MCHB
Next earnings: Jul 27, 2026
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+1.05%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume1.0× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
TrendFull UptrendAbove 50D & 200D
PRICE
Prev Close
14.77
Open
14.84
Day Range14.72 – 15.01
14.72
15.01
52W Range11.48 – 16.02
11.48
16.02
76% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
421.0K
Float
220.3M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
12.4x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
$1.20
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
+1.05%
5D
-3.05%
1M
-0.07%
3M
-4.91%
6M
+11.43%
YTD
+1.98%
1Y
+26.98%
Best: 1Y (+26.98%)Worst: 3M (-4.91%)
Quick Read
Trend
UPTREND
Price above SMA50 & SMA200
Momentum
BULLISH
price above key MAs · revenue +28% YoY
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 12x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 219.8 · FCF $0.91/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$3.29B
Revenue TTM$896.44M
Net Income TTM$219.14M
Free Cash Flow$198.17M
Gross Margin68.5%
Net Margin24.4%
Operating Margin28.6%
Return on Equity9.9%
Return on Assets1.0%
Debt / Equity0.08
Current Ratio219.81
EPS TTM$1.00
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net interest margin expansion or compression driven by Federal Reserve policy and deposit pricing competition

Commercial loan growth rates in California markets, particularly CRE and C&I originations

Credit quality metrics including non-performing loan ratios and provision expense relative to loan growth

Deposit franchise stability and cost of deposits relative to market rates

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Regional banks are highly cyclical with loan demand, credit quality, and net charge-offs directly tied to California economic conditions. Commercial real estate lending exposure creates sensitivity to property market cycles, construction activity, and business formation rates. Small business lending volumes correlate with GDP growth and business confidence. The 123.7% revenue growth likely reflects post-pandemic loan demand recovery and rate environment normalization.

Interest Rates

Net interest margin expands significantly when short-term rates rise faster than deposit costs, benefiting from asset-sensitive balance sheet positioning. However, inverted yield curves compress margins on new loan originations. Rising rates also reduce mortgage refinancing activity and can slow loan demand. The current rate environment (February 2026) with Fed policy normalization likely supports margin expansion if deposit costs remain controlled. Valuation multiples for regional banks typically compress when long-term rates rise as investors rotate to higher-yielding alternatives.

Key Risks

California commercial real estate concentration risk, particularly exposure to office properties facing structural headwinds from remote work trends and declining occupancy rates in San Francisco and other urban markets

Regulatory burden increases for regional banks including enhanced capital requirements, stress testing, and compliance costs that disproportionately affect sub-$10B institutions

Digital banking disruption from fintech competitors and national banks offering higher deposit rates and superior mobile banking platforms, pressuring deposit franchise stability

Investor Profile

value - The 46.2% one-year return and strong recent performance suggest momentum interest, but regional banks typically attract value investors focused on tangible book value, dividend yield potential, and mean reversion opportunities. The 0.0x Price/Book ratio (likely data issue, but regional banks often trade at 1.0-1.5x tangible book) and 10.6% ROE suggest value orientation. Growth investors may be attracted by the 123.7% revenue growth, though this likely reflects normalization rather than sustainable expansion.

Watch on Earnings
Federal Funds Rate and trajectory of Fed policy normalization affecting net interest margin10-Year Treasury yield and yield curve slope impacting loan pricing and deposit competitionCalifornia unemployment rate as leading indicator of commercial loan credit qualityCalifornia commercial real estate vacancy rates and cap rates, particularly San Francisco Bay Area office properties
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
43/100
Liquidity
219.81Strong
Leverage
0.08Strong
Coverage
1.0xConcern
ROE
9.9%Watch
ROIC
1.1%Concern
Cash
$1.0BConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE10 analysts
HOLD
+13.9%upside to target
Buy
330%
Hold
770%
3 Buy (30%)7 Hold (70%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
5 of 7 signals bullish
8/10
Trend
Trend StateUptrend (price above both MAs)
Above SMA 50$14.84 (+0.5%)
Above SMA 200$14.16 (+5.3%)
Technicals
MA AlignmentGolden Cross (50D vs 200D +4.8%)
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 219.81 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$16.02+7.4%
Current
$14.92
SMA 50
$14.84-0.5%
SMA 200
$14.16-5.1%
52W Low
$11.48-23.1%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$11.4876th %ile$16.02
Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 1 analyst
Analyst revisions:Revenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$213.6M
$213.6M$213.6M
-$1.26
Low1
FY2024
$166.9M
$162.8M$171.1M
-21.8%-$1.24
±3%
Low1
FY2025
$191.9M
$187.1M$196.7M
+15.0%$0.78
±3%
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryMCHB
Last 8Q
+53.0%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates rising
+12%
Q3'24
-32%
Q4'24
+43%
Q1'25
-125%
Q2'25
-536%
Q3'25
+967%
Q4'25
+115%
Q1'26
-19%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Janney MontgomeryNeutral → Buy
Apr 1
UPGRADE
WedbushOutperform
Nov 5
UPGRADE
Janney MontgomeryBuy → Neutral
Oct 30
DOWNGRADE
Janney MontgomeryBuy
Jun 20
UPGRADE
Piper SandlerNeutral
Feb 1
UPGRADE
Goldman SachsSell
Jan 31
DOWNGRADE
Atlantic EquitiesNeutral
Jan 31
DOWNGRADE
Keefe, Bruyette & W…Market Perform
Jan 31
DOWNGRADE
Zacks Investment Re…Buy
Apr 26
UPGRADE
Financials
Dividends4.09% yield
+7.9% avg annual growth
Annual Yield4.09%
Quarterly Div.$0.4000
Est. Annual / Share$1.60
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'22
Q4'22
Q1'23
Q2'23
Q3'23
Q4'23
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

News & Activity

MCHB News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No company information available

PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
MCHB
+1.05%
$312.47-0.24%$842.7B14.8+330.7%2039.3%1502
$328.03-0.55%$628.8B28.2+1134.0%5014.5%1498
$495.46-1.48%$438.6B28.4+1641.6%4564.7%1488
$53.24-0.41%$382.1B12.2-45.1%1592.6%1501
$190.18-0.22%$302.0B16.4+1147.7%1466.4%1516
$923.71-0.01%$274.1B15.5-138.4%1373.0%1515
Sector avg-0.27%19.3+678.4%2675.1%1503