LYTS
Signal
Leaning Bullish21
Price
1
Move-2.60%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume2.6× avgSurge — unusual activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 64Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
23.89
Open
23.64
Day Range22.76 – 23.71
22.76
23.71
52W Range15.31 – 24.75
15.31
24.75
84% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
331.4K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
31.4x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.02%
Performance
1D
-1.73%
5D
+2.93%
1M
+28.03%
3M
+7.23%
6M
+4.69%
YTD
+30.40%
1Y
+53.93%
Best: 1Y (+53.93%)Worst: 1D (-1.73%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +11% YoY
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 31x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.5 · FCF $1.20/sh
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$724.47M
Revenue TTM$609.84M
Net Income TTM$23.87M
Free Cash Flow$37.75M
Gross Margin25.2%
Net Margin3.9%
Operating Margin7.0%
Return on Equity8.9%
Return on Assets3.0%
Debt / Equity0.74
Current Ratio1.48
EPS TTM$0.76
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Large multi-site contract wins with national retail chains - single awards can represent $10-30M over 2-3 years and signal market share gains

Commercial construction activity and non-residential building permits - leading indicator for new lighting project pipelines with 6-9 month lag

Aluminum and electronic component input costs - direct impact on gross margins given pass-through limitations in fixed-price contracts

LED retrofit cycle momentum - replacement of legacy systems in warehouses, manufacturing facilities, and retail locations drives baseline demand

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-high - Revenue is directly tied to commercial construction spending (offices, warehouses, retail) and corporate capital expenditure budgets for facility upgrades. Economic slowdowns defer discretionary lighting retrofits and reduce new building starts, though energy efficiency mandates and utility rebate programs provide countercyclical support. Industrial production activity correlates with manufacturing facility lighting demand. The company's exposure to petroleum/convenience store customers (graphics segment) links to gasoline consumption patterns and retail traffic.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact LSI through two channels: (1) higher financing costs for commercial real estate developers reduce new construction activity and lighting project demand with 6-12 month lag, and (2) customer capital expenditure decisions become more conservative as hurdle rates increase, deferring discretionary LED retrofit projects. However, energy savings payback calculations (typically 2-4 years for LED conversions) remain attractive even in higher rate environments. Valuation multiples compress as growth hardware companies re-rate lower in rising rate regimes.

Key Risks

LED commoditization pressure - as technology matures, differentiation erodes and pricing power declines, compressing margins toward commodity lighting levels (15-20% gross margins vs. current 25%)

Vertical integration by large customers - national retail chains increasingly bring lighting and graphics capabilities in-house or consolidate to fewer suppliers, reducing addressable market

Energy code saturation - as LED adoption approaches 70-80% penetration in commercial buildings, replacement cycle demand normalizes and growth slows to GDP-like rates

Investor Profile

value with growth optionality - The stock appeals to small-cap value investors seeking exposure to LED secular growth at reasonable valuation (1.2x P/S, 14x EV/EBITDA), with 22% revenue growth suggesting operating leverage potential. Recent 27% three-month return indicates momentum factor participation. Low institutional ownership (estimated 60-70%) and $700M market cap limit liquidity for large funds. Not a dividend story (minimal/no payout) but generates positive free cash flow (5% yield). Volatility from project lumpiness and small-cap illiquidity attracts opportunistic traders around earnings.

Watch on Earnings
Dodge Momentum Index for commercial construction - leading indicator for non-residential building activity with 9-12 month forward visibilityAluminum spot prices (Midwest premium) - primary input cost affecting 20-25% of COGS with 1-2 quarter lag to margin impactNon-residential construction spending (Census Bureau) - coincident indicator for lighting project demand across office, retail, warehouse sectorsIndustrial capacity utilization rate - proxy for manufacturing facility lighting upgrade activity
Health Radar
2 strong2 watch2 concern
45/100
Liquidity
1.48Watch
Leverage
0.74Strong
Coverage
16.2xStrong
ROE
8.9%Watch
ROIC
4.6%Concern
Cash
$3MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE5 analysts
BUY
+16.0%upside to target
Buy
5100%
5 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 64 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.48
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 13.7%

+16.0% vs SMA 50 · +31.8% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI63.9
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.24
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$24.75+6.4%
Current
$23.27
EMA 50
$19.81-14.9%
EMA 200
$17.65-24.1%
52W Low
$15.31-34.2%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$15.3184th %ile$24.75
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:0
Edge:+3 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)102K
Recent Vol (5D)
92K-10%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$556.9M
$554.6M$559.3M
$0.90
±1%
Low2
FY2026(current)
$676.8M
$674.0M$679.7M
+21.5%$1.09+21.1%
±1%
Low1
FY2027
$898.2M
$894.4M$902.0M
+32.7%$1.38+25.9%
±1%
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryLYTS
Last 8Q
+4.1%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates falling
+4%
Q3'24
+13%
Q4'24
-10%
Q1'25
Q2'25
+53%
Q3'25
+5%
Q4'25
+18%
Q1'26
-50%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Clark James AnthonyDir
$889K
Sep 10
SELL
Clark James AnthonyDir
$5.0M
Sep 10
SELL
Clark James AnthonyDir
$4.8M
Sep 9
SELL
Clark James AnthonyDir
$677K
Sep 11
SELL
Galeese James EExecutive VP; …
$505K
Sep 8
SELL
Caneris Thomas AExec. VP, HR &…
$174K
Aug 27
SELL
Financials
Dividends0.86% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield0.86%
Quarterly Div.$0.0500
Est. Annual / Share$0.20
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS
974K
2
North Star Investment Management Corp.
276K
3
Phocas Financial Corp.
172K
4
WEDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT L L P/NC
109K
5
Annex Advisory Services, LLC
91K
6
Nuveen, LLC
72K
7
RITHOLTZ WEALTH MANAGEMENT
36K
8
KORNITZER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC /KS
34K
News & Activity

LYTS News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

leadership. strength. innovation. those are the key values behind the smart vision upon which lsi industries inc. was founded when established in 1976. today lsi demonstrates this in our dedication to advancing technology throughout all aspects of our business. we are a vertically integrated manufacturer who combines integrated technology, design and manufacturing to produce the most efficient, high quality products possible. everything we build is done right here in one of our us plants. we are committed to advancing solid-state technology to make affordable, high performance, energy efficient lighting and custom graphic products that bring value to our customers. we have a vast offering of innovative solutions for virtually any lighting or graphics application. further, we can provide design support, engineering, installation and project management for custom graphics rollout programs for today’s retail environment. official site: http://www.lsi-industries.com facebook: https:/

CEO
James Clark
Thomas A. CanerisExecutive Vice President of Human Resources, General Counsel & Secretary
James A. ClarkChief Executive Officer, President & Director
James E. GaleeseExecutive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Chief Accounting Officer
PeersIndustrials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
LYTS
$23.27-1.73%$744M31.6+2208.9%425.3%1500
$874.78-0.05%$414.0B43.8+429.0%1312.8%1522
$280.52-1.18%$299.4B34.3+1848.2%1898.2%1488
$172.90-1.18%$234.3B32.3+974.1%759.8%1486
$221.30-0.72%$179.2B82.1+3449.4%249.7%1504
$422.44-1.72%$165.1B40.4+1033.0%1489.7%1506
$263.41-1.17%$158.1B21.9+107.2%2912.3%1505
Sector avg-1.11%40.9+1435.7%1292.5%1502