage rates: 100bp move changes monthly payment ~10%, directly impacting buyer affordability and order pace

Net new orders and cancellation rates: leading indicators of revenue 6-9 months forward given construction cycle

Gross margin guidance: reflects pricing power vs. cost inflation (lumber, labor), typically 17-22% range

Community count growth: expansion into new subdivisions drives volume growth, currently ~1,200 active communities

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Homebuilding is among the most cyclical industries, with demand tied to employment, wage growth, household formation, and consumer confidence. Entry-level buyers (Lennar's focus) are particularly sensitive to economic conditions and credit availability. Housing starts typically lead GDP by 6-12 months, making homebuilders early-cycle indicators.

Interest Rates

Extremely high sensitivity to mortgage rates, which directly determine monthly payment affordability. A 1% increase in 30-year mortgage rates reduces purchasing power by ~10-11%, forcing buyers to either reduce budget or exit market. Lennar's buyer incentives (rate buydowns) increase in rising rate environments, compressing margins. Additionally, higher rates increase Lennar's land development financing costs and make spec inventory more expensive to carry.

Key Risks

Affordability crisis: Median home prices at 5.8x median household income (historical average 4.0x) structurally limits first-time buyer pool, Lennar's core demographic

Labor shortage: Skilled trade shortages (framers, electricians, plumbers) constrain build capacity and inflate costs, with no clear resolution as workforce ages

Zoning and regulatory constraints: Increasingly restrictive local regulations limit land supply in high-demand coastal markets, capping volume growth potential

Investor Profile

value - Trades at 0.9x P/S and 1.4x P/B, attracting value investors betting on housing cycle recovery. Cyclical nature appeals to tactical traders positioning for rate cuts or economic reacceleration. Low valuation reflects depressed earnings and uncertainty around affordability.

Watch on Earnings
30-year fixed mortgage rate (MORTGAGE30US): Primary affordability driverHousing starts (HOUST) and building permits: Industry demand indicatorLumber futures (LBUSD): Key input cost representing ~10-15% of home construction costCase-Shiller Home Price Index (CSUSHPINSA): Existing home price competition and equity availability for move-up buyers
Health Radar
2 strong3 watch1 concern
50/100
Liquidity
3.74Strong
Leverage
0.20Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
8.0%Watch
ROIC
11.9%Watch
Cash
$3.8BWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE23 analysts
HOLD
+7.2%upside to target
L $88.00
Med $92.00consensus
H $125.00
Buy
417%
Hold
1148%
Sell
835%
4 Buy (17%)11 Hold (48%)8 Sell (35%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
4/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 44 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 3.74 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 13, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 7, 2026
In 87 days
PDividend PaymentAug 14, 2026
In 94 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 18.7%

-7.8% vs SMA 50 · -25.0% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI43.6
Momentum fading
MACD-1.56
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$144.2+68.0%
EMA 200
$108.3+26.2%
EMA 50
$94.24+9.8%
Current
$85.86
52W Low
$83.03-3.3%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$83.035th %ile$144.2
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:0
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)3.1M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.4M-21%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 8 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$35.1B
$33.9B$36.1B
$14.28
±4%
Moderate4
FY2024
$35.3B
$35.3B$35.4B
+0.7%$13.84-3.1%
±1%
High8
FY2025
$34.0B
$33.9B$34.1B
-3.8%$8.27-40.3%
±1%
High6
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryLEN
Last 8Q
+2.9%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates falling
+6%
Q2'24
+17%
Q3'24
-4%
Q4'24
+26%
Q1'25
-2%
Q2'25
-5%
Q3'25
-13%
Q4'25
-2%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
CitigroupOutperform → Market Perform
Jan 7
DOWNGRADE
UBSBuy → Neutral
Jan 6
DOWNGRADE
Evercore ISIOutperform → Underperform
Dec 18
DOWNGRADE
RBC CapitalSector Perform → Underperform
Dec 17
DOWNGRADE
BarclaysOverweight → Underweight
Dec 8
DOWNGRADE
Raymond JamesMarket Perform → Reduce
Sep 22
DOWNGRADE
Seaport GlobalSell → Buy
Mar 6
UPGRADE
RBC CapitalUnderperform → Sector Perform
Jan 10
UPGRADE
Wells FargoOverweight → Equal-Weight
Oct 7
DOWNGRADE
ZelmanNeutral → Outperform
Sep 23
UPGRADE
Seaport GlobalNeutral → Sell
Aug 5
DOWNGRADE
Seaport GlobalNeutral
Aug 5
DOWNGRADE
Financials
Dividends2.33% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield2.33%
Quarterly Div.$0.5000
Est. Annual / Share$2.00
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
GREENHAVEN ASSOCIATES INC
10.6M
2
ACR Alpine Capital Research, LLC
4.2M
3
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC
3.5M
4
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
2.3M
5
UBS Group AG
1.6M
6
WELLS FARGO & COMPANY/MN
1.6M
7
Legal & General Group Plc
1.3M
8
ENVESTNET ASSET MANAGEMENT INC
1.3M
News & Activity

LEN News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

one of the nation's leading homebuilders providing homes for first-time, move-up, luxury, urban and active adult buyers. lennar was founded in 1954 in miami, florida and currently builds in 19 states and more than 44 markets across the nation. lennar also provides financial services to our buyers through eagle home mortgage and north american title. lennar operates based on our founding principles of quality, value and integrity. we have also just relaunched our everything's included homes across the nation. please be sure to also check out the lennar associates and business partners group on linkedin as well.

CEO
Richard Beckwitt
Stuart A. MillerExecutive Chairman, CEO & President
Anthony MignoneRegional President
Brad ReisingerRegional President
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
LEN
$85.86-1.46%$22.0B11.9-363.5%602.0%1478
$265.82-1.35%$2.9T31.8+1237.8%1083.4%1519
$433.45+4.02%$1.7T371.3-293.1%400.1%1500
$310.46-1.91%$310.2B21.8+324.0%859.6%1480
$274.84-0.42%$195.1B22.5+372.3%3185.0%1480
$150.26-0.73%$164.8B30.5+711.9%910.0%1506
$224.52-1.37%$126.6B19.0+312.2%771.2%1491
Sector avg-0.46%72.7+328.8%1115.9%1493