MPB
Next earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+1.06%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 52Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
32.97
Open
32.92
Day Range32.91 – 33.54
32.91
33.54
52W Range25.82 – 35.22
25.82
35.22
80% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
157.3K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
15.2x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.02%
Beta
0.54
Low vol
Performance
1D
+1.06%
5D
+0.79%
1M
+3.03%
3M
-1.51%
6M
+17.12%
YTD
+7.41%
1Y
+13.84%
Best: 6M (+17.12%)Worst: 3M (-1.51%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +13% YoY · 64% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 15x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 3.0 · FCF negative
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$844.30M
Revenue TTM$349.57M
Net Income TTM$51.21M
Free Cash Flow-$31.35M
Gross Margin63.5%
Net Margin14.6%
Operating Margin18.9%
Return on Equity6.3%
Return on Assets0.7%
Debt / Equity0.06
Current Ratio2.98
EPS TTM$2.21
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net interest margin trajectory - expansion driven by asset repricing faster than deposit costs in rising rate environments

Commercial loan growth rates in Pennsylvania markets, particularly C&I and CRE portfolios

Credit quality metrics - non-performing assets, charge-offs, and provision expense relative to peers

Deposit beta and funding cost management - ability to retain low-cost deposits without aggressive rate competition

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-to-high - Regional banks are sensitive to local economic conditions affecting loan demand and credit quality. Pennsylvania's economy (manufacturing, healthcare, education, agriculture) drives commercial lending opportunities. Recessions typically compress loan growth, increase charge-offs (particularly in commercial portfolios), and reduce fee income from mortgage originations. The bank's commercial real estate and C&I exposure creates cyclical sensitivity to business investment and property values.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity to interest rate levels and yield curve shape. Rising short-term rates typically expand net interest margin as variable-rate loans and maturing securities reprice faster than deposit costs (positive asset sensitivity). However, inverted yield curves compress margins by increasing funding costs while capping loan yields. The current 1.0x price/book suggests the market is pricing in moderate NIM pressure. Mortgage banking income is negatively correlated with rates (lower origination volumes when rates rise).

Key Risks

Digital banking disruption from fintech competitors and national banks offering higher deposit rates online, pressuring Mid Penn's deposit franchise and funding costs

Branch network efficiency challenges as customer preferences shift to digital channels, creating fixed cost burden in physical footprint

Regulatory compliance costs disproportionately affecting smaller regional banks, limiting profitability and competitiveness versus larger institutions

Investor Profile

value - The 1.0x price/book ratio and 2.2x price/sales multiple suggest value investors seeking regional bank exposure at tangible book value. The 5.7% FCF yield and 7.4% ROE attract income-oriented investors looking for dividend potential and modest growth. Recent 20%+ six-month return indicates momentum investors have participated. Not a growth story given 6.6% revenue growth and regional market constraints. Dividend investors may be attracted if payout ratio is sustainable, though -11.4% EPS growth raises questions about earnings quality.

Watch on Earnings
Federal Funds Rate and forward guidance from FOMC meetings - directly impacts net interest margin trajectory10-Year Treasury yield and yield curve slope (10Y-2Y spread) - affects loan pricing, deposit competition, and mortgage banking volumesPennsylvania unemployment rate and regional economic indicators - drives loan demand and credit qualityCommercial real estate vacancy rates and cap rates in central Pennsylvania markets
Health Radar
2 strong4 concern
38/100
Liquidity
2.98Strong
Leverage
0.06Strong
Coverage
0.5xConcern
ROE
6.3%Concern
ROIC
0.7%Concern
Cash
$47MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE2 analysts
BUY
+5.0%upside to target
Buy
2100%
2 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 52 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.98 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 6.8%

+2.0% vs SMA 50 · +8.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI51.6
Neutral territory
MACD+1.04
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$35.22+5.7%
Current
$33.32
EMA 50
$30.44-8.6%
EMA 200
$26.56-20.3%
52W Low
$25.82-22.5%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$25.8280th %ile$35.22
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:6
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)90K
Recent Vol (5D)
85K-6%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$169.3M
$167.9M$170.8M
$2.73
±1%
Low1
FY2024
$177.0M
$175.5M$178.5M
+4.5%$2.80+2.6%
±2%
Low2
FY2025
$224.3M
$222.4M$226.3M
+26.8%$3.08+10.2%
±1%
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryMPB
Last 8Q
+4.2%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates rising
+20%
Q2'24
+16%
Q3'24
+4%
Q4'24
+11%
Q2'25
+1%
Q3'25
+3%
Q4'25
-1%
Q1'26
-20%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Frank Joel L.Dir
$3K
Mar 31
BUY
Brumbaugh Kimberly JDir
$3K
Mar 31
BUY
De Soto Matthew GDir
$10K
Mar 31
BUY
Abel Robert ADir
$482
Mar 31
BUY
Mowery Theodore WDir
$2K
Mar 31
BUY
Evans Albert J.Dir
$10K
Mar 31
BUY
Financials
Dividends2.67% yield
+5.6% avg annual growth
Annual Yield2.67%
Quarterly Div.$0.2200
Est. Annual / Share$0.88
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
DEPRINCE RACE & ZOLLO INC
137K
2
Nuveen, LLC
85K
3
RKL Wealth Management LLC
55K
4
BRYN MAWR TRUST Co
49K
5
GRACE & WHITE INC /NY
27K
6
AdvisorNet Financial, Inc
26K
7
KENNEDY INVESTMENT GROUP
25K
8
Janney Montgomery Scott LLC
13K
News & Activity

MPB News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

mid penn bank, subsidiary of mid penn bancorp, inc. (nasdaq: mpb), has been serving central pennsylvania since 1868. headquartered in millersburg, pa., mid penn bank has retail locations throughout cumberland, dauphin, lancaster, luzerne, northumberland and schuylkill counties. mid penn is a full-service financial institution offering deposit products, mortgage and home equity loans, lines of credit, commercial financing, cash management services and more. as a community bank, mid penn is a proud contributor to many nonprofit organizations that support the central pennsylvania region. visit midpennbank.com to learn more.

Industry
Monetary Authorities-Central Bank
Joseph Louis PaeseExecutive Vice President and Director of Trust & Wealth Management of Mid Penn Bank
Rory G. RitrieviPresident, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman
Heather R. HallSenior EVice President, Central Pennsylvania Market President & Chief Lending Officer of Bank
PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
MPB
$33.32+1.06%$844M15.1+659.1%1720.5%1500
$312.47-0.24%$842.7B14.8+330.7%2039.3%1502
$328.03-0.55%$628.8B28.2+1134.0%5014.5%1498
$495.46-1.48%$438.6B28.4+1641.6%4564.7%1488
$53.24-0.41%$382.1B12.2-45.1%1592.6%1501
$190.18-0.22%$302.0B16.4+1147.7%1466.4%1516
$923.71-0.01%$274.1B15.5-138.4%1373.0%1515
Sector avg-0.26%18.7+675.7%2538.7%1503