MRX
Next earnings: Aug 12, 2026
Signal
Bearish Setup1!1
Price
1
Move-1.99%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.4× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 72Overbought
PRICE
Prev Close
57.36
Open
56.92
Day Range55.84 – 57.36
55.84
57.36
52W Range27.91 – 58.62
27.91
58.62
92% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.1M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
12.8x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-1.99%
5D
+6.24%
1M
+8.05%
3M
+35.99%
6M
+64.34%
YTD
+46.56%
1Y
+21.01%
Best: 6M (+64.34%)Worst: 1D (-1.99%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +126% YoY · 75% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 13x vs ~20x sector
Health
WEAK
CR 3.2 · FCF negative
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$4.04B
Revenue TTM$6.52B
Net Income TTM$526.20M
Free Cash Flow$883.40M
Gross Margin74.7%
Net Margin8.5%
Operating Margin32.0%
Return on Equity26.0%
Return on Assets0.9%
Debt / Equity8.05
Current Ratio3.16
EPS TTM$4.32
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Commodity market volatility (VIX-equivalent for commodities) - higher volatility drives trading volumes and commission revenue across all product lines

Energy market dislocations and geopolitical events - supply shocks, OPEC decisions, and sanctions create hedging demand and trading opportunities

Client asset growth and market share in clearing services - institutional flows into commodity strategies expand the revenue base

Proprietary trading performance - mark-to-market gains/losses on market-making inventory and principal positions

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Revenue correlates with commodity market activity rather than GDP growth directly. However, industrial production drives physical commodity demand, which influences hedging volumes. Economic uncertainty often increases volatility, benefiting transaction revenues. Recessions can reduce corporate hedging activity but may be offset by increased speculative trading and risk management needs.

Interest Rates

Rising rates have mixed effects: (1) Negative impact on valuation multiples for financial services firms as discount rates increase; (2) Positive impact on net interest income earned on client margin deposits and cash balances held for clearing operations; (3) Higher rates can reduce commodity speculation by increasing carry costs, potentially dampening trading volumes. The net effect is moderately negative for the stock given multiple compression typically outweighs NII benefits.

Key Risks

Electronification and disintermediation - automated trading platforms and direct exchange access could compress brokerage spreads and reduce demand for intermediation services

Regulatory fragmentation across jurisdictions - divergent margin rules, capital requirements, and reporting standards increase compliance costs and may fragment liquidity pools

Consolidation among commodity exchanges and clearinghouses - vertical integration by exchanges into brokerage services threatens traditional intermediary business models

Investor Profile

growth - The 23% revenue growth, 70% net income growth, and 37.6% FCF yield attract growth-oriented investors seeking exposure to commodity market volatility without directional commodity risk. The capital-light model and high ROE (18.4%) appeal to investors focused on capital efficiency. Recent 27% three-month return suggests momentum investors are also participating. However, the high debt/equity ratio and cyclical earnings volatility deter conservative value investors.

Watch on Earnings
Brent crude oil price volatility (30-day realized vol) - proxy for energy market trading opportunitiesLME copper and aluminum trading volumes - indicators of metals market activity and industrial hedging demandCFTC Commitments of Traders reports - speculative positioning in commodities signals potential volatility and trading flowsCME and ICE futures open interest across energy and metals - leading indicator of clearing revenue potential
Health Radar
3 strong3 concern
45/100
Liquidity
3.16Strong
Leverage
8.05Concern
Coverage
1.5xConcern
ROE
26.0%Strong
ROIC
2.5%Concern
Cash
$6.4BStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE6 analysts
BUY
+2.3%upside to target
L $55.00
Med $57.50consensus
H $60.00
Buy
6100%
6 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 72 — Overbought, caution
~
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 3.16 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 10, 2026
In 117 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 19.1%

+22.8% vs SMA 50 · +46.2% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI71.7
Overbought — pullback risk
MACD+3.03
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$58.62+4.3%
Current
$56.22
EMA 50
$48.60-13.6%
EMA 200
$40.98-27.1%
52W Low
$27.91-50.4%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$27.9192th %ile$58.62
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:1
Edge:+4 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.2M
Recent Vol (5D)
776K-34%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$1.6B
$1.5B$1.7B
$2.98
±10%
High5
FY2025
$2.0B
$1.8B$2.0B
+26.6%$3.90+31.0%
±1%
Moderate4
FY2026(current)
$2.5B
$2.4B$2.6B
+28.3%$5.19+33.2%
±9%
High5
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 5 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryMRX
Last 5Q
+9.9%avg beat
Beat 5 of 5 quarters Estimates rising
+12%
Q4'24
+14%
Q3'25
+11%
Q1'26
+7%
Q2'26
+6%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
HSBCBuy → Hold
Mar 10
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $2.4M sold · 30d window
Tonucci PaoloSee Remarks
$609K
May 11
SELL
Tonucci PaoloSee Remarks
$323K
May 11
SELL
Texier ThomasGroup Head of …
$625K
May 1
SELL
Texier ThomasGroup Head of …
$139K
May 1
SELL
Van Den Born SimonPresident
$643K
Apr 20
SELL
Van Den Born SimonPresident
$33K
Apr 20
SELL
Financials
Dividends1.07% yield
+7.9% avg annual growth
Annual Yield1.07%
Quarterly Div.$0.1600
Est. Annual / Share$0.64
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
4.4M
2
Capital International Investors
3.5M
3
FMR LLC
3.5M
4
LOOMIS SAYLES & CO L P
1.9M
5
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/
1.9M
6
ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P.
1.7M
7
SAMLYN CAPITAL, LLC
1.7M
8
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP
1.7M
News & Activity

MRX News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No description available.

Country
United Kingdom
PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
MRX
$56.22-1.99%$4.0B13.0+2539.0%849.1%1500
$297.81-0.70%$798.0B14.1+330.7%2039.3%1503
$325.75+1.00%$624.4B28.0+1134.0%5014.5%1500
$494.20+0.87%$436.7B28.3+1641.6%4564.7%1490
$49.77-0.16%$353.2B11.4-45.1%1592.6%1495
$192.51-1.04%$303.6B16.6+1147.7%1466.4%1526
$948.47-2.11%$279.8B15.9-138.4%1373.0%1526
Sector avg-0.59%18.2+944.2%2414.2%1506