Secular compression of agency MBS spreads due to Fed balance sheet policies and bank competition reducing available returns
Regulatory changes to GSE reform or repo market structure could alter financing availability and costs
Persistent inverted yield curve eliminating profitability of leveraged maturity transformation
Competition from larger mREITs (AGNC, NLY, TWO) with better funding access and scale advantages in hedging costs
Commercial banks re-entering MBS markets with deposit funding advantages over repo financing
Private credit funds offering higher-yielding alternatives attracting capital away from agency-focused mREITs
High leverage (3.62x debt/equity) amplifies losses during adverse rate moves or credit events despite hedging
Repo financing rollover risk during market stress when haircuts increase and counterparties withdraw
Mark-to-market book value volatility creating dividend coverage uncertainty and potential equity raises at dilutive prices
Hedge ineffectiveness during rapid rate regime changes leaving duration gaps exposed
StructuralCompetitiveBalance Sheet