LTM.NS

No data available

Next earnings: Jul 22, 2026
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-1.23%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume1.2× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
TrendFull DowntrendBelow 50D & 200D
PRICE
Prev Close
4,323.10
Open
4,323.10
Day Range4,248.00 – 4,348.10
4,248.00
4,348.10
52W Range4,000.00 – 5,195.00
4,000.00
5,195.00
23% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
360.9K
Float
296.5M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
25.3x
EPS (TTM)
$169.09
Div Yield
No dividend
Quick Read
Trend
DOWNTREND
Price below SMA50 & SMA200
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +8% · 28% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 25x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 3.1 · FCF $72.77/sh
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.27T
Revenue TTM$353.15B
Net Income TTM$45.96B
Free Cash Flow$49.97B
Gross Margin28.0%
Net Margin13.3%
Operating Margin16.2%
Return on Equity28.6%
Return on Assets18.8%
Debt / Equity0.08
Current Ratio3.13
EPS TTM$148.83
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Passenger traffic growth (RPK - Revenue Passenger Kilometers) and load factors across key domestic markets (Brazil, Chile) and international routes to North America/Europe

Jet fuel prices (Brent crude correlation) and ability to pass through costs via fuel surcharges, with ~$10/barrel Brent move impacting annual fuel costs by approximately $150-200M

Brazilian real (BRL) and Chilean peso (CLP) exchange rates against USD, affecting revenue translation and USD-denominated debt servicing costs

Competitive capacity additions from Gol, Azul (Brazil), Sky Airline (Chile), and potential new entrants affecting yield and pricing power

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Airline demand is highly correlated with GDP growth, business activity, and consumer discretionary spending. Business travel (higher-yield premium cabin) typically represents 15-20% of passengers but 30-35% of passenger revenue, making LATAM sensitive to corporate travel budgets. Leisure demand responds to employment levels, real wage growth, and consumer confidence in key source markets (Brazil, Chile, Argentina). Latin American GDP volatility amplifies cyclicality, with Brazil (40-45% of revenue exposure) particularly important. Cargo volumes track industrial production and trade flows.

Interest Rates

Moderate sensitivity through multiple channels. Rising US rates increase USD-denominated debt servicing costs (estimated 60-70% of debt is USD-denominated) and aircraft lease financing costs for fleet renewal. Higher rates also strengthen USD against BRL/CLP, creating FX headwinds on revenue translation while increasing real debt burden. However, LATAM's post-restructuring debt maturity profile (limited near-term maturities) and positive FCF generation ($1.5B TTM) provide some insulation. Rising rates may also dampen leisure travel demand by reducing disposable income.

Key Risks

Latin American aviation market fragmentation and government intervention risk, including potential price controls, currency restrictions (Argentina), or nationalization pressures during political transitions

Sustainability regulations and carbon taxation could disproportionately impact long-haul international routes, with limited SAF (sustainable aviation fuel) availability in South America increasing compliance costs

Technological shift toward virtual meetings permanently reducing business travel intensity, though post-pandemic recovery suggests limited structural damage to date

Investor Profile

momentum/recovery - The stock attracts investors seeking post-restructuring turnaround plays with strong operational momentum. The 86% one-year return and 56% EPS growth appeal to momentum traders, while the 8.6% FCF yield and improving margins attract value investors betting on continued normalization. High volatility and leverage deter conservative income investors. Emerging market specialists and Latin America-focused funds provide core ownership, while hedge funds trade around commodity price moves and FX volatility.

Watch on Earnings
Brent crude oil spot price (proxy for jet fuel costs, with typical 2-4 week lag)Brazilian real (BRL/USD) and Chilean peso (CLP/USD) exchange ratesBrazil domestic air traffic growth (ANAC data) and business confidence indicesUS-South America international passenger traffic trends (DOT T-100 data)
Health Radar
4 strong1 watch1 concern
67/100
Liquidity
3.13Strong
Leverage
0.08Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
28.6%Strong
ROIC
22.6%Strong
Cash
$23.4BWatch
Analyst Coverage

No analyst coverage available for this stock.

Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 6 signals bullish
1/10
Trend
Trend StateDowntrend (below both MAs)
Above SMA 50$4427.92 (-3.6%)
Above SMA 200$4427.92 (-3.6%)
Technicals
MA AlignmentDeath Cross (50D vs 200D -0.0%)
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 3.13 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 14, 2026
In 103 days
Technicals
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$5,195+21.7%
SMA 200
$4,428+3.7%
SMA 50
$4,428+3.7%
Current
$4,270
52W Low
$4,000-6.3%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$4,00023th %ile$5,195
Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 37 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$381.8B
$366.6B$396.0B
$157.26
±5%
High26
FY2026(current)
$423.9B
$406.9B$445.5B
+11.0%$179.90+14.4%
±10%
High37
FY2027
$473.6B
$460.0B$484.8B
+11.7%$208.54+15.9%
±9%
High37
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryLTM.NS
Last 8Q
-3.2%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates rising
-2%
Q3'24
+2%
Q4'24
-4%
Q1'25
-3%
Q2'25
+5%
Q3'25
+10%
Q4'25
-32%
Q1'26
-1%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Financials
Dividends1.57% yield
4 yrs of payments
Annual Yield1.57%
Semi-Annual Div.$22.0000
Est. Annual / Share$44.00
FrequencySemi-Annual
Q2'22
Q1'23
Q3'23
Q4'23
Q2'24
Q4'24
Q2'25
Q4'25

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

News & Activity

LTM.NS News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

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