MRCY
Next earnings: Aug 10, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-2.66%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 66Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
94.55
Open
92.86
Day Range90.81 – 94.00
90.81
94.00
52W Range44.01 – 103.84
44.01
103.84
80% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
559.8K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-400.1x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.71
Low vol
Performance
1D
-2.66%
5D
+3.07%
1M
+7.62%
3M
+11.74%
6M
+29.89%
YTD
+26.05%
1Y
+100.63%
Best: 1Y (+100.63%)Worst: 1D (-2.66%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +9% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
STRONG
CR 3.2 · FCF $1.18/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$5.53B
Revenue TTM$966.95M
Net Income TTM-$14.10M
Free Cash Flow$70.34M
Gross Margin27.7%
Net Margin-1.5%
Operating Margin1.2%
Return on Equity-1.0%
Return on Assets-0.6%
Debt / Equity0.44
Current Ratio3.19
EPS TTM$-0.24
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Defense budget authorization and appropriations for key platforms (F-35 sustainment, Next Generation Air Dominance, missile defense modernization)

Major program wins and design-in announcements with prime contractors - content per platform and sole-source positions

Execution on margin improvement initiatives - transition from legacy COTS to proprietary Processing-as-a-Service model

Acquisition integration success and organic growth balance - historical M&A strategy impact on margins

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Defense electronics demand is driven by multi-year government procurement cycles and geopolitical threat assessments rather than GDP growth. However, severe recessions can pressure defense budgets through deficit concerns. The company benefits from bipartisan support for defense modernization and great power competition focus, insulating it from typical economic cycles. Industrial production matters only indirectly through supply chain component availability.

Interest Rates

Rising rates have moderate negative impact through higher financing costs on the company's $200M+ debt load (0.44 D/E ratio) and potential pressure on defense budget allocations as federal interest expense crowds out discretionary spending. However, defense electronics typically maintain priority in budget negotiations. Valuation multiples compress as rates rise, particularly given the current elevated EV/EBITDA of 543x reflecting negative profitability. Lower rates would support multiple expansion for this growth-oriented defense name.

Key Risks

Defense budget reallocation risk - shift from platform-centric to software/AI-centric spending could reduce demand for embedded processing hardware if Mercury fails to transition product portfolio

Technology obsolescence - rapid advancement in commercial AI accelerators and edge computing could erode Mercury's technology differentiation if commercial solutions achieve required security certifications

Consolidation among defense primes reducing customer count and increasing pricing pressure on suppliers

Investor Profile

growth - The 86% one-year return and 9.2% revenue growth attract growth investors betting on defense electronics content expansion and margin recovery. However, negative profitability and elevated valuation multiples (5.7x P/S) create risk/reward profile appealing to momentum investors during defense sector rotation. Value investors likely avoid given negative earnings and premium valuation. Not a dividend play with focus on reinvestment for growth.

Watch on Earnings
US defense budget topline and procurement account allocations - FY2027 budget request details expected mid-2026F-35 production rates and sustainment funding - Mercury has significant content exposureMissile defense modernization spending (Aegis, THAAD, Patriot upgrades) - key platform exposureBook-to-bill ratio and backlog growth - leading indicators of revenue momentum
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
39/100
Liquidity
3.19Strong
Leverage
0.44Strong
Coverage
0.4xConcern
ROE
-1.0%Concern
ROIC
0.4%Concern
Cash
$309MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE19 analysts
BUY
+14.1%upside to target
L $68.00
Med $105.00consensus
H $109.00
Strong Buy
15%
Buy
1158%
Hold
632%
Sell
15%
12 Buy (63%)6 Hold (32%)1 Sell (5%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
5 of 5 signals bullish
10/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 66 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 3.19 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 28, 2026
In 104 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 4.6%

+12.9% vs SMA 50 · +18.2% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI66.3
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+3.49
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$103.8+12.8%
Current
$92.03
EMA 50
$84.00-8.7%
EMA 200
$75.03-18.5%
52W Low
$44.01-52.2%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$44.0180th %ile$103.8
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:2
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)579K
Recent Vol (5D)
437K-24%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 7 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$882.9M
$879.1M$887.3M
$0.40
±12%
High7
FY2026(current)
$959.2M
$952.5M$963.9M
+8.6%$1.06+164.9%
±3%
High7
FY2027
$1.0B
$1.0B$1.1B
+9.1%$1.53+44.7%
±26%
High6
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 4 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryMRCY
Last 8Q
+207.7%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+429%
Q3'24
+131%
Q4'24
+275%
Q1'25
Q2'25
+124%
Q3'25
+225%
Q4'25
+129%
Q1'26
+350%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
RBC CapitalSector Perform → Outperform
Oct 1
UPGRADE
JefferiesUnderperform → Hold
Nov 11
UPGRADE
Alembic GlobalOverweight
Aug 19
UPGRADE
Goldman SachsSell
Jan 10
DOWNGRADE
Credit SuisseNeutral
Jun 22
DOWNGRADE
RBC CapitalOutperform → Sector Perform
Dec 16
DOWNGRADE
RBC CapitalOutperform
May 18
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $810K sold · 30d window
Carvalho Orlando DDir
$626K
May 12
SELL
Ratner StevenEVP, CHRO
$185K
May 11
SELL
Farnsworth David E.EVP, CFO
$308K
Apr 16
SELL
Jana Partners Manag…Dir
$17.2M
Mar 2
SELL
Jana Partners Manag…Dir
$15.2M
Mar 3
SELL
Jana Partners Manag…Dir
$9.0M
Mar 4
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
8.9M
2
JANA Partners Management, LP
4.1M
3
STATE STREET CORP
3.9M
4
Invesco Ltd.
2.4M
5
Conestoga Capital Advisors, LLC
1.9M
6
T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.
1.6M
7
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
1.5M
8
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
1.2M
News & Activity

MRCY News

About

mercury systems (nasdaq:mrcy) is pioneering a next generation defense electronics business model. our goal is to be the leading commercial provider of secure sensor and safety-critical processing subsystems. optimized for customer and mission success, our solutions power a wide variety of critical defense and intelligence programs. to learn more, visit www.mrcy.com.

CEO
Mark Aslett
David FarnsworthExecutive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Tod BrindlingerSenior Vice President of Operations
William L. BallhausPresident, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman
PeersIndustrials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
MRCY
$92.03-2.66%$5.5B+918.8%-415.6%1500
$888.31-3.47%$409.2B43.7+429.0%1312.8%1523
$281.53-3.43%$294.2B33.7+1848.2%1898.2%1489
$171.18-2.56%$230.5B31.8+974.1%759.8%1488
$220.49-3.80%$173.8B79.6+3449.4%249.7%1503
$270.56+0.45%$160.6B22.2+107.2%2912.3%1504
$399.44-2.12%$155.1B38.9+1033.0%1489.7%1504
Sector avg-2.51%41.7+1251.4%1172.4%1502