MGEE
Earnings in 1 day · May 6, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+1.60%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.0× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 53Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
80.11
Open
80.00
Day Range79.54 – 81.63
79.54
81.63
52W Range72.17 – 94.00
72.17
94.00
42% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
194.4K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
21.9x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.02%
Beta
0.39
Low vol
Performance
1D
-0.61%
5D
-0.27%
1M
+2.17%
3M
-0.21%
6M
-3.82%
YTD
+2.16%
1Y
-11.85%
Best: 1M (+2.17%)Worst: 1Y (-11.85%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +10% YoY · 97% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 22x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.1 · FCF negative
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.94B
Revenue TTM$743.65M
Net Income TTM$135.89M
Free Cash Flow-$79.99M
Gross Margin97.1%
Net Margin18.6%
Operating Margin22.3%
Return on Equity10.6%
Return on Assets4.7%
Debt / Equity0.72
Current Ratio0.77
EPS TTM$3.72
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Wisconsin Public Service Commission rate case outcomes - authorized ROE, rate base growth, and regulatory lag impact earnings trajectory

Weather-driven demand variability - heating degree days (winter gas demand) and cooling degree days (summer electric demand) versus normal patterns

Capital expenditure program execution - renewable energy investments, grid modernization, and infrastructure replacement driving rate base growth

Regulatory treatment of coal plant retirements and renewable energy transition costs - cost recovery mechanisms and securitization approvals

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Regulated utility with essential service characteristics exhibits minimal GDP sensitivity. Residential electric and gas demand remains stable through economic cycles. Commercial and industrial load (~40% of electric sales) shows modest correlation to regional economic activity in Madison area, but overall demand volatility is limited. Customer growth tied to population and housing trends in service territory rather than broader economic cycles.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create dual impact: (1) Higher financing costs for capital-intensive business model with ongoing infrastructure investments, though regulatory lag means rate base earns returns based on embedded cost of debt; (2) Valuation multiple compression as utility dividend yields become less attractive relative to risk-free rates, particularly impacting stocks trading at premium valuations. The company's 0.65x debt-to-equity ratio provides moderate financial leverage exposure. Forward rate cases can incorporate higher financing costs into allowed returns, partially mitigating earnings impact but with regulatory lag.

Key Risks

Coal generation fleet transition risk - regulatory treatment of accelerated retirements, stranded asset recovery, and replacement capacity costs as Wisconsin pursues decarbonization goals

Distributed energy resources and grid edge technologies - rooftop solar adoption, battery storage, and demand response programs potentially eroding utility load growth and requiring regulatory model evolution

Climate-related physical risks - extreme weather events, changing precipitation patterns affecting hydroelectric resources, and long-term temperature trends impacting seasonal demand profiles

Investor Profile

dividend - Regulated utility attracts income-focused investors seeking stable, growing dividends with below-market volatility. The 1.4% FCF yield and high capex intensity indicate dividend coverage relies on regulatory earnings rather than excess cash generation. Modest 2.5% EPS growth and -11.6% one-year return reflect sector-wide utility underperformance amid rising rate environment. Not a growth story, but provides defensive characteristics and inflation-linked rate base growth for conservative portfolios.

Watch on Earnings
Wisconsin Public Service Commission authorized ROE and rate case filing schedule - regulatory return frameworkHeating degree days (HDD) and cooling degree days (CDD) versus 30-year normal - weather impact on volumetric salesNatural gas spot prices (Henry Hub) and forward curves - fuel cost recovery and margin impactsRate base compound annual growth rate - primary driver of long-term earnings growth
Health Radar
2 strong2 watch2 concern
45/100
Liquidity
1.14Watch
Leverage
0.72Strong
Coverage
10.4xStrong
ROE
11.2%Watch
ROIC
5.0%Concern
Cash
$7MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE4 analysts
HOLD
-10.3%downside to target
Hold
375%
Sell
125%
0 Buy (0%)3 Hold (75%)1 Sell (25%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 53 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.14
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 1, 2026
In 119 days
Technicals
Technical SetupMIXED
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 3.9%

+3.6% vs SMA 50 · -0.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI53.2
Neutral territory
MACD-1.29
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$94.00+15.5%
EMA 200
$83.60+2.7%
Current
$81.39
EMA 50
$79.57-2.2%
52W Low
$72.17-11.3%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$72.1742th %ile$94.00
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:6
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)152K
Recent Vol (5D)
150K-2%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$674.9M
$661.4M$688.4M
$3.44
±4%
Low2
FY2025
$733.9M
$719.3M$748.6M
+8.8%$3.72+8.3%
±1%
Low2
FY2026(current)
$780.0M
$772.0M$788.0M
+6.3%$3.94+5.9%
±1%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryMGEE
Last 8Q
-5.6%avg beat
Beat 2 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates falling
-1%
Q2'24
-31%
Q3'24
-3%
Q4'24
-27%
Q1'25
+16%
Q2'25
-1%
Q3'25
+3%
Q4'25
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Berbee James GDir
$29K
Mar 11
BUY
Berbee James GDir
$21K
Dec 5
BUY
Berbee James GDir
$21K
Sep 8
BUY
Berbee James GDir
$42K
Aug 15
BUY
Berbee James GDir
$40K
Mar 12
BUY
Berbee James GDir
$35K
Aug 23
BUY
Financials
Dividends2.34% yield
+6.2% avg annual growth
Annual Yield2.34%
Quarterly Div.$0.4750
Est. Annual / Share$1.90
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
DEPRINCE RACE & ZOLLO INC
277K
2
SPEECE THORSON CAPITAL GROUP INC
190K
3
Nuveen, LLC
185K
4
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC
178K
5
ProShare Advisors LLC
83K
6
COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA PUBLIC SCHOOL EMPLS RETRMT SYS
75K
7
COMMONWEALTH EQUITY SERVICES, LLC
39K
8
SG Americas Securities, LLC
32K
News & Activity

MGEE News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

mge energy, inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a public utility holding company primarily in wisconsin. it operates through five segments: regulated electric utility operations; regulated gas utility operations; nonregulated energy operations; transmission investments; and all other. the company generates, purchases, and distributes electricity; owns or leases electric generation facilities located in wisconsin and iowa; and plans, constructs, operates, maintains, and expands transmission facilities to provide transmission services. it also generates electricity from coal, natural gas, and renewable energy sources, as well as purchases power under short and long-term commitments. as of february 26, 2020, the company distributed electricity to 155,000 customers in dane county, wisconsin; and purchased and distributed natural gas to 163,000 customers in seven south-central and western wisconsin counties. mge energy, inc. was founded in 1855 and is headquartered in madison, wisco

CEO
Jeffrey Keebler
Country
United States
Jared Joseph BushekExecutive VP, CFO & Treasurer
Jenny L. LagerwallAssistant Vice President of Accounting & Controller
Cari Anne RenlundVice President, General Counsel & Secretary
PeersUtilities(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
MGEE
$81.39-0.61%$2.9B21.5+985.5%1827.3%1500
$1103.18+1.03%$288.6B30.8+894.3%1283.0%1527
$96.79-1.49%$199.2B24.4+1100.1%2487.3%1510
$96.53-0.74%$108.2B24.7+1058.6%1499
$321.78+4.30%$100.3B43.3+833.8%908.2%1494
$128.59-0.89%$99.2B19.9+619.3%1541.1%1498
$139.03-1.64%$73.2B19.5+937.2%1643.5%1515
Sector avg-0.01%26.3+918.4%1615.1%1506