OrthoPediatrics Corp. (KIDS) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
OrthoPediatrics Corp. (KIDS) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Passenger traffic growth (RPK - Revenue Passenger Kilometers) and load factors across key domestic markets (Brazil, Chile) and international routes to North America/Europe
Jet fuel prices (Brent crude correlation) and ability to pass through costs via fuel surcharges, with ~$10/barrel Brent move impacting annual fuel costs by approximately $150-200M
Brazilian real (BRL) and Chilean peso (CLP) exchange rates against USD, affecting revenue translation and USD-denominated debt servicing costs
Competitive capacity additions from Gol, Azul (Brazil), Sky Airline (Chile), and potential new entrants affecting yield and pricing power
high - Airline demand is highly correlated with GDP growth, business activity, and consumer discretionary spending. Business travel (higher-yield premium cabin) typically represents 15-20% of passengers but 30-35% of passenger revenue, making LATAM sensitive to corporate travel budgets. Leisure demand responds to employment levels, real wage growth, and consumer confidence in key source markets (Brazil, Chile, Argentina). Latin American GDP volatility amplifies cyclicality, with Brazil (40-45% of revenue exposure) particularly important. Cargo volumes track industrial production and trade flows.
Moderate sensitivity through multiple channels. Rising US rates increase USD-denominated debt servicing costs (estimated 60-70% of debt is USD-denominated) and aircraft lease financing costs for fleet renewal. Higher rates also strengthen USD against BRL/CLP, creating FX headwinds on revenue translation while increasing real debt burden. However, LATAM's post-restructuring debt maturity profile (limited near-term maturities) and positive FCF generation ($1.5B TTM) provide some insulation. Rising rates may also dampen leisure travel demand by reducing disposable income.
Latin American aviation market fragmentation and government intervention risk, including potential price controls, currency restrictions (Argentina), or nationalization pressures during political transitions
Sustainability regulations and carbon taxation could disproportionately impact long-haul international routes, with limited SAF (sustainable aviation fuel) availability in South America increasing compliance costs
Technological shift toward virtual meetings permanently reducing business travel intensity, though post-pandemic recovery suggests limited structural damage to date
momentum/recovery - The stock attracts investors seeking post-restructuring turnaround plays with strong operational momentum. The 86% one-year return and 56% EPS growth appeal to momentum traders, while the 8.6% FCF yield and improving margins attract value investors betting on continued normalization. High volatility and leverage deter conservative income investors. Emerging market specialists and Latin America-focused funds provide core ownership, while hedge funds trade around commodity price moves and FX volatility.
Trend
-10.9% vs SMA 50 · -4.4% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2023 | $12.5B $12.2B–$12.8B | — | $0.00 | — | ±3% | High5 |
FY2024 | $13.0B $12.9B–$13.1B | ▲ +4.3% | $2.97 | ▲ +249553.2% | ±4% | High6 |
FY2025 | $14.4B $14.4B–$14.5B | ▲ +10.9% | $4.78 | ▲ +61.1% | ±1% | High7 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
OrthoPediatrics Corp. (KIDS) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

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| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LTM◀ | $47.53 | +1.32% | $13.9B | 9.3 | +1115.9% | 1023.5% | 1500 |
| $396.06 | +0.57% | $2.1T | 28.7 | +3296.8% | 4510.0% | 1500 | |
| $91.86 | +2.89% | $318.3B | 14.0 | +318.8% | 1510.7% | 1500 | |
| $131.91 | +1.13% | $306.2B | 22.6 | +586.3% | 1305.9% | 1500 | |
| $187.37 | +1.17% | $290.5B | 28.1 | +862.9% | 1745.9% | 1500 | |
| $147.85 | +3.44% | $282.1B | 21.0 | +597.3% | 2564.4% | 1500 | |
| $90.67 | +1.98% | $256.7B | 14.5 | -591.0% | 668.4% | 1500 | |
| Sector avg | — | +1.78% | — | 19.7 | +883.9% | 1904.1% | 1500 |