LTM
Earnings in 4 days · May 5, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move+1.32%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.3× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 38Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
46.91
Open
47.67
Day Range47.23 – 48.29
47.23
48.29
52W Range31.77 – 70.42
31.77
70.42
41% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.5M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
9.6x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
+1.32%
5D
-6.49%
1M
+2.83%
3M
-27.78%
6M
+4.92%
YTD
-12.00%
1Y
+51.13%
Best: 1Y (+51.13%)Worst: 3M (-27.78%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +11% YoY
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 10x vs ~20x sector
Health
WEAK
CR 0.6 (low) · FCF $0.00/sh
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$13.60B
Revenue TTM$14.23B
Net Income TTM$1.46B
Free Cash Flow$1.52B
Gross Margin29.2%
Net Margin10.2%
Operating Margin16.4%
Return on Equity135.4%
Return on Assets8.3%
Debt / Equity6.01
Current Ratio0.60
EPS TTM$0.00
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Passenger traffic growth (RPK - Revenue Passenger Kilometers) and load factors across key domestic markets (Brazil, Chile) and international routes to North America/Europe

Jet fuel prices (Brent crude correlation) and ability to pass through costs via fuel surcharges, with ~$10/barrel Brent move impacting annual fuel costs by approximately $150-200M

Brazilian real (BRL) and Chilean peso (CLP) exchange rates against USD, affecting revenue translation and USD-denominated debt servicing costs

Competitive capacity additions from Gol, Azul (Brazil), Sky Airline (Chile), and potential new entrants affecting yield and pricing power

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Airline demand is highly correlated with GDP growth, business activity, and consumer discretionary spending. Business travel (higher-yield premium cabin) typically represents 15-20% of passengers but 30-35% of passenger revenue, making LATAM sensitive to corporate travel budgets. Leisure demand responds to employment levels, real wage growth, and consumer confidence in key source markets (Brazil, Chile, Argentina). Latin American GDP volatility amplifies cyclicality, with Brazil (40-45% of revenue exposure) particularly important. Cargo volumes track industrial production and trade flows.

Interest Rates

Moderate sensitivity through multiple channels. Rising US rates increase USD-denominated debt servicing costs (estimated 60-70% of debt is USD-denominated) and aircraft lease financing costs for fleet renewal. Higher rates also strengthen USD against BRL/CLP, creating FX headwinds on revenue translation while increasing real debt burden. However, LATAM's post-restructuring debt maturity profile (limited near-term maturities) and positive FCF generation ($1.5B TTM) provide some insulation. Rising rates may also dampen leisure travel demand by reducing disposable income.

Key Risks

Latin American aviation market fragmentation and government intervention risk, including potential price controls, currency restrictions (Argentina), or nationalization pressures during political transitions

Sustainability regulations and carbon taxation could disproportionately impact long-haul international routes, with limited SAF (sustainable aviation fuel) availability in South America increasing compliance costs

Technological shift toward virtual meetings permanently reducing business travel intensity, though post-pandemic recovery suggests limited structural damage to date

Investor Profile

momentum/recovery - The stock attracts investors seeking post-restructuring turnaround plays with strong operational momentum. The 86% one-year return and 56% EPS growth appeal to momentum traders, while the 8.6% FCF yield and improving margins attract value investors betting on continued normalization. High volatility and leverage deter conservative income investors. Emerging market specialists and Latin America-focused funds provide core ownership, while hedge funds trade around commodity price moves and FX volatility.

Watch on Earnings
Brent crude oil spot price (proxy for jet fuel costs, with typical 2-4 week lag)Brazilian real (BRL/USD) and Chilean peso (CLP/USD) exchange ratesBrazil domestic air traffic growth (ANAC data) and business confidence indicesUS-South America international passenger traffic trends (DOT T-100 data)
Health Radar
2 strong2 watch2 concern
44/100
Liquidity
0.60Concern
Leverage
6.01Concern
Coverage
3.8xWatch
ROE
135.4%Strong
ROIC
19.0%Strong
Cash
$2.2BWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE15 analysts
HOLD
+41.0%upside to target
L $64.10
Med $67.00consensus
H $75.00
Buy
533%
Hold
747%
Sell
320%
5 Buy (33%)7 Hold (47%)3 Sell (20%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
6/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 38 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowLean Accumulation
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.60 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 2, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 30, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentOct 27, 2026
In 179 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 7.3%

-10.9% vs SMA 50 · -4.4% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI37.6
Momentum fading
MACD-1.00
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$70.42+48.2%
EMA 50
$52.41+10.3%
EMA 200
$48.36+1.8%
Current
$47.53
52W Low
$31.77-33.2%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$31.7741th %ile$70.42
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:0
Edge:+4 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)750K
Recent Vol (5D)
291K-61%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 7 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$12.5B
$12.2B$12.8B
$0.00
±3%
High5
FY2024
$13.0B
$12.9B$13.1B
+4.3%$2.97+249553.2%
±4%
High6
FY2025
$14.4B
$14.4B$14.5B
+10.9%$4.78+61.1%
±1%
High7
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 4 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryLTM
Last 8Q
+40.7%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
-178%
Q2'22
+117%
Q4'22
+243%
Q3'24
Q1'25
+93%
Q2'25
+23%
Q3'25
+3%
Q4'25
+25%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Neutral — mixed activity
90d11
Morgan StanleyOverweight
Mar 26
UPGRADE
Goldman SachsBuy → Neutral
Feb 12
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
3 Buys/3 SellsNeutral
Akradi BahramDir
$1.6M
Sep 5
SELL
Eugster Jack WDir
$195K
Jul 29
BUY
Akradi BahramDir
$672K
Jul 3
SELL
Eugster Jack WDir
$47K
Jun 6
BUY
Kozikowski Tamara AEVP-Real Estat…
$49K
Mar 3
SELL
Eugster Jack WDir
$46K
Oct 31
BUY
Financials
Dividends2.97% yield
+2192.2% avg annual growth
Annual Yield2.97%
Semi-Annual Div.$0.0596
Est. Annual / Share$0.12
FrequencySemi-Annual
Q1'17
Q2'17
Q2'18
Q2'19
Q2'24
Q2'25
Q4'25
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V.
2.1M
2
Pictet Asset Management Holding SA
58K
3
North of South Capital LLP
39K
4
BI Asset Management Fondsmaeglerselskab A/S
39K
5
Verde Servicos Internacionais S.A.
18K
6
RITHOLTZ WEALTH MANAGEMENT
14K
7
OPPENHEIMER & CO INC
12K
8
COMMONWEALTH EQUITY SERVICES, LLC
10K
News & Activity

LTM News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No description available.

Industry
Scheduled Passenger Air Transportation
CEO
Enrique Cueto Plaza
Country
Chile
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
LTM
$47.53+1.32%$13.9B9.3+1115.9%1023.5%1500
$396.06+0.57%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.86+2.89%$318.3B14.0+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.91+1.13%$306.2B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$187.37+1.17%$290.5B28.1+862.9%1745.9%1500
$147.85+3.44%$282.1B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$90.67+1.98%$256.7B14.5-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg+1.78%19.7+883.9%1904.1%1500