MDV
Next earnings: Aug 6, 2026
Signal
Leaning Bearish1!
Price
1
Move+0.39%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume1.0× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 73Overbought
PRICE
Prev Close
17.89
Open
17.79
Day Range17.79 – 18.17
17.79
18.17
52W Range13.80 – 18.17
13.80
18.17
95% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
79.0K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-43.8x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.07%
Performance
1D
+0.39%
5D
-0.17%
1M
+16.10%
3M
+19.57%
6M
+22.26%
YTD
+24.81%
1Y
+22.51%
Best: YTD (+24.81%)Worst: 5D (-0.17%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev -1% · 27% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
STRONG
CR 9.5 · FCF $1.54/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$185.41M
Revenue TTM$46.30M
Net Income TTM$152.0K
Free Cash Flow$15.88M
Gross Margin27.2%
Net Margin0.3%
Operating Margin33.3%
Return on Equity0.1%
Return on Assets0.0%
Debt / Equity1.76
Current Ratio9.53
EPS TTM$0.01
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Acquisition volume and cap rates on new property purchases relative to cost of capital

Tenant credit quality and lease renewal rates, particularly for properties with near-term expirations

Changes in REIT yield spreads versus 10-year Treasuries, which drive valuation multiples

Dividend coverage and distribution growth announcements given REIT investor focus on yield

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - While triple-net leases provide contractual cash flow insulation during downturns, tenant creditworthiness and renewal economics are cyclically sensitive. Necessity-based retail and industrial tenants are more recession-resistant than discretionary retail or office, but economic weakness increases tenant default risk and reduces re-leasing demand. Acquisition opportunities often improve during downturns as pricing becomes more favorable, but access to capital may tighten. The diversified property type exposure moderates but does not eliminate cyclical sensitivity.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact Modiv through multiple channels: (1) higher borrowing costs reduce acquisition returns and FFO if the company uses floating-rate debt or refinances maturing obligations, (2) higher Treasury yields compress REIT valuation multiples as investors demand higher yields to compensate for risk-free rate increases, making the stock less attractive relative to bonds, and (3) higher cap rates in the transaction market reduce property values and create mark-to-market NAV pressure. The 0.00 debt-to-equity ratio suggests minimal current leverage, but future growth likely requires debt financing. REITs typically trade inversely to interest rate movements.

Key Risks

E-commerce disruption continues to pressure necessity-based retail tenants, potentially leading to store closures, bankruptcy filings, or reduced willingness to renew leases at favorable terms, particularly for smaller regional or local retailers

Office property obsolescence risk as hybrid work models reduce space demand, making office assets harder to re-lease and potentially requiring capital investment for repositioning or conversion to alternative uses

Net-lease REIT sector commoditization with numerous public and private competitors pursuing similar strategies, compressing acquisition cap rates and reducing opportunities for differentiated returns

Investor Profile

value/dividend - The 0.9x price-to-book ratio suggests the stock trades below net asset value, attracting value investors seeking discounted real estate exposure. REIT investors typically prioritize dividend yield and distribution growth, making income-focused investors the primary audience. The 11.8% FCF yield is attractive for yield-seekers. However, the small market cap, minimal trading volume, and lack of analyst coverage limit institutional participation, making this primarily a retail and small-cap value investor stock.

Watch on Earnings
10-Year Treasury yield (GS10) as primary driver of REIT valuation multiples and cap rate expectationsHigh-yield credit spreads (BAMLH0A0HYM2) as indicator of tenant default risk and credit market conditionsRetail sales excluding autos (RSXFS) as proxy for tenant health in necessity-based retail propertiesCommercial real estate transaction cap rates for net-lease properties to assess acquisition opportunities
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
44/100
Liquidity
9.53Strong
Leverage
1.76Watch
Coverage
1.2xConcern
ROE
0.1%Concern
ROIC
273.3%Strong
Cash
$14MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE8 analysts
BUY
+5.8%upside to target
Buy
788%
Hold
113%
7 Buy (88%)1 Hold (13%)0 Sell (-1%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 73 — Overbought, caution
~
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 9.53 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 18, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 95 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 16.6%

+15.0% vs SMA 50 · +34.1% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI72.8
Overbought — pullback risk
MACD+0.68
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$18.17+1.2%
Current
$17.96
EMA 50
$16.09-10.4%
52W Low
$13.80-23.2%
EMA 200
$13.44-25.2%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$13.8095th %ile$18.17
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:3
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)83K
Recent Vol (5D)
80K-4%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 6 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$46.3M
$44.5M$47.7M
-$0.16
±4%
Moderate3
FY2026(current)
$46.5M
$44.8M$48.0M
+0.6%$0.09
±4%
Moderate4
FY2027
$48.4M
$45.2M$51.5M
+4.0%$0.13+47.1%
±4%
High6
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryMDV
Last 8Q
-101.7%avg beat
Beat 2 of 8 quartersMissed 6 Estimates rising
+160%
Q3'24
-153%
Q4'24
-65%
Q1'25
-103%
Q2'25
-189%
Q3'25
+6%
Q4'25
-95%
Q1'26
-375%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Analysts turning cautious
30d01
90d01
Cantor FitzgeraldOverweight → Neutral
May 4
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Halfacre Aaron ScottDir
$7K
Jun 27
BUY
Halfacre Aaron ScottDir
$2K
Jun 26
BUY
Gingras Christopher…Dir
$4K
Jun 25
BUY
Gingras Christopher…Dir
$1K
Jun 25
BUY
Halfacre Aaron ScottDir
$606
Jun 13
BUY
Halfacre Aaron ScottDir
$44K
Jun 3
BUY
Financials
Dividends6.57% yield
+1.5% avg annual growth
Annual Yield6.57%
Monthly Div.$0.1000
Est. Annual / Share$1.20
FrequencyMonthly
Q4'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q1'26
Q1'26
Q2'26
Q2'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
541K
2
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
247K
3
Meixler Investment Management, Ltd.
171K
4
STATE STREET CORP
126K
5
State of New Jersey Common Pension Fund D
105K
6
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP
95K
7
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
82K
8
Penserra Capital Management LLC
80K
News & Activity

MDV News

About

No description available.

Industry
Lessors of Nonresidential Buildings (except Miniwarehouses)
John C. RaneyGeneral Counsel, CFO & Secretary
Aaron Scott HalfacrePresident, Chief Executive Officer & Director
Raymond J. PaciniExecutive Vice President
PeersReal Estate(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
MDV
$17.96+0.39%$185M-80.0%230.2%1500
$213.74-1.84%$150.9B106.3+3582.4%878.3%1507
$140.53-1.49%$131.0B35.2+717.6%3880.1%1510
$1059.44-1.87%$104.5B73.3+585.3%1457.9%1531
$170.63+0.08%$79.5B27.6+511.4%2376.5%1484
$188.51-2.25%$66.2B47.2+1004.0%2140.8%1516
$200.02-1.37%$65.0B13.8+671.9%7251.1%1506
Sector avg-1.19%50.6+998.9%2602.1%1508