MBC
Earnings in 1 day · May 5, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-4.90%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.1× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 26Oversold — bounce setup
PRICE
Prev Close
9.08
Open
8.96
Day Range8.64 – 9.04
8.64
9.04
52W Range7.38 – 14.22
7.38
14.22
18% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.5M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
41.1x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
+1.23%
5D
-4.07%
1M
+10.79%
3M
-31.59%
6M
-28.07%
YTD
-17.71%
1Y
-25.78%
Best: 1M (+10.79%)Worst: 3M (-31.59%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +1% · 29% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 41x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.7 · FCF $0.93/sh
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.10B
Revenue TTM$2.73B
Net Income TTM$26.70M
Free Cash Flow$117.50M
Gross Margin29.3%
Net Margin1.0%
Operating Margin4.9%
Return on Equity2.0%
Return on Assets0.9%
Debt / Equity1.00
Current Ratio1.67
EPS TTM$0.21
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Housing starts and building permits - new construction drives 40% of revenue, with 3-6 month lag from permit to cabinet installation

Existing home sales and home price appreciation - drives repair/remodel activity as homeowners extract equity and upgrade kitchens/baths

Mortgage rate movements - 30-year rates above 7% suppress both new home purchases and remodel activity as homeowners are locked into low rates

Home center same-store sales trends - Home Depot and Lowe's kitchen/bath category performance signals consumer demand strength

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Cabinetry demand is highly cyclical, driven by discretionary home improvement spending and new residential construction. In economic downturns, consumers defer kitchen remodels (average $25K-40K project) and homebuilders reduce starts. The 1.3% revenue growth and -78.8% net income decline reflect current housing recession conditions. Historical patterns show 20-30% revenue swings from peak to trough in housing cycles.

Interest Rates

Extremely high sensitivity to mortgage rates. Rising rates from 3% (2021) to 7%+ (current) have frozen existing homeowners in place (reducing move-related remodels) and priced out first-time buyers (reducing new construction). Additionally, higher rates increase MasterBrand's debt service costs on $1.3B debt load (0.87 D/E ratio). Each 100bp increase in mortgage rates correlates with 8-12% decline in cabinet industry demand with 6-9 month lag. Rate cuts would be highly positive catalyst.

Key Risks

Secular shift toward lower-margin channels - home center share growing at expense of higher-margin dealer channel as consumers prioritize value and DIY options

Concentration risk with Home Depot and Lowe's - estimated 30-35% of revenue from two customers creates pricing pressure and shelf space vulnerability

Housing market structural headwinds - demographic shifts, affordability crisis, and work-from-home trends may permanently reduce housing turnover and remodel frequency

Investor Profile

value - Current 0.6x P/S and 1.1x P/B valuations reflect deep cyclical trough pricing. 7.7% FCF yield attracts value investors betting on housing recovery and margin normalization. Stock has lost 25.9% over past year, creating contrarian opportunity if mortgage rates decline and housing stabilizes. Not suitable for growth or income investors given negative earnings growth and no dividend.

Watch on Earnings
HOUST (Housing Starts) - leading indicator for new construction cabinet demand with 3-6 month lagMORTGAGE30US (30-Year Mortgage Rate) - primary driver of housing affordability and existing home sales velocityCSUSHPINSA (Case-Shiller Home Price Index) - home equity appreciation drives remodel spending and HELOC availabilityHome Depot and Lowe's quarterly kitchen/bath category comps - real-time demand signal for home center channel
Health Radar
2 watch4 concern
30/100
Liquidity
1.67Watch
Leverage
1.00Watch
Coverage
1.8xConcern
ROE
2.0%Concern
ROIC
2.8%Concern
Cash
$183MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE2 analysts
HOLD
+85.3%upside to target
Buy
150%
Sell
150%
1 Buy (50%)0 Hold (0%)1 Sell (50%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 26 — Oversold, watch for bounce
~
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.67 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 9.5%

-25.5% vs SMA 50 · -32.6% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI25.9
Oversold — potential bounce
MACD-0.16
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$14.22+64.7%
EMA 50
$11.46+32.7%
Current
$8.63
52W Low
$7.38-14.5%
EMA 200
$5.67-34.3%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$7.3818th %ile$14.22
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:3
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)918K
Recent Vol (5D)
623K-32%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$2.7B
$2.7B$2.7B
$1.44
±1%
Low2
FY2024
$2.8B
$2.7B$2.8B
+1.3%$1.54+6.5%
±1%
Low2
FY2025
$2.7B
$2.6B$2.7B
-1.9%$1.05-31.6%
±2%
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryMBC
Last 8Q
+1.4%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates falling
+12%
Q2'24
+10%
Q3'24
+18%
Q4'24
-45%
Q1'25
-10%
Q2'25
+5%
Q3'25
+136%
Q4'25
-114%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
ZelmanUnderperform
Apr 14
DOWNGRADE
Loop Capital MarketsBuy
May 10
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
3 Buys/3 SellsNeutral
Crisci RobertDir
$282K
Feb 28
BUY
Chugg Juliana LDir
$99K
Feb 24
BUY
Young Mark A.VP, Chief Acco…
$77K
Sep 13
SELL
Hackett Ann FDir
$8K
Sep 9
SELL
Hackett Ann FDir
$281K
Sep 11
SELL
Crisci RobertDir
$308K
Aug 9
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
PZENA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC
3.8M
2
Marathon Asset Management Ltd
843K
3
Pictet Asset Management Holding SA
452K
4
North Growth Management Ltd.
430K
5
PEREGRINE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
417K
6
TEACHER RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF TEXAS
300K
7
Nuveen, LLC
283K
8
TRUIST FINANCIAL CORP
155K
News & Activity

MBC News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

MasterBrand, Inc. operates as a wood kitchen cabinets company. The Company offers cabinet solutions including in-stock and special-order cabinetry series for residential cabinet businesses.

CEO
Dave Banyard
Farand PawlakVice President of Investor Relations & External Communications
Martin S. Van DorenExecutive Vice President of Sales
Mark A. YoungChief Accounting Officer & Vice President
PeersIndustrials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
MBC
$8.63+1.23%$1.2B43.1+127.0%97.6%1500
$877.46-0.05%$414.0B43.8+429.0%1312.8%1522
$284.91-1.18%$299.4B34.3+1848.2%1898.2%1488
$174.74-1.18%$234.3B32.3+974.1%759.8%1486
$226.18-0.72%$179.2B82.1+3449.4%249.7%1504
$430.83-1.72%$165.1B40.4+1033.0%1489.7%1506
$264.96-1.17%$158.1B21.9+107.2%2912.3%1505
Sector avg-0.69%42.6+1138.3%1245.7%1502