LZM
Next earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-5.43%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 40Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
4.60
Open
4.57
Day Range4.32 – 4.65
4.32
4.65
52W Range2.90 – 6.23
2.90
6.23
44% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
259.3K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-8.2x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-10.12%
5D
-11.38%
1M
+32.81%
3M
+15.26%
6M
+31.09%
YTD
+18.50%
1Y
+35.66%
Best: 1Y (+35.66%)Worst: 5D (-11.38%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
revenue -64% YoY · thin -63% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 0.4 (low) · FCF negative
Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$439.63M
Revenue TTM$1.20M
Net Income TTM-$59.93M
Free Cash Flow-$66.20M
Gross Margin-63.2%
Net Margin-1289.2%
Operating Margin-1759.4%
Return on Equity-16.3%
Return on Assets-7.8%
Debt / Equity0.79
Current Ratio0.38
EPS TTM$-0.16
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Kabanga project development milestones (financing completion, construction progress, first ore production timeline)

LME nickel prices and battery-grade nickel premiums (directly impacts project economics and NPV)

Offtake agreement announcements with automotive or battery manufacturers

Regulatory approvals and mining licenses in Tanzania (political/permitting risk)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - As a development-stage nickel project targeting the EV battery market, the company is highly sensitive to global industrial activity, automotive production cycles, and electric vehicle adoption rates. Economic downturns reduce metal demand and prices, potentially delaying project financing and construction decisions. The company's valuation is entirely forward-looking, making it vulnerable to shifts in long-term growth expectations for the energy transition.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact the company through multiple channels: higher discount rates reduce NPV of the long-dated Kabanga project cash flows, increased financing costs for the capital-intensive mine development raise the hurdle rate for project sanction, and tighter financial conditions make equity and debt capital more expensive or unavailable. The 0.32 current ratio indicates immediate liquidity stress that worsens in high-rate environments.

Key Risks

Nickel price volatility and potential oversupply from Indonesian laterite projects reducing battery-grade premiums

Technology risk in unproven Hydromet processing at commercial scale with potential cost overruns or lower recovery rates

Sovereign risk in Tanzania including political instability, mining code changes, or resource nationalism affecting project economics

Investor Profile

growth/speculative - Attracts investors seeking leveraged exposure to the energy transition and EV battery supply chain, willing to accept binary development risk for potential multi-bagger returns if Kabanga reaches production. The pre-revenue profile, negative cash flow, and -26% one-year return appeal to risk-tolerant growth investors and commodity speculators rather than value or income-focused portfolios.

Watch on Earnings
LME nickel spot price and forward curve (project economics breakeven estimated $7-8/lb)Battery-grade nickel sulfate premiums over LME pricesGlobal EV sales growth rates and nickel demand forecasts from battery manufacturersKabanga project financing progress and construction timeline updates
Health Radar
1 strong1 watch4 concern
21/100
Liquidity
0.38Concern
Leverage
0.79Strong
Coverage
-1.8xConcern
ROE
-16.3%Concern
ROIC
-11.8%Concern
Cash
$20MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE2 analysts
BUY
+60.9%upside to target
Buy
2100%
2 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 40 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.38 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 18, 2026
In 125 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 8.5%

-11.4% vs SMA 50 · -18.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI40.5
Momentum fading
MACD-0.19
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
EMA 200
$7.59+74.5%
52W High
$6.23+43.2%
EMA 50
$4.70+8.0%
Current
$4.35
52W Low
$2.90-33.3%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$2.9044th %ile$6.23
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:4
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)662K
Recent Vol (5D)
661K-0%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 1 analyst
Analyst revisions:Revenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$1.0M
$653963$1.4M
-$4.80
±47%
Low1
FY2024
$50000
$32034$67965
-95.1%-$0.32
±47%
Low1
FY2025
$1.3M
$834041$1.8M
+2503.6%-$0.29
±47%
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryLZM
Last 6Q
-78.4%avg beat
Beat 2 of 6 quartersMissed 3
-190%
Q3'23
+17%
Q2'24
-50%
Q3'24
Q2'25
+33%
Q3'25
-280%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Cinctive Capital Management LP
7.7M
2
Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co. LLC
2.6M
3
Invesco Ltd.
2.0M
4
ADAGE CAPITAL PARTNERS GP, L.L.C.
1.8M
5
BlackRock, Inc.
1.7M
6
JENNISON ASSOCIATES LLC
790K
7
ALPS ADVISORS INC
643K
8
LOS ANGELES CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
516K
News & Activity

LZM News

About

No description available.

Industry
Dimension Stone Mining and Quarrying
Anthony Von ChristiersonSenior Vice President of Commercial & Business Development
Evan YoungSenior Vice President of Investor Relations & Capital Markets
PeersBasic Materials(7 companies)
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LZM
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Sector avg-3.88%28.8+9701.3%-17254.3%1497