MTUS
Next earnings: Aug 6, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-2.19%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 54Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
18.27
Open
18.00
Day Range17.73 – 18.07
17.73
18.07
52W Range12.16 – 21.73
12.16
21.73
60% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
411.5K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
255.3x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-2.19%
5D
-2.62%
1M
+2.00%
3M
-13.67%
6M
+12.04%
YTD
+4.14%
1Y
+32.76%
Best: 1Y (+32.76%)Worst: 3M (-13.67%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +14% · 8% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 255x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.7 · FCF negative
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$743.89M
Revenue TTM$1.19B
Net Income TTM$2.90M
Free Cash Flow-$78.20M
Gross Margin8.3%
Net Margin0.2%
Operating Margin0.7%
Return on Equity0.4%
Return on Assets0.3%
Debt / Equity0.02
Current Ratio1.73
EPS TTM$0.07
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Industrial production trends and manufacturing PMI data driving demand for bearing steels and alloy products

Automotive production volumes and light vehicle build rates, particularly heavy-duty truck production

Steel scrap prices and raw material cost inflation/deflation affecting conversion margins

Energy sector capital expenditure cycles impacting demand for oil country tubular goods (OCTG) and drilling-related steel products

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Metallus exhibits extreme cyclicality as a specialty steel producer serving industrial end markets. Demand correlates directly with industrial production, automotive manufacturing, and capital goods spending. The -20.4% revenue decline and -98.1% earnings collapse demonstrate sensitivity to industrial slowdowns. Steel demand typically leads GDP by 1-2 quarters, making the company an early-cycle indicator. During recessions, customers destocking inventory can amplify volume declines by 30-50% beyond underlying demand weakness.

Interest Rates

Moderate sensitivity through multiple channels. Higher rates reduce capital spending by energy and industrial customers, dampening demand for specialty steel products. Elevated rates also pressure automotive financing affordability, reducing vehicle production. On the cost side, the company carries minimal debt (0.02 D/E), limiting direct financing cost exposure. However, higher rates strengthen the dollar, making imports more competitive and potentially pressuring domestic pricing. The primary impact is indirect through demand destruction in rate-sensitive end markets.

Key Risks

Long-term automotive electrification reducing bearing steel demand as EVs require fewer transmission and drivetrain components compared to internal combustion vehicles

Import competition from low-cost foreign steel producers, particularly during periods of dollar strength or weak domestic demand enabling price undercutting

Energy transition reducing demand for oil and gas drilling-related steel products as fossil fuel capital spending declines structurally

Investor Profile

value - The stock trades at 0.8x sales and 1.3x book value with 32% one-year return, attracting deep value investors betting on cyclical recovery and mean reversion. The depressed margins (0.9% operating, 0.1% net) and negative ROE (-1.2%) suggest the company is in trough earnings, appealing to contrarian investors anticipating industrial rebound. Momentum investors have recently engaged given the 31.7% three-month return, likely driven by early signs of manufacturing stabilization or positioning ahead of potential recovery. Not suitable for growth or dividend investors given negative earnings growth and likely suspended/minimal dividends.

Watch on Earnings
ISM Manufacturing PMI and new orders component as leading indicator for steel demandNorth American automotive production rates and heavy-duty truck Class 8 ordersSteel scrap prices (Midwest #1 busheling) and ferroalloy costs affecting input economicsUS industrial capacity utilization rate correlating with specialty steel order patterns
Health Radar
1 strong3 watch2 concern
41/100
Liquidity
1.73Watch
Leverage
0.02Strong
Coverage
4.0xWatch
ROE
0.4%Concern
ROIC
0.4%Concern
Cash
$157MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE4 analysts
HOLD
Buy
125%
Hold
250%
Sell
125%
1 Buy (25%)2 Hold (50%)1 Sell (25%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 54 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.73 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 18, 2026
In 125 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 60.1%

+4.5% vs SMA 50 · +67.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI54.3
Neutral territory
MACD+0.28
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$21.73+21.6%
Current
$17.87
EMA 50
$17.17-3.9%
52W Low
$12.16-32.0%
EMA 200
$10.76-39.8%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$12.1660th %ile$21.73
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:1
Dist days:0
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)383K
Recent Vol (5D)
246K-36%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$1.3B
$1.3B$1.3B
$1.25
±2%
Low1
FY2024
$1.1B
$1.1B$1.1B
-16.4%$0.63-49.9%
±2%
Low2
FY2025
$1.2B
$1.2B$1.2B
+8.9%$0.58-7.0%
±5%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryMTUS
Last 8Q
-105.0%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates falling
-62%
Q3'24
-177%
Q4'24
-233%
Q1'25
-36%
Q2'25
+25%
Q3'25
+65%
Q4'25
-460%
Q1'26
+38%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Williams Michael SCEO
$400K
Feb 3
SELL
Williams Michael SCEO
$292K
Feb 4
SELL
Westbrooks Kristoph…President & COO
$62K
Feb 3
SELL
Westbrooks Kristoph…President & COO
$45K
Feb 4
SELL
Westbrooks Kristoph…President & COO
$2K
Jan 15
SELL
Williams Michael SCEO
$13K
Jan 15
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

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5.7M
2
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2.8M
3
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2.5M
4
MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd.
1.8M
5
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC
1.7M
6
SYSTEMATIC FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT LP
1.4M
7
DONALD SMITH & CO., INC.
1.1M
8
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC
1.0M
News & Activity

MTUS News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

we’re not just making steel. we’re making it smarter. every day, our customers push the limits of what’s possible – digging deeper, moving faster and reaching further than ever before. we know. we’re pushing those same limits; creating stronger, cleaner steel to make our customers’ visions a reality. together, we believe every solution starts with, “yes. it’s possible.” want to work in an environment like that? check out our careers to learn more. timkensteel was named the 2015 steel producer of the year by american metal market. timkensteel also won the 2015 best innovation (process) award for its jumbo bloom vertical caster.

CEO
Terry Dunlap
Kristine C. SyrvalinExecutive Vice President, General Counsel & Chief Human Resources Officer
Kristopher R. WestbrooksPresident & Chief Operating Officer
John ZaranecExecutive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
PeersBasic Materials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
MTUS
$17.87-2.19%$744M257.0+685.4%-10.4%1500
$506.11-1.08%$234.1B33.0+297.2%2029.7%1506
$109.06-6.25%$116.4B14.0+1907.6%3206.3%1507
$63.01-4.73%$90.6B33.3+112.4%856.2%1516
$300.10-2.94%$74.0B28.4+206.0%1089.5%1477
$247.62-0.51%$69.7B33.2+215.9%1290.7%1473
$295.38-1.50%$65.8B31.2-52.3%-327.7%1502
Sector avg-2.74%61.4+481.7%1162.0%1497