How beleaguered are beer sales? Anheuser-Busch InBev volumes rose 1% and the stock market is delighted
Anheuser-Busch InBev shares surged on Tuesday as the brewer of Budweiser, Corona and Michelob report…

European PMI and industrial production trends, particularly France and Germany manufacturing activity which drives temporary staffing demand
Gross margin trajectory and ability to pass through wage inflation to clients (bill rate vs pay rate spread)
Operating expense discipline and restructuring actions to rightsize branch network for lower demand environment
Cash flow generation and debt reduction progress given elevated leverage (1.16x D/E) and negative FCF
high - Staffing demand is highly procyclical and leads/lags GDP by 1-2 quarters. Temporary staffing volumes correlate 0.8+ with industrial production and manufacturing PMI. During recessions, companies cut contingent labor first, causing 20-30% revenue declines. Current negative margins reflect weak European industrial activity and elevated unemployment reducing hiring urgency. Recovery requires sustained GDP acceleration and business confidence improvement.
Moderate impact through two channels: (1) Higher rates increase financing costs on $1.5B+ debt balance, pressuring already-negative net margins by 50-100 bps per 100 bps rate increase; (2) Tighter monetary policy dampens business investment and hiring activity, reducing staffing demand with 3-6 month lag. However, staffing is less rate-sensitive than capital-intensive industries since clients use temp labor to maintain flexibility during uncertainty.
Secular shift toward direct hiring and gig economy platforms (Upwork, Fiverr) disintermediating traditional staffing for professional roles, compressing volumes in higher-margin segments
European labor market regulations increasing permanent employment protections and reducing temp-to-perm conversion rates, particularly in France which represents 20%+ of revenue
Automation and AI reducing demand for repetitive clerical and administrative roles that historically generated stable staffing volumes
value/distressed - Stock trades at 0.1x sales and 0.6x book value, attracting deep-value investors betting on cyclical recovery and mean reversion. However, negative profitability, deteriorating cash flow, and 48% one-year decline have driven away momentum and growth investors. Current holder base likely includes contrarian value funds willing to endure volatility for potential 3-5x upside if European economy recovers and margins normalize to 3-4% range.
Trend
-1.8% vs SMA 50 · -17.3% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2023 | $18.2B $18.0B–$18.4B | — | $0.94 | — | ±2% | High7 |
FY2024 | $17.9B $17.8B–$17.9B | ▼ -2.0% | $4.53 | ▲ +383.8% | ±1% | High8 |
FY2025 | $17.9B $17.8B–$17.9B | ▲ +0.1% | $2.87 | ▼ -36.7% | ±1% | High8 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
Anheuser-Busch InBev shares surged on Tuesday as the brewer of Budweiser, Corona and Michelob report…

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| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MAN◀ | $29.74 | -2.56% | $1.4B | — | +57.8% | -7.4% | 1500 |
| $401.61 | +0.99% | $2.1T | 30.6 | +3296.8% | 4510.0% | 1500 | |
| $90.13 | -1.98% | $309.8B | 14.1 | +318.8% | 1510.7% | 1500 | |
| $133.27 | +1.35% | $309.3B | 23.6 | +586.3% | 1305.9% | 1500 | |
| $183.46 | -0.69% | $284.4B | 27.1 | +862.9% | 1745.9% | 1500 | |
| $144.62 | -1.33% | $275.9B | 20.5 | +597.3% | 2564.4% | 1500 | |
| $89.26 | +0.31% | $252.7B | 14.3 | -591.0% | 668.4% | 1500 | |
| Sector avg | — | -0.56% | — | 21.7 | +732.7% | 1756.8% | 1500 |